Projected drought risk in 1.5°C and 2°C warmer climates

Assessing recent declines in Upper Rio Grande runoff efficiency from a paleoclimate perspective

(2017) Flavio Lehner et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Divergent surface and total soil moisture projections under global warming

(2017) Alexis Berg et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Why Do Different Drought Indices Show Distinct Future Drought Risk Outcomes in the U.S. Great Plains?

(2017) Song Feng et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The twenty-first century Colorado River hot drought and implications for the future

(2017) Bradley Udall et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Drought indices revisited – improving and testing of drought indices in a simulation of the last two millennia for Europe

(2017) Christoph C. Raible et al.   TELLUS SERIES A-DYNAMIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY

Simulated differences in 21st century aridity due to different scenarios of greenhouse gases and aerosols

(2016) L. Lin et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

The improbable but unexceptional occurrence of megadrought clustering in the American West during the Medieval Climate Anomaly

(2016) Sloan Coats et al.   Environmental Research Letters

The challenge of accurately quantifying future megadrought risk in the American Southwest

(2016) Sloan Coats et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Internal ocean-atmosphere variability drives megadroughts in Western North America

(2016) S. Coats et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Confronting Weather and Climate Models with Observational Data from Soil Moisture Networks over the United States

(2016) Paul A. Dirmeyer et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY

Plant responses to increasing CO2reduce estimates of climate impacts on drought severity

(2016) Abigail L. S. Swann et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Teleconnected ocean forcing of Western North American droughts and pluvials during the last millennium

(2016) Cody C. Routson et al.   QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS

Potential evapotranspiration and continental drying

(2016) P. C. D. Milly et al.   Nature Climate Change

North American megadroughts in the Common Era: reconstructions and simulations

(2016) Benjamin I. Cook et al.   Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews-Climate Change

Relative impacts of mitigation, temperature, and precipitation on 21st-century megadrought risk in the American Southwest

(2016) T. R. Ault et al.   Science Advances

The Community Earth System Model (CESM) Large Ensemble Project: A Community Resource for Studying Climate Change in the Presence of Internal Climate Variability

(2015) J. E. Kay et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Does extreme precipitation intensity depend on the emissions scenario?

(2015) Angeline G. Pendergrass et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Contribution of anthropogenic warming to California drought during 2012-2014

(2015) A. Park Williams et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Bridging Past and Future Climate across Paleoclimatic Reconstructions, Observations, and Models: A Hydroclimate Case Study*

(2015) Jason E. Smerdon et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Terrestrial Aridity and Its Response to Greenhouse Warming across CMIP5 Climate Models

(2015) Jacob Scheff et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Stochastically Generated North American Megadroughts

(2015) Samantha Stevenson et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Anthropogenic warming has increased drought risk in California

(2015) Noah S. Diffenbaugh et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Projections of future meteorological drought and wet periods in the Amazon

(2015) Philip B. Duffy et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Climate change in the Fertile Crescent and implications of the recent Syrian drought

(2015) Colin P. Kelley et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Causes of change in Northern Hemisphere winter meridional winds and regional hydroclimate

(2015) Isla R. Simpson et al.   Nature Climate Change

Projected strengthening of Amazonian dry season by constrained climate model simulations

(2015) Juan P. Boisier et al.   Nature Climate Change

Unprecedented 21st century drought risk in the American Southwest and Central Plains

(2015) B. I. Cook et al.   Science Advances

Old World megadroughts and pluvials during the Common Era

(2015) E. R. Cook et al.   Science Advances

Global warming and 21st century drying

(2014) Benjamin I. Cook et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Pattern scaling: Its strengths and limitations, and an update on the latest model simulations

(2014) Claudia Tebaldi et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Groundwater depletion during drought threatens future water security of the Colorado River Basin

(2014) Stephanie L. Castle et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Causes of Increasing Aridification of the Mediterranean Region in Response to Rising Greenhouse Gases

(2014) Richard Seager et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Responses of terrestrial aridity to global warming

(2014) Qiang Fu et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES

The Community Earth System Model: A Framework for Collaborative Research

(2013) James W. Hurrell et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Impact of soil moisture-climate feedbacks on CMIP5 projections: First results from the GLACE-CMIP5 experiment

(2013) Sonia I. Seneviratne et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Hydrological droughts in the 21st century, hotspots and uncertainties from a global multimodel ensemble experiment

(2013) Christel Prudhomme et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Robust spatially aggregated projections of climate extremes

(2013) E. M. Fischer et al.   Nature Climate Change

Global warming and changes in drought

(2013) Kevin E. Trenberth et al.   Nature Climate Change

A scPDSI-based global data set of dry and wet spells for 1901-2009

(2013) G. van der Schrier et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES

Little change in global drought over the past 60 years

(2012) Justin Sheffield et al.   NATURE

The Closing Door of Climate Targets

(2012) T. F. Stocker   SCIENCE

An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design

(2011) Karl E. Taylor et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

On the Increased Frequency of Mediterranean Drought

(2011) Martin Hoerling et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Characteristics and trends in various forms of the Palmer Drought Severity Index during 1900–2008

(2011) Aiguo Dai   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Anthropogenic Aerosols and the Weakening of the South Asian Summer Monsoon

(2011) M. A. Bollasina et al.   SCIENCE

Global characteristics of pluvial and dry multi-year episodes, with emphasis on megadroughts

(2010) B. G. Hunt   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY

Asian Monsoon Failure and Megadrought During the Last Millennium

(2010) E. R. Cook et al.   SCIENCE

Drought under global warming: a review

(2010) Aiguo Dai   Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews-Climate Change

Evaluating Uncertainties in the Projection of Future Drought

(2008) Eleanor J. Burke et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY