Vanishing islands in the sky? A comparison of correlation‐ and mechanism‐based forecasts of range dynamics for montane salamanders under climate change

Forecasting species range dynamics with process‐explicit models: matching methods to applications

(2019) Natalie J. Briscoe et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Trade-offs between water loss and gas exchange influence habitat suitability of a woodland salamander

(2018) Eric A. Riddell et al.   FUNCTIONAL ECOLOGY

Low acclimation capacity of narrow-ranging thermal specialists exposes susceptibility to global climate change

(2018) Tricia M. Markle et al.   Ecology and Evolution

A framework integrating physiology, dispersal and land-use to project species ranges under climate change

(2017) Joel Methorst et al.   JOURNAL OF AVIAN BIOLOGY

The importance of assessing parameter sensitivity when using biophysical models: a case study using plethodontid salamanders

(2017) William E. Peterman et al.   POPULATION ECOLOGY

Determinants of Range Limits in Montane Woodland Salamanders (GenusPlethodon)

(2016) Marta P. Lyons et al.   COPEIA

Sensitivity Analysis of Range Dynamics Models (SARDM): Quantifying the influence of parameter uncertainty on forecasts of extinction risk from global change

(2016) Damien A. Fordham et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE

Mechanistic variables can enhance predictive models of endotherm distributions: the American pika under current, past, and future climates

(2016) Paul D. Mathewson et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

A multistate mark-recapture approach to estimating survival of PIT-tagged salamanders following timber harvest

(2015) Grant M. Connette et al.   JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY

Uncertainties in the projection of species distributions related to general circulation models

(2015) Eric Goberville et al.   Ecology and Evolution

Geographic variation of resistance to water loss within two species of lungless salamanders: implications for activity

(2015) Eric A. Riddell et al.   Ecosphere

Multiple sources of uncertainty affect metrics for ranking conservation risk under climate change

(2014) Amber N. Wright et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

The origin and maintenance of montane diversity: integrating evolutionary and ecological processes

(2014) Catherine H. Graham et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Recent elevational range expansions in plethodontid salamanders (Amphibia: Plethodontidae) in the southern Appalachian Mountains

(2014) Matthew Moskwik   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Rapid upslope shifts in New Guinean birds illustrate strong distributional responses of tropical montane species to global warming

(2014) B. G. Freeman et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Alternative biological assumptions strongly influence models of climate change effects on mountain gorillas

(2013) James H. Thorne et al.   Ecosphere

Phylogeny, ecology, and the origins of climate–richness relationships

(2012) Kenneth H. Kozak et al.   ECOLOGY

Uses and misuses of bioclimatic envelope modeling

(2012) Miguel B. Araújo et al.   ECOLOGY

Climate-change impacts on understorey bamboo species and giant pandas in China’s Qinling Mountains

(2012) Mao-Ning Tuanmu et al.   Nature Climate Change

Continent-wide response of mountain vegetation to climate change

(2012) Michael Gottfried et al.   Nature Climate Change

Islands in the sky or squeezed at the top? Ecological causes of elevational range limits in montane salamanders

(2011) Matthew E. Gifford et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Strengthening forecasts of climate change impacts with multi-model ensemble averaged projections using MAGICC/SCENGEN 5.3

(2011) Damien A. Fordham et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Nice weather for bettongs: using weather events, not climate means, in species distribution models

(2011) Brooke L. Bateman et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Multi-model climate projections for biodiversity risk assessments

(2011) Damien A. Fordham et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Revisiting projected shifts in the climate envelopes of North American trees using updated general circulation models

(2011) DANIEL W. McKENNEY et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Rapid Range Shifts of Species Associated with High Levels of Climate Warming

(2011) I.-C. Chen et al.   SCIENCE

Niche Conservatism Drives Elevational Diversity Patterns in Appalachian Salamanders

(2010) Kenneth H. Kozak et al.   AMERICAN NATURALIST

Accelerated rates of climatic-niche evolution underlie rapid species diversification

(2010) Kenneth H. Kozak et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Projected Loss of a Salamander Diversity Hotspot as a Consequence of Projected Global Climate Change

(2010) Joseph R. Milanovich et al.   PLoS One

Projected range contractions of montane biodiversity under global warming

(2010) F. A. La Sorte et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Correlative and mechanistic models of species distribution provide congruent forecasts under climate change

(2010) Michael R. Kearney et al.   Conservation Letters

The art of modelling range-shifting species

(2010) Jane Elith et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Species Distribution Models: Ecological Explanation and Prediction Across Space and Time

(2009) Jane Elith et al.   Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics

The projection of species distribution models and the problem of non-analog climate

(2009) Matthew C. Fitzpatrick et al.   BIODIVERSITY AND CONSERVATION

Comparing niche- and process-based models to reduce prediction uncertainty in species range shifts under climate change

(2009) Xavier Morin et al.   ECOLOGY

Mechanistic niche modelling: combining physiological and spatial data to predict species’ ranges

(2009) Michael Kearney et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Uncertainty in ensemble forecasting of species distribution

(2009) LAËTITIA BUISSON et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Climate and history explain the species richness peak at mid-elevation forSchizothoraxfishes (Cypriniformes: Cyprinidae) distributed in the Tibetan Plateau and its adjacent regions

(2009) Jun Li et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Dramatic declines in neotropical salamander populations are an important part of the global amphibian crisis

(2009) S. M. Rovito et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Extinction vulnerability of tropical montane endemism from warming and upslope displacement: a preliminary appraisal for the highest massif in Madagascar

(2008) CHRISTOPHER J. RAXWORTHY et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Competition at the range boundary in the slimy salamander: using reciprocal transplants for studies on the role of biotic interactions in spatial distributions

(2008) Heather R. Cunningham et al.   JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY

Downscaling Climate over Complex Terrain: High Finescale (

(2008) Jason D. Fridley   Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology

Impact of a Century of Climate Change on Small-Mammal Communities in Yosemite National Park, USA

(2008) C. Moritz et al.   SCIENCE

Predicting global change impacts on plant species’ distributions: Future challenges

(2007) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   PERSPECTIVES IN PLANT ECOLOGY EVOLUTION AND SYSTEMATICS