Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects
Published 2020 View Full Article
- Home
- Publications
- Publication Search
- Publication Details
Title
Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects
Authors
Keywords
-
Journal
Nature Climate Change
Volume 10, Issue 4, Pages 277-286
Publisher
Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Online
2020-03-31
DOI
10.1038/s41558-020-0731-2
References
Ask authors/readers for more resources
Related references
Note: Only part of the references are listed.- Effect of Health-related Uncertainty and Natural Variability on Health Impacts and Co-Benefits of Climate Policy
- (2019) Rebecca Karina Saari et al. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY
- Taking climate model evaluation to the next level
- (2019) Veronika Eyring et al. Nature Climate Change
- The Local Aerosol Emission Effect on Surface Shortwave Radiation and Temperatures
- (2019) N. Freychet et al. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
- Climate variability and change of Mediterranean-type climates
- (2019) Richard Seager et al. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
- Event selection for dynamical downscaling: a neural network approach for physically-constrained precipitation events
- (2019) J. J. Gómez-Navarro et al. CLIMATE DYNAMICS
- The ClimEx Project: A 50-Member Ensemble of Climate Change Projections at 12-km Resolution over Europe and Northeastern North America with the Canadian Regional Climate Model (CRCM5)
- (2019) Martin Leduc et al. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology
- The Max Planck Institute Grand Ensemble: Enabling the Exploration of Climate System Variability
- (2019) Nicola Maher et al. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
- Nonlinear Response of Extreme Precipitation to Warming in CESM1
- (2019) A. G. Pendergrass et al. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
- Reproducing Internal Variability with Few Ensemble Runs
- (2019) Stefano Castruccio et al. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
- Emergence of anthropogenic signals in the ocean carbon cycle
- (2019) Sarah Schlunegger et al. Nature Climate Change
- Viewing Forced Climate Patterns Through an AI Lens
- (2019) Elizabeth A. Barnes et al. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
- The potential to reduce uncertainty in regional runoff projections from climate models
- (2019) Flavio Lehner et al. Nature Climate Change
- Local and Nonlocal Land Surface Influence in European Heatwave Initial Condition Ensembles
- (2019) A. L. Merrifield et al. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
- Predicting near-term changes in the Earth System: A large ensemble of initialized decadal prediction simulations using the Community Earth System Model
- (2018) S. G. Yeager et al. BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY
- The benefits of global high-resolution for climate simulation: process-understanding and the enabling of stakeholder decisions at the regional scale.
- (2018) M. J. Roberts et al. BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY
- Impacts of internal variability on temperature and precipitation trends in large ensemble simulations by two climate models
- (2018) Aiguo Dai et al. CLIMATE DYNAMICS
- Can an ensemble climate simulation be used to separate climate change signals from internal unforced variability?
- (2018) L. Bengtsson et al. CLIMATE DYNAMICS
- Disentangling Global Warming, Multidecadal Variability, and El Niño in Pacific Temperatures
- (2018) Robert C. Wills et al. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
- Current and Future Decadal Trends in the Oceanic Carbon Uptake Are Dominated by Internal Variability
- (2018) Hongmei Li et al. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
- Attributing the U.S. Southwest's Recent Shift Into Drier Conditions
- (2018) Flavio Lehner et al. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
- Internal variability and regional climate trends in an Observational Large Ensemble
- (2018) Karen A. McKinnon et al. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
- Evolution of the global coupled climate response to Arctic sea ice loss during 1990-2090 and its contribution to climate change
- (2018) Lantao Sun et al. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
- Increasing precipitation volatility in twenty-first-century California
- (2018) Daniel L. Swain et al. Nature Climate Change
- Science Directions in a Post COP21 World of Transient Climate Change: Enabling Regional to Local Predictions in Support of Reliable Climate Information
- (2018) D. Stammer et al. Earths Future
- A Mechanism for the Recently Increased Interdecadal Variability of the Silk Road Pattern
- (2018) Claudia Christine Stephan et al. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
- The role of natural variability in projections of climate change impacts on U.S. ozone pollution
- (2017) Fernando Garcia-Menendez et al. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
- A 2 Year Forecast for a 60-80% Chance of La Niña in 2017-2018
- (2017) Pedro N. DiNezio et al. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
- Avoidable impacts of ocean warming on marine primary production: Insights from the CESM ensembles
- (2017) Kristen M. Krumhardt et al. GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES
- An “Observational Large Ensemble” to Compare Observed and Modeled Temperature Trend Uncertainty due to Internal Variability
- (2017) Karen A. McKinnon et al. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
- Estimation of the SST Response to Anthropogenic and External Forcing and Its Impact on the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation
- (2017) Claude Frankignoul et al. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
- Attribution of Extreme Events in Arctic Sea Ice Extent
- (2017) Megan C. Kirchmeier-Young et al. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
- Potential to Constrain Projections of Hot Temperature Extremes
- (2017) Aleksandra Borodina et al. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
- Toward a New Estimate of “Time of Emergence” of Anthropogenic Warming: Insights from Dynamical Adjustment and a Large Initial-Condition Model Ensemble
- (2017) Flavio Lehner et al. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
- Australia's CMIP5 submission using the CSIRO-Mk3.6 model
- (2017) S Jeffrey et al. Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal
- Temperatures in transient climates: Improved methods for simulations with evolving temporal covariances
- (2016) Andrew Poppick et al. Annals of Applied Statistics
- Identifying anomalously early spring onsets in the CESM large ensemble project
- (2016) Zachary Labe et al. CLIMATE DYNAMICS
- Climate model forecast biases assessed with a perturbed physics ensemble
- (2016) David P. Mulholland et al. CLIMATE DYNAMICS
- Impact of increasing heat waves on U.S. ozone episodes in the 2050s: Results from a multimodel analysis using extreme value theory
- (2016) L. Shen et al. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
- Effect of climate change on surface ozone over North America, Europe, and East Asia
- (2016) Jordan L. Schnell et al. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
- Sources of uncertainties in 21st century projections of potential ocean ecosystem stressors
- (2016) Thomas L. Frölicher et al. GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES
- Partitioning uncertainty in ocean carbon uptake projections: Internal variability, emission scenario, and model structure
- (2016) Nicole S. Lovenduski et al. GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES
- Finding forced trends in oceanic oxygen
- (2016) Matthew C. Long et al. GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES
- Forced and Internal Components of Winter Air Temperature Trends over North America during the past 50 Years: Mechanisms and Implications*
- (2016) Clara Deser et al. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
- Timescales for detection of trends in the ocean carbon sink
- (2016) Galen A. McKinley et al. NATURE
- Demonstrating the value of larger ensembles in forecasting physical systems
- (2016) Reason L. Machete et al. TELLUS SERIES A-DYNAMIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY
- The Community Earth System Model (CESM) Large Ensemble Project: A Community Resource for Studying Climate Change in the Presence of Internal Climate Variability
- (2015) J. E. Kay et al. BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY
- Irreducible uncertainty in near-term climate projections
- (2015) Ed Hawkins et al. CLIMATE DYNAMICS
- The potential for snow to supply human water demand in the present and future
- (2015) Justin S Mankin et al. Environmental Research Letters
- Quantifying the Role of Internal Climate Variability in Future Climate Trends
- (2015) David W. J. Thompson et al. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
- Anthropogenic warming has increased drought risk in California
- (2015) Noah S. Diffenbaugh et al. PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
- Towards predictive understanding of regional climate change
- (2015) Shang-Ping Xie et al. Nature Climate Change
- Decadal modulation of global surface temperature by internal climate variability
- (2015) Aiguo Dai et al. Nature Climate Change
- weather@home-development and validation of a very large ensemble modelling system for probabilistic event attribution
- (2014) N. Massey et al. QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY
- Projecting regional change
- (2014) Alex Hall SCIENCE
- The geographic distribution and economic value of climate change-related ozone health impacts in the United States in 2030
- (2014) Neal Fann et al. JOURNAL OF THE AIR & WASTE MANAGEMENT ASSOCIATION
- Occurrence and persistence of future atmospheric stagnation events
- (2014) Daniel E. Horton et al. Nature Climate Change
- Projection of wildfire activity in southern California in the mid-twenty-first century
- (2013) Xu Yue et al. CLIMATE DYNAMICS
- An Empirical Benchmark for Decadal Forecasts of Global Surface Temperature Anomalies
- (2013) Matthew Newman JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
- Interactions between perturbations to different Earth system components simulated by a fully-coupled climate model
- (2012) F. Hugo Lambert et al. CLIMATE DYNAMICS
- Communication of the role of natural variability in future North American climate
- (2012) Clara Deser et al. Nature Climate Change
- An empirical model of tropical ocean dynamics
- (2011) Matthew Newman et al. CLIMATE DYNAMICS
- Natural variation in ENSO flavors
- (2011) Matthew Newman et al. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
- EC-Earth
- (2010) Wilco Hazeleger et al. BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY
- Uncertainty in climate change projections: the role of internal variability
- (2010) Clara Deser et al. CLIMATE DYNAMICS
- The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change
- (2010) Ed Hawkins et al. CLIMATE DYNAMICS
- The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions
- (2009) Ed Hawkins et al. BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY
Find Funding. Review Successful Grants.
Explore over 25,000 new funding opportunities and over 6,000,000 successful grants.
ExploreDiscover Peeref hubs
Discuss science. Find collaborators. Network.
Join a conversation