Understanding extinction debts: spatio–temporal scales, mechanisms and a roadmap for future research

When Do Shifts in Trait Dynamics Precede Population Declines?

(2019) Gaurav Baruah et al.   AMERICAN NATURALIST

Interactions between ecological, evolutionary and environmental processes unveil complex dynamics of insular plant diversity

(2019) Juliano Sarmento Cabral et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Global dataset shows geography and life form predict modern plant extinction and rediscovery

(2019) Aelys M. Humphreys et al.   Nature Ecology & Evolution

Analysing ecological networks of species interactions

(2018) Eva Delmas et al.   BIOLOGICAL REVIEWS

Will human influences on evolutionary dynamics in the wild pervade the Anthropocene?

(2018) Fanie Pelletier et al.   BMC BIOLOGY

Seed-dispersal interactions in fragmented landscapes - a metanetwork approach

(2018) Carine Emer et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Predicting tipping points in mutualistic networks through dimension reduction

(2018) Junjie Jiang et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Past and potential future effects of habitat fragmentation on structure and stability of plant–pollinator and host–parasitoid networks

(2018) Ingo Grass et al.   Nature Ecology & Evolution

Embracing scale-dependence to achieve a deeper understanding of biodiversity and its change across communities

(2018) Jonathan M. Chase et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

BioTIME: A database of biodiversity time series for the Anthropocene

(2018) Maria Dornelas et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

An evolutionary tipping point in a changing environment

(2017) Matthew M. Osmond et al.   EVOLUTION

Time-lagged response of carabid species richness and composition to past management practices and landscape context of semi-natural field margins

(2017) Audrey Alignier et al.   JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT

A forecast for extinction debt in the presence of speciation

(2017) Vasiliki Sgardeli et al.   JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY

Extinction debt in plant communities: where are we now?

(2017) John M. Halley et al.   JOURNAL OF VEGETATION SCIENCE

Preponderance of clonality triggers loss of sex in Bulbophyllum bicolor , an obligately outcrossing epiphytic orchid

(2017) Ai-Qun Hu et al.   MOLECULAR ECOLOGY

Linking the influence and dependence of people on biodiversity across scales

(2017) Forest Isbell et al.   NATURE

Trait assembly in grasslands depends on habitat history and spatial scale

(2017) Liina Saar et al.   OECOLOGIA

Do asynchronies in extinction debt affect the structure of trophic networks? A case study of antagonistic butterfly larvae-plant networks

(2017) Moisès Guardiola et al.   OIKOS

Evaluating the local habitat history deepens the understanding of the extinction debt for endangered plant species in semi-natural grasslands

(2017) Tomoyo F. Koyanagi et al.   PLANT ECOLOGY

Waiting can be an optimal conservation strategy, even in a crisis discipline

(2017) Gwenllian D. Iacona et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Delayed behavioural shifts undermine the sustainability of social–ecological systems

(2017) A.-S. Lafuite et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Climate change risks, extinction debt, and conservation implications for a threatened freshwater fish: Carmine shiner ( Notropis percobromus )

(2017) Shubha N. Pandit et al.   SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT

A dynamic eco-evolutionary model predicts slow response of alpine plants to climate warming

(2017) Olivier Cotto et al.   Nature Communications

Clonality disguises the vulnerability of a threatened arid zone Acacia

(2017) David G. Roberts et al.   Ecology and Evolution

Extinction debt and colonization credit delay range shifts of eastern North American trees

(2017) Matthew V. Talluto et al.   Nature Ecology & Evolution

The multilayer nature of ecological networks

(2017) Shai Pilosof et al.   Nature Ecology & Evolution

Evidence and mapping of extinction debts for global forest-dwelling reptiles, amphibians and mammals

(2017) Youhua Chen et al.   Scientific Reports

A general framework for predicting delayed responses of ecological communities to habitat loss

(2017) Youhua Chen et al.   Scientific Reports

Anticipating extinctions of glacial relict populations in mountain refugia

(2016) Borja Jiménez-Alfaro et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

Extinction debt from climate change for frogs in the wet tropics

(2016) Damien A. Fordham et al.   Biology Letters

Eco-evolutionary dynamics in fragmented landscapes

(2016) Delphine Legrand et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Mechanistic simulation models in macroecology and biogeography: state-of-art and prospects

(2016) Juliano Sarmento Cabral et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Forest succession and population viability of grassland plants: long repayment of extinction debt in Primula veris

(2016) Kari Lehtilä et al.   OECOLOGIA

Improving the forecast for biodiversity under climate change

(2016) M. C. Urban et al.   SCIENCE

Plant extinctions take time

(2016) Quentin Cronk   SCIENCE

Time to extinction in deteriorating environments

(2016) Katherine Zarada et al.   Theoretical Ecology

Dynamics of extinction debt across five taxonomic groups

(2016) John M. Halley et al.   Nature Communications

Extinction Debt and Colonizer Credit on a Habitat Perturbed Fishing Bank

(2016) Daniel E. Duplisea et al.   PLoS One

Long-Distance Rescue and Slow Extinction Dynamics Govern Multiscale Metapopulations

(2015) Géraldine Huth et al.   AMERICAN NATURALIST

Historical legacies accumulate to shape future biodiversity in an era of rapid global change

(2015) Franz Essl et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Extinction debt and the role of static and dynamical fragmentation on biodiversity

(2015) Elder S. Claudino et al.   Ecological Complexity

Predicting extinction debt from community patterns

(2015) Justin Kitzes et al.   ECOLOGY

Evolutionary rescue can be impeded by temporary environmental amelioration

(2015) Yi-Qi Hao et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Population size and reproduction in the declining endangered forest plant Chimaphila umbellata in Sweden

(2015) Anna Lundell et al.   FOLIA GEOBOTANICA

Land use change and pollinator extinction debt in exurban landscapes

(2015) Sarah Cusser et al.   Insect Conservation and Diversity

Using plant traits to predict the sensitivity of colonizations and extirpations to landscape context

(2015) Jenny L. McCune et al.   OECOLOGIA

Regeneration potential in South African forest fragments: extinction debt paid off or hampered by contemporary matrix modification?

(2015) Alexandra Botzat et al.   PLANT ECOLOGY

Accelerating extinction risk from climate change

(2015) M. C. Urban   SCIENCE

Delayed biodiversity change: no time to waste

(2015) Franz Essl et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Habitat fragmentation and its lasting impact on Earth's ecosystems

(2015) N. M. Haddad et al.   Science Advances

Disturbance Relicts in a Rapidly Changing World: The Rapa Nui (Easter Island) Factor

(2014) J. Judson Wynne et al.   BIOSCIENCE

Fragmentation genetics of the grassland butterfly Polyommatus coridon: Stable genetic diversity or extinction debt?

(2014) Jan Christian Habel et al.   CONSERVATION GENETICS

Extinction debt for plants and flower-visiting insects in landscapes with contrasting land use history

(2014) Riccardo Bommarco et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Optimal investment in ecological rehabilitation under climate change

(2014) Anke D. Leroux et al.   ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS

The rise of Network Ecology: Maps of the topic diversity and scientific collaboration

(2014) Stuart R. Borrett et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

The biodiversity-dependent ecosystem service debt

(2014) Forest Isbell et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

A simple stochastic model for complex coextinctions in mutualistic networks: robustness decreases with connectance

(2014) Marcos Costa Vieira et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Beyond species loss: the extinction of ecological interactions in a changing world

(2014) Alfonso Valiente-Banuet et al.   FUNCTIONAL ECOLOGY

Beyond species: why ecological interaction networks vary through space and time

(2014) Timothée Poisot et al.   OIKOS

Clonal ability, height and growth form explain species’ response to habitat deterioration in Fennoscandian wooded meadows

(2014) Merit Otsus et al.   PLANT ECOLOGY

Habitat Fragmentation and Species Extirpation in Freshwater Ecosystems; Causes of Range Decline of the Indus River Dolphin (Platanista gangetica minor)

(2014) Gill T. Braulik et al.   PLoS One

Defaunation in the Anthropocene

(2014) R. Dirzo et al.   SCIENCE

The biodiversity of species and their rates of extinction, distribution, and protection

(2014) S. L. Pimm et al.   SCIENCE

Historical ecology: Using unconventional data sources to test for effects of global environmental change

(2013) Mark Vellend et al.   AMERICAN JOURNAL OF BOTANY

Species-area relationships and extinction forecasts

(2013) John M. Halley et al.   Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences

Patch history and spatial scale modulate local plant extinction and extinction debt in habitat patches

(2013) Moisès Guardiola et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

The use of habitat suitability models and species-area relationships to predict extinction debts in coastal forests, South Africa

(2013) Pieter I. Olivier et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Metacommunity, mainland-island system or island communities? Assessing the regional dynamics of plant communities in a fragmented landscape

(2013) Felix May et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Habitat loss alters the architecture of plant–pollinator interaction networks

(2013) Brian J. Spiesman et al.   ECOLOGY

Species–area relationships always overestimate extinction rates from habitat loss: comment

(2013) Jacob Bock Axelsen et al.   ECOLOGY

Species-area relationships and extinctions caused by habitat loss and fragmentation

(2013) Joel Rybicki et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

A road map for integrating eco-evolutionary processes into biodiversity models

(2013) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Extinction debt and the species-area relationship: a neutral perspective

(2013) John M. Halley et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Time-lag in extinction dynamics in experimental populations: evidence for a genetic Allee effect?

(2013) Elodie Vercken et al.   JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY

Extinction debt in a common grassland species: immediate and delayed responses of plant and population fitness

(2013) Krista Takkis et al.   PLANT ECOLOGY

Plant invasions and extinction debts

(2013) B. Gilbert et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Europe's other debt crisis caused by the long legacy of future extinctions

(2013) S. Dullinger et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Essential Biodiversity Variables

(2013) H. M. Pereira et al.   SCIENCE

The mechanisms causing extinction debts

(2013) Kristoffer Hylander et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Beyond the species-area relationship: improving macroecological extinction estimates

(2013) Justin Kitzes et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Long-term metapopulation study of the Glanville fritillary butterfly (Melitaea cinxia): survey methods, data management, and long-term population trends

(2013) Sami P. Ojanen et al.   Ecology and Evolution

Coextinction and Persistence of Dependent Species in a Changing World

(2012) Robert K. Colwell et al.   Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics

Which plant traits predict species loss in calcareous grasslands with extinction debt?

(2012) Liina Saar et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Traits related to species persistence and dispersal explain changes in plant communities subjected to habitat loss

(2012) Lorenzo Marini et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

A global synthesis reveals biodiversity loss as a major driver of ecosystem change

(2012) David U. Hooper et al.   NATURE

Biodiversity loss and its impact on humanity

(2012) Bradley J. Cardinale et al.   NATURE

Limited evolutionary rescue of locally adapted populations facing climate change

(2012) K. Schiffers et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Evolutionary rescue in vertebrates: evidence, applications and uncertainty

(2012) E. Vander Wal et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Eco-evolutionary feedbacks, adaptive dynamics and evolutionary rescue theory

(2012) R. Ferriere et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Evolutionary rescue and the limits of adaptation

(2012) G. Bell   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

How does climate change cause extinction?

(2012) A. E. Cahill et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Quantifying temporal change in biodiversity: challenges and opportunities

(2012) M. Dornelas et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Extinction Debt and Windows of Conservation Opportunity in the Brazilian Amazon

(2012) O. R. Wearn et al.   SCIENCE

A framework for predicting species extinction by linking population dynamics with habitat loss

(2012) Andrew J. Tanentzap et al.   Conservation Letters

Extinction debt of high-mountain plants under twenty-first-century climate change

(2012) Stefan Dullinger et al.   Nature Climate Change

A Metapopulation Paradox: Partial Improvement of Habitat May Reduce Metapopulation Persistence

(2011) Hans J. Poethke et al.   AMERICAN NATURALIST

Meta-Analysis of Susceptibility of Woody Plants to Loss of Genetic Diversity through Habitat Fragmentation

(2011) GUY VRANCKX et al.   CONSERVATION BIOLOGY

Effect of habitat area and isolation on plant trait distribution in European forests and grasslands

(2011) Regina Lindborg et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Allee effects and extinction debt

(2011) Matthew J. Labrum   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Species richness of hedgerow habitats in changing agricultural landscapes: are α and γ diversity shaped by the same factors?

(2011) Aude Ernoult et al.   LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY

Species–area relationships always overestimate extinction rates from habitat loss

(2011) Fangliang He et al.   NATURE

Linking landscape history and dispersal traits in grassland plant communities

(2011) Oliver Purschke et al.   OECOLOGIA

Extinction Debt in Source-Sink Metacommunities

(2011) Nicolas Mouquet et al.   PLoS One

Neutral theory as a predictor of avifaunal extinctions after habitat loss

(2011) J. M. Halley et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Adaptation and Evolutionary Rescue in Metapopulations Experiencing Environmental Deterioration

(2011) G. Bell et al.   SCIENCE

Detection of extinction debt depends on scale and specialisation

(2010) Sara A.O. Cousins et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

A large-scale conservation perspective considering endemic fishes of the North American plains

(2010) Christopher W. Hoagstrom et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

Trapped in the extinction vortex? Strong genetic effects in a declining vertebrate population

(2010) Donald Blomqvist et al.   BMC EVOLUTIONARY BIOLOGY

Deforestation and Avian Extinction on Tropical Landbridge Islands

(2010) NAVJOT S. SODHI et al.   CONSERVATION BIOLOGY

Conservation biogeography of freshwater fishes: recent progress and future challenges

(2010) Julian D. Olden et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Habitat fragmentation causes immediate and time-delayed biodiversity loss at different trophic levels

(2010) Jochen Krauss et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Historical landscape structure affects plant species richness in wet heathlands with complex landscape dynamics

(2010) Sara Cristofoli et al.   LANDSCAPE AND URBAN PLANNING

Marine extinctions and conservation

(2010) John C. Briggs   MARINE BIOLOGY

Local community size mediates ecological drift and competition in metacommunities

(2010) J. L. Orrock et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Stochastic models of population extinction

(2010) Otso Ovaskainen et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Habitat fragmentation reduces genetic diversity and connectivity among toad populations in the Brazilian Atlantic Coastal Forest

(2009) Marianna Dixo et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

Bushmeat poaching reduces the seed dispersal and population growth rate of a mammal-dispersed tree

(2009) Jedediah F. Brodie et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Sensitivity of plant–pollinator–herbivore communities to changes in phenology

(2009) Nicholas S. Fabina et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Habitat destruction and the extinction debt revisited: The Allee effect

(2009) Ling-ling Chen et al.   MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES

Extinction debt: a challenge for biodiversity conservation

(2009) Mikko Kuussaari et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Balancing biodiversity in a changing environment: extinction debt, immigration credit and species turnover

(2009) Stephen T. Jackson et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Extinction debt: origins, developments, and applications of a biogeographical trope

(2008) George P. Malanson   PROGRESS IN PHYSICAL GEOGRAPHY

Synergies among extinction drivers under global change

(2008) B BROOK et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION