The statistics of epidemic transitions

Anticipating epidemic transitions with imperfect data

(2018) Tobias S. Brett et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

Nonmechanistic forecasts of seasonal influenza with iterative one-week-ahead distributions

(2018) Logan C. Brooks et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

Optimal multi-source forecasting of seasonal influenza

(2018) Zeynep Ertem et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

Anticipating the emergence of infectious diseases

(2017) Tobias S. Brett et al.   Journal of the Royal Society Interface

Forecasting infectious disease emergence subject to seasonal forcing

(2017) Paige B. Miller et al.   Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling

Future directions in analytics for infectious disease intelligence

(2016) Barbara A Han et al.   EMBO REPORTS

Waiting time to infectious disease emergence

(2016) Christopher J. Dibble et al.   Journal of the Royal Society Interface

Forecasting Influenza Outbreaks in Boroughs and Neighborhoods of New York City

(2016) Wan Yang et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

Generic Indicators of Ecological Resilience: Inferring the Chance of a Critical Transition

(2015) Marten Scheffer et al.   Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics

Epidemic processes in complex networks

(2015) Romualdo Pastor-Satorras et al.   REVIEWS OF MODERN PHYSICS

Surveillance-response systems: the key to elimination of tropical diseases

(2014) Ernest Tambo et al.   Infectious Diseases of Poverty

Theory of early warning signals of disease emergenceand leading indicators of elimination

(2013) Suzanne M. O’Regan et al.   Theoretical Ecology

Inference of R0 and Transmission Heterogeneity from the Size Distribution of Stuttering Chains

(2013) Seth Blumberg et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

Prediction and prevention of the next pandemic zoonosis

(2012) Stephen S Morse et al.   LANCET

Ecology of zoonoses: natural and unnatural histories

(2012) William B Karesh et al.   LANCET

Malaria resurgence: a systematic review and assessment of its causes

(2012) Justin M Cohen et al.   MALARIA JOURNAL

Stochastic formulation of ecological models and their applications

(2012) Andrew J. Black et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Towards a conceptual framework to support one-health research for policy on emerging zoonoses

(2011) Richard Coker et al.   LANCET INFECTIOUS DISEASES

A mathematical framework for critical transitions: Bifurcations, fast–slow systems and stochastic dynamics

(2011) Christian Kuehn   PHYSICA D-NONLINEAR PHENOMENA

The decline and resurgence of pertussis in the US

(2011) Pejman Rohani et al.   Epidemics

Impact of vaccination and birth rate on the epidemiology of pertussis: a comparative study in 64 countries

(2010) H. Broutin et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Early-warning signals for critical transitions

(2009) Marten Scheffer et al.   NATURE

Epidemic Dynamics at the Human-Animal Interface

(2009) J. O. Lloyd-Smith et al.   SCIENCE

Global trends in emerging infectious diseases

(2008) Kate E. Jones et al.   NATURE

Recent Resurgence of Mumps in the United States

(2008) Gustavo H. Dayan et al.   NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL OF MEDICINE

Social Contacts and Mixing Patterns Relevant to the Spread of Infectious Diseases

(2008) Joël Mossong et al.   PLOS MEDICINE