Emergence of cascading dynamics in interacting tipping elements of ecology and climate

How motifs condition critical thresholds for tipping cascades in complex networks: Linking micro- to macro-scales

(2020) Nico Wunderling et al.   CHAOS

Climate tipping points — too risky to bet against

(2019) Timothy M. Lenton et al.   NATURE

Defining tipping points for social-ecological systems scholarship—an interdisciplinary literature review

(2018) Manjana Milkoreit et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Observed fingerprint of a weakening Atlantic Ocean overturning circulation

(2018) L. Caesar et al.   NATURE

Cascading regime shifts within and across scales

(2018) Juan C. Rocha et al.   SCIENCE

How Regime Shifts in Connected Aquatic Ecosystems Are Affected by the Typical Downstream Increase of Water Flow

(2016) Luuk P. A. van Gerven et al.   ECOSYSTEMS

What Do You Mean, ‘Tipping Point’?

(2016) Egbert H. van Nes et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Risk of multiple interacting tipping points should encourage rapid CO2 emission reduction

(2016) Yongyang Cai et al.   Nature Climate Change

Why the right climate target was agreed in Paris

(2016) Hans Joachim Schellnhuber et al.   Nature Climate Change

Tipping elements and climate-economic shocks: Pathways toward integrated assessment

(2016) Robert E. Kopp et al.   Earths Future

Coupled catastrophes: sudden shifts cascade and hop among interdependent systems

(2015) Charles D. Brummitt et al.   Journal of the Royal Society Interface

Resilience of Alternative States in Spatially Extended Ecosystems

(2015) Ingrid A. van de Leemput et al.   PLoS One

Regime Shifts in the Anthropocene: Drivers, Risks, and Resilience

(2015) Juan Carlos Rocha et al.   PLoS One

Avoiding catastrophic failure in correlated networks of networks

(2014) Saulo D. S. Reis et al.   Nature Physics

Environmental Tipping Points

(2013) Timothy M. Lenton   Annual Review of Environment and Resources

Phosphorus loading, transport and concentrations in a lake chain: a probabilistic model to compare management options

(2013) Stephen R. Carpenter et al.   AQUATIC SCIENCES

Early warning signals: the charted and uncharted territories

(2013) Carl Boettiger et al.   Theoretical Ecology

On the origin of planetary-scale tipping points

(2013) Timothy M. Lenton et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Arctic Climate Tipping Points

(2012) Timothy M. Lenton   AMBIO

Approaching a state shift in Earth’s biosphere

(2012) Anthony D. Barnosky et al.   NATURE

Tipping points in open systems: bifurcation, noise-induced and rate-dependent examples in the climate system

(2012) P. Ashwin et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

Suppressing cascades of load in interdependent networks

(2012) C. D. Brummitt et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Anticipating Critical Transitions

(2012) M. Scheffer et al.   SCIENCE

Gradual regime shifts in spatially extended ecosystems

(2012) Golan Bel et al.   Theoretical Ecology

Multistability and critical thresholds of the Greenland ice sheet

(2012) Alexander Robinson et al.   Nature Climate Change

Potential climatic transitions with profound impact on Europe

(2011) Anders Levermann et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

PREDICTING CLIMATE TIPPING AS A NOISY BIFURCATION: A REVIEW

(2011) J. MICHAEL T. THOMPSON et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIFURCATION AND CHAOS

A mathematical framework for critical transitions: Bifurcations, fast–slow systems and stochastic dynamics

(2011) Christian Kuehn   PHYSICA D-NONLINEAR PHENOMENA

Percolation in interdependent and interconnected networks: Abrupt change from second- to first-order transitions

(2011) Yanqing Hu et al.   PHYSICAL REVIEW E

Global Resilience of Tropical Forest and Savanna to Critical Transitions

(2011) M. Hirota et al.   SCIENCE

Early warning of climate tipping points

(2011) Timothy M. Lenton   Nature Climate Change

Using Landscape Limnology to Classify Freshwater Ecosystems for Multi-ecosystem Management and Conservation

(2010) Patricia A. Soranno et al.   BIOSCIENCE

Tipping points: Early warning and wishful thinking

(2010) Peter D. Ditlevsen et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Catastrophic cascade of failures in interdependent networks

(2010) Sergey V. Buldyrev et al.   NATURE

Abrupt regime shifts in space and time along rivers and connected lake systems

(2010) Sabine Hilt et al.   OIKOS

Interdependent Networks: Reducing the Coupling Strength Leads to a Change from a First to Second Order Percolation Transition

(2010) Roni Parshani et al.   PHYSICAL REVIEW LETTERS

Excitability in ramped systems: the compost-bomb instability

(2010) S. Wieczorek et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

Early-warning signals for critical transitions

(2009) Marten Scheffer et al.   NATURE

Imprecise probability assessment of tipping points in the climate system

(2009) E. Kriegler et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

On the stability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation

(2009) M. Hofmann et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system

(2008) T. M. Lenton et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA