Estimating and tracking the remaining carbon budget for stringent climate targets

Global temperature definition affects achievement of long-term climate goals

(2018) Mark Richardson et al.   Environmental Research Letters

What is the potential of cropland albedo management in the fight against global warming? A case study based on the use of cover crops

(2018) Dominique Carrer et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Global mean temperature indicators linked to warming levels avoiding climate risks

(2018) Peter Pfleiderer et al.   Environmental Research Letters

The influence of non-CO2 forcings on cumulative carbon emissions budgets

(2018) Katarzyna B Tokarska et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Negative emissions—Part 3: Innovation and upscaling

(2018) Gregory F Nemet et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Negative emissions—Part 2: Costs, potentials and side effects

(2018) Sabine Fuss et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Negative emissions—Part 1: Research landscape and synthesis

(2018) Jan C Minx et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Ocean Carbon Cycle Feedbacks Under Negative Emissions

(2018) Jörg Schwinger et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Climate Impacts From a Removal of Anthropogenic Aerosol Emissions

(2018) B. H. Samset et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Interpretations of the Paris climate target

(2018) A. P. Schurer et al.   Nature Geoscience

Pathways to 1.5 °C and 2 °C warming based on observational and geological constraints

(2018) Philip Goodwin et al.   Nature Geoscience

Politically informed advice for climate action

(2018) Oliver Geden   Nature Geoscience

Beyond carbon budgets

(2018) Glen P. Peters   Nature Geoscience

Carbon budgets for 1.5 and 2 °C targets lowered by natural wetland and permafrost feedbacks

(2018) Edward Comyn-Platt et al.   Nature Geoscience

The utility of the historical record for assessing the transient climate response to cumulative emissions

(2018) Richard J. Millar et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

The impact of Earth system feedbacks on carbon budgets and climate response

(2018) Jason A. Lowe et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

Pathways limiting warming to 1.5°C: a tale of turning around in no time?

(2018) Elmar Kriegler et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

Cumulative carbon emissions budgets consistent with 1.5 °C global warming

(2018) Katarzyna B. Tokarska et al.   Nature Climate Change

Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 °C

(2018) Joeri Rogelj et al.   Nature Climate Change

1.5 °C carbon budget dependent on carbon cycle uncertainty and future non-CO2 forcing

(2018) Nadine Mengis et al.   Scientific Reports

Incentivize negative emissions responsibly

(2018) Rob Bellamy   Nature Energy

Path-dependent reductions in CO2 emission budgets caused by permafrost carbon release

(2018) T. Gasser et al.   Nature Geoscience

A new scenario resource for integrated 1.5 °C research

(2018) Daniel Huppmann et al.   Nature Climate Change

What determines the warming commitment after cessation of CO2emissions?

(2017) Dana Ehlert et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Getting It Right Matters: Temperature Goal Interpretations in Geoscience Research

(2017) Joeri Rogelj et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Fossil-fueled development (SSP5): An energy and resource intensive scenario for the 21st century

(2017) Elmar Kriegler et al.   GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS

The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview

(2017) Keywan Riahi et al.   GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS

The Uncertainty in the Transient Climate Response to Cumulative CO2 Emissions Arising from the Uncertainty in Physical Climate Parameters

(2017) Andrew H. MacDougall et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The Sensitivity of the Proportionality between Temperature Change and Cumulative CO2 Emissions to Ocean Mixing

(2017) Dana Ehlert et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Emission budgets and pathways consistent with limiting warming to 1.5 °C

(2017) Richard J. Millar et al.   Nature Geoscience

Importance of the pre-industrial baseline for likelihood of exceeding Paris goals

(2017) Andrew P. Schurer et al.   Nature Climate Change

A real-time Global Warming Index

(2017) K. Haustein et al.   Scientific Reports

A framework to understand the transient climate response to emissions

(2016) Richard G Williams et al.   Environmental Research Letters

On the proportionality between global temperature change and cumulative CO2emissions during periods of net negative CO2emissions

(2016) Kirsten Zickfeld et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Emissions reduction: Scrutinize CO2 removal methods

(2016) Phil Williamson   NATURE

Projected land photosynthesis constrained by changes in the seasonal cycle of atmospheric CO2

(2016) Sabrina Wenzel et al.   NATURE

An actionable climate target

(2016) Oliver Geden   Nature Geoscience

Mapping the climate change challenge

(2016) Stephane Hallegatte et al.   Nature Climate Change

The climate response to five trillion tonnes of carbon

(2016) Katarzyna B. Tokarska et al.   Nature Climate Change

Differences between carbon budget estimates unravelled

(2016) Joeri Rogelj et al.   Nature Climate Change

Science and policy characteristics of the Paris Agreement temperature goal

(2016) Carl-Friedrich Schleussner et al.   Nature Climate Change

The legacy of our CO2 emissions: a clash of scientific facts, politics and ethics

(2015) Reto Knutti et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Impact of short-lived non-CO2mitigation on carbon budgets for stabilizing global warming

(2015) Joeri Rogelj et al.   Environmental Research Letters

The time lag between a carbon dioxide emission and maximum warming increases with the size of the emission

(2015) Kirsten Zickfeld et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Extending the relationship between global warming and cumulative carbon emissions to multi-millennial timescales

(2015) Thomas L Frölicher et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Increase of uncertainty in transient climate response to cumulative carbon emissions after stabilization of atmospheric CO2concentration

(2015) Kaoru Tachiiri et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Sensitivity of carbon budgets to permafrost carbon feedbacks and non-CO2 forcings

(2015) Andrew H MacDougall et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Mitigation choices impact carbon budget size compatible with low temperature goals

(2015) Joeri Rogelj et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Zero emission targets as long-term global goals for climate protection

(2015) Joeri Rogelj et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Understanding the contribution of non-carbon dioxide gases in deep mitigation scenarios

(2015) David E.H.J. Gernaat et al.   GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS

Quantifying the Limits of a Linear Temperature Response to Cumulative CO2Emissions

(2015) Martin Leduc et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The Origin and Limits of the Near Proportionality between Climate Warming and Cumulative CO2Emissions

(2015) Andrew H. MacDougall et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Climate change and the permafrost carbon feedback

(2015) E. A. G. Schuur et al.   NATURE

A simplified, data-constrained approach to estimate the permafrost carbon–climate feedback

(2015) C. D. Koven et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

Possible artifacts of data biases in the recent global surface warming hiatus

(2015) T. R. Karl et al.   SCIENCE

Maximum warming occurs about one decade after a carbon dioxide emission

(2014) Katharine L Ricke et al.   Environmental Research Letters

The impact of the permafrost carbon feedback on global climate

(2014) Kevin Schaefer et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Natural variability, radiative forcing and climate response in the recent hiatus reconciled

(2014) Markus Huber et al.   Nature Geoscience

Persistent growth of CO2 emissions and implications for reaching climate targets

(2014) P. Friedlingstein et al.   Nature Geoscience

Evaluation of 11 terrestrial carbon-nitrogen cycle models against observations from two temperate Free-Air CO2Enrichment studies

(2014) Sönke Zaehle et al.   NEW PHYTOLOGIST

Constraining the Ratio of Global Warming to Cumulative CO2Emissions Using CMIP5 Simulations*

(2013) Nathan P. Gillett et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Long-Term Climate Change Commitment and Reversibility: An EMIC Intercomparison

(2013) Kirsten Zickfeld et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Coverage bias in the HadCRUT4 temperature series and its impact on recent temperature trends

(2013) Kevin Cowtan et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Irreversible Does Not Mean Unavoidable

(2013) H. D. Matthews et al.   SCIENCE

Continued global warming after CO2 emissions stoppage

(2013) Thomas Lukas Frölicher et al.   Nature Climate Change

NOAA's Merged Land–Ocean Surface Temperature Analysis

(2012) Russell S. Vose et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Quantifying uncertainties in global and regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates: The HadCRUT4 data set

(2012) Colin P. Morice et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300

(2011) Malte Meinshausen et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Ongoing climate change following a complete cessation of carbon dioxide emissions

(2011) Nathan P. Gillett et al.   Nature Geoscience

The budget approach: A framework for a global transformation toward a low-carbon economy

(2010) Dirk Messner et al.   Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy

Terrestrial biogeochemical feedbacks in the climate system

(2010) A. Arneth et al.   Nature Geoscience

Persistence of climate changes due to a range of greenhouse gases

(2010) S. Solomon et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

GLOBAL SURFACE TEMPERATURE CHANGE

(2010) J. Hansen et al.   REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS

The proportionality of global warming to cumulative carbon emissions

(2009) H. Damon Matthews et al.   NATURE

Warming caused by cumulative carbon emissions towards the trillionth tonne

(2009) Myles R. Allen et al.   NATURE

Greenhouse-gas emission targets for limiting global warming to 2 °C

(2009) Malte Meinshausen et al.   NATURE

Setting cumulative emissions targets to reduce the risk of dangerous climate change

(2009) K. Zickfeld et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Stabilizing climate requires near-zero emissions

(2008) H. Damon Matthews et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS