Multi‐scale integration of tree recruitment and range dynamics in a changing climate

A practical guide for combining data to model species distributions

(2019) Robert J. Fletcher et al.   ECOLOGY

Species interactions weakly modify climate-induced tree co-occurrence patterns

(2018) Paige E. Copenhaver-Parry et al.   JOURNAL OF VEGETATION SCIENCE

Habitat suitability estimated by niche models is largely unrelated to species abundance

(2018) Tad A. Dallas et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Elevational rear edges shifted at least as much as leading edges over the last century

(2018) Sabine B. Rumpf et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Dominant tree species of the Colorado Rockies have divergent physiological and morphological responses to warming

(2017) Charles J.W. Carroll et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

Leap frog in slow motion: Divergent responses of tree species and life stages to climatic warming in Great Basin subalpine forests

(2017) Brian V. Smithers et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Lags in the response of mountain plant communities to climate change

(2017) Jake M. Alexander et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

How disturbance, competition, and dispersal interact to prevent tree range boundaries from keeping pace with climate change

(2017) Yu Liang et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Declines in low-elevation subalpine tree populations outpace growth in high-elevation populations with warming

(2017) Erin Conlisk et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Toward an improved conceptual understanding of North American tree species distributions

(2017) Paige E. Copenhaver-Parry et al.   Ecosphere

Extinction debt and colonization credit delay range shifts of eastern North American trees

(2017) Matthew V. Talluto et al.   Nature Ecology & Evolution

Climatic microrefugia under anthropogenic climate change: implications for species redistribution

(2016) Jonathan Lenoir et al.   ECOGRAPHY

A synthesis of transplant experiments and ecological niche models suggests that range limits are often niche limits

(2016) Julie A. Lee-Yaw et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Tree demography suggests multiple directions and drivers for species range shifts in mountains of Northeastern United States

(2016) Jay W. Wason et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

The demography of tree species response to climate: seedling recruitment and survival

(2016) Charles D. Canham et al.   Ecosphere

Species-habitat associations and demographic rates of forest trees

(2015) Yue Bin et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Averaged 30 year climate change projections mask opportunities for species establishment

(2015) Josep M. Serra-Diaz et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Recruitment limitation of long-lived conifers: implications for climate change responses

(2015) Steve J. Kroiss et al.   ECOLOGY

Prevalence and strength of density-dependent tree recruitment

(2015) Kai Zhu et al.   ECOLOGY

Cross-scale integration of knowledge for predicting species ranges: a metamodelling framework

(2015) Matthew V. Talluto et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Forest structure and species traits mediate projected recruitment declines in western US tree species

(2015) Solomon Z. Dobrowski et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Evidence of Tree Species’ Range Shifts in a Complex Landscape

(2015) Vicente J. Monleon et al.   PLoS One

Demography as the basis for understanding and predicting range dynamics

(2014) S. Normand et al.   ECOGRAPHY

On using integral projection models to generate demographically driven predictions of species' distributions: development and validation using sparse data

(2014) Cory Merow et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Does probability of occurrence relate to population dynamics?

(2014) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Temporal context affects the observed rate of climate-driven range shifts in tree species

(2014) Katherine M. Renwick et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Shifting with climate? Evidence for recent changes in tree species distribution at high latitudes

(2014) Laura Boisvert-Marsh et al.   Ecosphere

Disequilibrium vegetation dynamics under future climate change

(2013) Jens-Christian Svenning et al.   AMERICAN JOURNAL OF BOTANY

Are Species’ Range Limits Simply Niche Limits Writ Large? A Review of Transplant Experiments beyond the Range

(2013) Anna L. Hargreaves et al.   AMERICAN NATURALIST

Practical solutions for making models indispensable in conservation decision-making

(2013) Prue F. E. Addison et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Predicting range shifts under global change: the balance between local adaptation and dispersal

(2013) Alexander Kubisch et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Early indicators of change: divergent climate envelopes between tree life stages imply range shifts in the western United States

(2013) David M. Bell et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Microclimate moderates plant responses to macroclimate warming

(2013) P. De Frenne et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Will plant movements keep up with climate change?

(2013) Richard T. Corlett et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Nondestructive Aging of Postfire Seedlings for Four Conifer Species in Northwestern Montana

(2013) Alexandra K. Urza et al.   WESTERN JOURNAL OF APPLIED FORESTRY

Tracking suitable habitat for tree populations under climate change in western North America

(2012) Laura K. Gray et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Temperature dependence of the reproduction niche and its relevance for plant species distributions

(2012) Olga Bykova et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Correlation and process in species distribution models: bridging a dichotomy

(2012) Carsten F. Dormann et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

How to understand species’ niches and range dynamics: a demographic research agenda for biogeography

(2012) Frank M. Schurr et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Failure to migrate: lack of tree range expansion in response to climate change

(2011) Kai Zhu et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Forecasting species ranges by statistical estimation of ecological niches and spatial population dynamics

(2011) Jörn Pagel et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Quantitative metrics of overlaps in Grinnellian niches: advances and possible drawbacks

(2011) D. Rödder et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Changes in Climatic Water Balance Drive Downhill Shifts in Plant Species' Optimum Elevations

(2011) S. M. Crimmins et al.   SCIENCE

Signatures of range expansion and erosion in eastern North American trees

(2010) Helen T. Murphy et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

A weakly informative default prior distribution for logistic and other regression models

(2009) Andrew Gelman et al.   Annals of Applied Statistics

Species Distribution Models: Ecological Explanation and Prediction Across Space and Time

(2009) Jane Elith et al.   Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics

Differences between tree species seedling and adult altitudinal distribution in mountain forests during the recent warm period (1986-2006)

(2009) Jonathan Lenoir et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Ecology and the ratchet of events: Climate variability, niche dimensions, and species distributions

(2009) S. T. Jackson et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Bringing the Hutchinsonian niche into the 21st century: Ecological and evolutionary perspectives

(2009) R. D. Holt   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Adaptation, migration or extirpation: climate change outcomes for tree populations

(2008) Sally N. Aitken et al.   Evolutionary Applications

Rapid shifts in plant distribution with recent climate change

(2008) A. E. Kelly et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA