Twenty‐First Century Drought Projections in the CMIP6 Forcing Scenarios

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Climate variability and change of Mediterranean-type climates

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Attribution of Global Soil Moisture Drying to Human Activities: A Quantitative Viewpoint

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Anthropogenic Contributions to the Intensity of the 2017 United States Northern Great Plains Drought

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Constraining Climate Model Projections of Regional Precipitation Change

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Land–atmosphere feedbacks exacerbate concurrent soil drought and atmospheric aridity

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Mid-latitude freshwater availability reduced by projected vegetation responses to climate change

(2019) Justin S. Mankin et al.   Nature Geoscience

The potential to reduce uncertainty in regional runoff projections from climate models

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Attributing the U.S. Southwest's Recent Shift Into Drier Conditions

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Soil Moisture Stress as a Major Driver of Carbon Cycle Uncertainty

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Mechanism of Future Spring Drying in the Southwestern United States in CMIP5 Models

(2018) Mingfang Ting et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Evaluating CMIP5 Model Agreement for Multiple Drought Metrics

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Critical impact of vegetation physiology on the continental hydrologic cycle in response to increasing CO2

(2018) Léo Lemordant et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Partitioning global land evapotranspiration using CMIP5 models constrained by observations

(2018) Xu Lian et al.   Nature Climate Change

Past and future drought in Mongolia

(2018) Amy E. Hessl et al.   Science Advances

Exacerbation of the 2013-2016 Pan-Caribbean Drought by Anthropogenic Warming

(2018) Dimitris A. Herrera et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Sensitivity of atmospheric CO2 growth rate to observed changes in terrestrial water storage

(2018) Vincent Humphrey et al.   NATURE

On the Causes of Declining Colorado River Streamflows

(2018) Mu Xiao et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Anthropogenic influence on the drivers of the Western Cape drought 2015–2017

(2018) Friederike E L Otto et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Observational Constraints Reduce Likelihood of Extreme Changes in Multidecadal Land Water Availability

(2018) Ryan S. Padrón et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Influence of internal variability on population exposure to hydroclimatic changes

(2017) Justin S Mankin et al.   Environmental Research Letters

CO2-vegetation feedbacks and other climate changes implicated in reducing base flow

(2017) Ralph Trancoso et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Anthropogenic warming impacts on California snowpack during drought

(2017) Neil Berg et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Divergent surface and total soil moisture projections under global warming

(2017) Alexis Berg et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Projected drought risk in 1.5°C and 2°C warmer climates

(2017) Flavio Lehner et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

The Curious Case of Projected Twenty-First-Century Drying but Greening in the American West

(2017) Justin S. Mankin et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Precipitation variability increases in a warmer climate

(2017) Angeline G. Pendergrass et al.   Scientific Reports

Land surface models systematically overestimate the intensity, duration and magnitude of seasonal-scale evaporative droughts

(2016) A M Ukkola et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Anthropogenic climate change affects meteorological drought risk in Europe

(2016) L Gudmundsson et al.   Environmental Research Letters

The challenge of accurately quantifying future megadrought risk in the American Southwest

(2016) Sloan Coats et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Perspectives on the causes of exceptionally low 2015 snowpack in the western United States

(2016) Philip W. Mote et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Evaluating the drought response of CMIP5 models using global gross primary productivity, leaf area, precipitation, and soil moisture data

(2016) Yuanyuan Huang et al.   GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES

Plant responses to increasing CO2reduce estimates of climate impacts on drought severity

(2016) Abigail L. S. Swann et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Land–atmosphere feedbacks amplify aridity increase over land under global warming

(2016) Alexis Berg et al.   Nature Climate Change

Potential evapotranspiration and continental drying

(2016) P. C. D. Milly et al.   Nature Climate Change

Relative impacts of mitigation, temperature, and precipitation on 21st-century megadrought risk in the American Southwest

(2016) T. R. Ault et al.   Science Advances

Multi-decadal trends in global terrestrial evapotranspiration and its components

(2016) Yongqiang Zhang et al.   Scientific Reports

Contribution of anthropogenic warming to California drought during 2012-2014

(2015) A. Park Williams et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Long-term trends in precipitation and temperature across the Caribbean

(2015) Philip D. Jones et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY

A Link between the Hiatus in Global Warming and North American Drought

(2015) Thomas L. Delworth et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Causes of the 2011–14 California Drought*

(2015) Richard Seager et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The Response of Precipitation Minus Evapotranspiration to Climate Warming: Why the “Wet-Get-Wetter, Dry-Get-Drier” Scaling Does Not Hold over Land*

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Climate change in the Fertile Crescent and implications of the recent Syrian drought

(2015) Colin P. Kelley et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

How well do CMIP5 climate simulations replicate historical trends and patterns of meteorological droughts?

(2015) Nasrin Nasrollahi et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Reduced streamflow in water-stressed climates consistent with CO2 effects on vegetation

(2015) Anna M. Ukkola et al.   Nature Climate Change

Unprecedented 21st century drought risk in the American Southwest and Central Plains

(2015) B. I. Cook et al.   Science Advances

Past and future rainfall in the Horn of Africa

(2015) J. E. Tierney et al.   Science Advances

Global warming and 21st century drying

(2014) Benjamin I. Cook et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Runoff sensitivity to global mean temperature change in the CMIP5 Models

(2014) Xuejun Zhang et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

How unusual is the 2012-2014 California drought?

(2014) Daniel Griffin et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Regional rainfall decline in Australia attributed to anthropogenic greenhouse gases and ozone levels

(2014) Thomas L. Delworth et al.   Nature Geoscience

Global assessment of trends in wetting and drying over land

(2014) Peter Greve et al.   Nature Geoscience

A global assessment of the impact of climate change on water scarcity

(2013) Simon N. Gosling et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Stationarity of the tropical pacific teleconnection to North America in CMIP5/PMIP3 model simulations

(2013) Sloan Coats et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Future Changes in Northern Hemisphere Snowfall

(2013) John P. Krasting et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

CMIP5 Projected Changes in the Annual Cycle of Precipitation in Monsoon Regions

(2013) Anji Seth et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Future change of global monsoon in the CMIP5

(2012) June-Yi Lee et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Quantifying uncertainties in global and regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates: The HadCRUT4 data set

(2012) Colin P. Morice et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Increasing drought under global warming in observations and models

(2012) Aiguo Dai   Nature Climate Change

Robustness and uncertainties in the new CMIP5 climate model projections

(2012) Reto Knutti et al.   Nature Climate Change

An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design

(2011) Karl E. Taylor et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

On the Increased Frequency of Mediterranean Drought

(2011) Martin Hoerling et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Human-Induced Changes in the Hydrology of the Western United States

(2008) T. P. Barnett et al.   SCIENCE