Modelling microbial infection to address global health challenges

Projections of Ebola outbreak size and duration with and without vaccine use in Équateur, Democratic Republic of Congo, as of May 27, 2018

(2019) J. Daniel Kelly et al.   PLoS One

Evaluating Vaccination Strategies for Zika Virus in the Americas

(2018) David P. Durham et al.   ANNALS OF INTERNAL MEDICINE

Investigating antibiotics, antibiotic resistance genes, and microbial contaminants in groundwater in relation to the proximity of urban areas

(2018) Edina Szekeres et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION

Spatial and temporal distribution of antibiotic resistomes in a peri-urban area is associated significantly with anthropogenic activities

(2018) Qian Xiang et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION

Optimizing the impact of low-efficacy influenza vaccines

(2018) Pratha Sah et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Bayesian inference of spreading processes on networks

(2018) Ritabrata Dutta et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

Antibiotic resistant bacteria are widespread in songbirds across rural and urban environments

(2018) Diana L. Carter et al.   SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT

Epidemic Dengue and Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever at the Texas–Mexico Border: Results of a Household-based Seroepidemiologic Survey, December 2005

(2018) Mary M. Ramos et al.   AMERICAN JOURNAL OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE

Capturing sexual contact patterns in modelling the spread of sexually transmitted infections: Evidence using Natsal-3

(2018) Samik Datta et al.   PLoS One

An HIV Vaccine Is Essential for Ending the HIV/AIDS Pandemic

(2017) Anthony S. Fauci   JAMA-JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION

Detailed Transmission Network Analysis of a Large Opiate-Driven Outbreak of HIV Infection in the United States

(2017) Ellsworth M Campbell et al.   JOURNAL OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES

Global, regional, and national age-sex specific mortality for 264 causes of death, 1980–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016

(2017) Mohsen Naghavi et al.   LANCET

Efficacy and effectiveness of an rVSV-vectored vaccine in preventing Ebola virus disease: final results from the Guinea ring vaccination, open-label, cluster-randomised trial (Ebola Ça Suffit!)

(2017) Ana Maria Henao-Restrepo et al.   LANCET

Preventing acquisition of HIV is the only path to an AIDS-free generation

(2017) Lawrence Corey et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Effectiveness of UNAIDS targets and HIV vaccination across 127 countries

(2017) Jan Medlock et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Critical dynamics in population vaccinating behavior

(2017) A. Demetri Pananos et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Systematic Review: Impact of point sources on antibiotic-resistant bacteria in the natural environment

(2017) I. Bueno et al.   Zoonoses and Public Health

Data-driven models to predict the elimination of sleeping sickness in former Equateur province of DRC

(2017) K.S. Rock et al.   Epidemics

Learning from multi-model comparisons: Collaboration leads to insights, but limitations remain

(2017) T.D. Hollingsworth et al.   Epidemics

Universal or targeted approach to prevent the transmission of extended-spectrum beta-lactamase-producing Enterobacteriaceae in intensive care units: a cost-effectiveness analysis

(2017) Lidia Kardaś-Słoma et al.   BMJ Open

Modeling antibiotic treatment in hospitals: A systematic approach shows benefits of combination therapy over cycling, mixing, and mono-drug therapies

(2017) Burcu Tepekule et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

Role of mass drug administration in elimination of Plasmodium falciparum malaria: a consensus modelling study

(2017) Oliver J Brady et al.   Lancet Global Health

Impact of point sources on antibiotic resistance genes in the natural environment: a systematic review of the evidence

(2017) Irene Bueno et al.   ANIMAL HEALTH RESEARCH REVIEWS

Connecting the dots

(2016) Wim Delva et al.   AIDS

Interrupting Ebola Transmission in Liberia Through Community-Based Initiatives

(2016) Mosoka Fallah et al.   ANNALS OF INTERNAL MEDICINE

Multistrain models predict sequential multidrug treatment strategies to result in less antimicrobial resistance than combination treatment

(2016) Amais Ahmad et al.   BMC MICROBIOLOGY

Bridging the gap between evidence and policy for infectious diseases: How models can aid public health decision-making

(2016) Gwenan M. Knight et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES

Public health impact and cost-effectiveness of the RTS,S/AS01 malaria vaccine: a systematic comparison of predictions from four mathematical models

(2016) Melissa A Penny et al.   LANCET

Global epidemiology of avian influenza A H5N1 virus infection in humans, 1997–2015: a systematic review of individual case data

(2016) Shengjie Lai et al.   LANCET INFECTIOUS DISEASES

Zika viral dynamics and shedding in rhesus and cynomolgus macaques

(2016) Christa E Osuna et al.   NATURE MEDICINE

One Health approach to cost-effective rabies control in India

(2016) Meagan C. Fitzpatrick et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Cost-effectiveness of next-generation vaccines: The case of pertussis

(2016) Meagan C. Fitzpatrick et al.   VACCINE

Disease Surveillance on Complex Social Networks

(2016) Jose L. Herrera et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

Effect of Ebola Progression on Transmission and Control in Liberia

(2015) Dan Yamin et al.   ANNALS OF INTERNAL MEDICINE

Multiscale modelling in immunology: a review

(2015) Antonio Cappuccio et al.   BRIEFINGS IN BIOINFORMATICS

Impact of bed capacity on spatiotemporal shifts in Ebola transmission

(2015) Jeffrey P. Townsend et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Modeling infectious disease dynamics in the complex landscape of global health

(2015) H. Heesterbeek et al.   SCIENCE

Nine challenges in incorporating the dynamics of behaviour in infectious diseases models

(2015) Sebastian Funk et al.   Epidemics

Harnessing Case Isolation and Ring Vaccination to Control Ebola

(2015) Chad Wells et al.   PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases

Assessment of epidemic projections using recent HIV survey data in South Africa: a validation analysis of ten mathematical models of HIV epidemiology in the antiretroviral therapy era

(2015) Jeffrey W Eaton et al.   Lancet Global Health

Formalizing the Role of Agent-Based Modeling in Causal Inference and Epidemiology

(2014) Brandon D. L. Marshall et al.   AMERICAN JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY

Cost-Effectiveness of Canine Vaccination to Prevent Human Rabies in Rural Tanzania

(2014) Meagan C. Fitzpatrick et al.   ANNALS OF INTERNAL MEDICINE

Epidemiological and Viral Genomic Sequence Analysis of the 2014 Ebola Outbreak Reveals Clustered Transmission

(2014) Samuel V. Scarpino et al.   CLINICAL INFECTIOUS DISEASES

The Perpetual Challenge of Antimicrobial Resistance

(2014) Anthony S. Fauci et al.   JAMA-JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION

Dynamics and control of Ebola virus transmission in Montserrado, Liberia: a mathematical modelling analysis

(2014) Joseph A Lewnard et al.   LANCET INFECTIOUS DISEASES

Models overestimate Ebola cases

(2014) Declan Butler   NATURE

Ebola: models do more than forecast

(2014) Caitlin Rivers   NATURE

Ebola Virus Disease in West Africa — The First 9 Months of the Epidemic and Forward Projections

(2014)   NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL OF MEDICINE

Opinion: Mathematical models: A key tool for outbreak response

(2014) Eric T. Lofgren et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Strategies for containing Ebola in West Africa

(2014) A. Pandey et al.   SCIENCE

The Parable of Google Flu: Traps in Big Data Analysis

(2014) D. Lazer et al.   SCIENCE

Evaluating the potential impact of mass praziquantel administration for HIV prevention in Schistosoma haematobium high-risk communities

(2014) Martial L. Ndeffo Mbah et al.   Epidemics

Modeling the within-host dynamics of HIV infection

(2013) Alan S Perelson et al.   BMC BIOLOGY

Influenza A (H7N9) and the Importance of Digital Epidemiology

(2013) Marcel Salathé et al.   NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL OF MEDICINE

Cost-effectiveness of a community-based intervention for reducing the transmission of Schistosoma haematobium and HIV in Africa

(2013) M. L. Ndeffo Mbah et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Social Factors in Epidemiology

(2013) Chris T. Bauch et al.   SCIENCE

Probabilistic uncertainty analysis of epidemiological modeling to guide public health intervention policy

(2013) Jennifer A. Gilbert et al.   Epidemics

Reassessing Google Flu Trends Data for Detection of Seasonal and Pandemic Influenza: A Comparative Epidemiological Study at Three Geographic Scales

(2013) Donald R. Olson et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

Predicting the HIV/AIDS epidemic and measuring the effect of mobility in mainland China

(2012) Yanni Xiao et al.   JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY

Direct and Indirect Effects of Rotavirus Vaccination: Comparing Predictions from Transmission Dynamic Models

(2012) Virginia E. Pitzer et al.   PLoS One

Optimizing Provider Recruitment for Influenza Surveillance Networks

(2012) Samuel V. Scarpino et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

Evolutionary Game Theory and Social Learning Can Determine How Vaccine Scares Unfold

(2012) Chris T. Bauch et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

Digital Epidemiology

(2012) Marcel Salathé et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

Retrospective evidence for a biological cost of vancomycin resistance determinants in the absence of glycopeptide selective pressures

(2011) P. J. Johnsen et al.   JOURNAL OF ANTIMICROBIAL CHEMOTHERAPY

Call of the wild: antibiotic resistance genes in natural environments

(2010) Heather K. Allen et al.   NATURE REVIEWS MICROBIOLOGY

Information Technology and Global Surveillance of Cases of 2009 H1N1 Influenza

(2010) John S. Brownstein et al.   NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL OF MEDICINE

Metapopulation dynamics of rabies and the efficacy of vaccination

(2010) H. L. Beyer et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

The Impact of Contact Tracing in Clustered Populations

(2010) Thomas House et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

Concurrency is more complex than it seems

(2009) Mirjam Kretzschmar et al.   AIDS

Factors affecting the reversal of antimicrobial-drug resistance

(2009) Pål J Johnsen et al.   LANCET INFECTIOUS DISEASES

Emergence and pandemic potential of swine-origin H1N1 influenza virus

(2009) Gabriele Neumann et al.   NATURE

HIV reservoir size and persistence are driven by T cell survival and homeostatic proliferation

(2009) Nicolas Chomont et al.   NATURE MEDICINE

Multiscale mobility networks and the spatial spreading of infectious diseases

(2009) D. Balcan et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Optimizing infectious disease interventions during an emerging epidemic

(2009) J. Wallinga et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Optimizing Influenza Vaccine Distribution

(2009) J. Medlock et al.   SCIENCE

Modeling Latently Infected Cell Activation: Viral and Latent Reservoir Persistence, and Viral Blips in HIV-infected Patients on Potent Therapy

(2009) Libin Rong et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

Coupled Contagion Dynamics of Fear and Disease: Mathematical and Computational Explorations

(2008) Joshua M. Epstein et al.   PLoS One

Optimal Cost-Effectiveness Decisions: The Role of the Cost-Effectiveness Acceptability Curve (CEAC), the Cost-Effectiveness Acceptability Frontier (CEAF), and the Expected Value of Perfection Information (EVPI)

(2008) Garry R. Barton et al.   VALUE IN HEALTH