What's hot in conservation biogeography in a changing climate? Going beyond species range dynamics

Integrating climate and land-use change scenarios in modelling the future spread of invasive squirrels in Italy

(2019) Mirko Di Febbraro et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

A dark scenario for Cerrado plant species: Effects of future climate, land use and protected areas ineffectiveness

(2019) Santiago José Elías Velazco et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Standards for distribution models in biodiversity assessments

(2019) Miguel B. Araújo et al.   Science Advances

Projected 21st-century distribution of canopy-forming seaweeds in the Northwest Atlantic with climate change

(2019) Kristen L. Wilson et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Genetic trials improve the transfer of Douglas-fir distribution models across continents

(2018) Debojyoti Chakraborty et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Highlighting declines of cold-demanding plant species in lowlands under climate warming

(2018) Emilien Kuhn et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Climatic, topographic, and anthropogenic factors determine connectivity between current and future climate analogs in North America

(2018) Carlos Carroll et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

An empirical test of the relative and combined effects of land-cover and climate change on local colonization and extinction

(2018) Semra Yalcin et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Misleading prioritizations from modelling range shifts under climate change

(2018) Helen R. Sofaer et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Towards the Integration of Niche and Network Theories

(2018) Oscar Godoy et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Disequilibrium of fire-prone forests sets the stage for a rapid decline in conifer dominance during the 21st century

(2018) Josep M. Serra-Diaz et al.   Scientific Reports

Potentially dangerous consequences for biodiversity of solar geoengineering implementation and termination

(2018) Christopher H. Trisos et al.   Nature Ecology & Evolution

BioTIME: A database of biodiversity time series for the Anthropocene

(2018) Maria Dornelas et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Past and future global transformation of terrestrial ecosystems under climate change

(2018) Connor Nolan et al.   SCIENCE

Climate change may have minor impact on zooplankton functional diversity in the Mediterranean Sea

(2018) Fabio Benedetti et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Patterns and drivers of long-term changes in breeding bird communities in a global biodiversity hotspot in Mexico

(2018) Aaron D. Flesch   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Environmental tolerance of three gammarid species with and without invasion record under current and future global warming scenarios

(2018) Isabel Casties et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Disentangling the climatic and biotic factors driving changes in the dynamics of Quercus suber populations across the species‘ latitudinal range

(2018) Luis Matías et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Predicting cetacean abundance and distribution in a changing climate

(2018) Elizabeth A. Becker et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Complex elevational shifts in a tropical lowland moth community following a decade of climate change

(2018) Wenda Cheng et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Conservation implications of ecological responses to extreme weather and climate events

(2018) Sean L. Maxwell et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Climate change is likely to affect the distribution but not parapatry of the Brazilian marmoset monkeys ( Callithrix spp.)

(2018) Alan Gerhardt Braz et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Plant and ant assemblages predicted to decouple under climate change

(2018) Stefan Caddy‐Retalic et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Using species distribution modelling to determine opportunities for trophic rewilding under future scenarios of climate change

(2018) Scott Jarvie et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Bioenergy cropland expansion may offset positive effects of climate change mitigation for global vertebrate diversity

(2018) Christian Hof et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Climate change causes upslope shifts and mountaintop extirpations in a tropical bird community

(2018) Benjamin G. Freeman et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

How disturbance, competition, and dispersal interact to prevent tree range boundaries from keeping pace with climate change

(2017) Yu Liang et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

NicheMapR - an R package for biophysical modelling: the microclimate model

(2016) Michael R. Kearney et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Eco-evolutionary dynamics in fragmented landscapes

(2016) Delphine Legrand et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Climatic microrefugia under anthropogenic climate change: implications for species redistribution

(2016) Jonathan Lenoir et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Incorporating evolutionary adaptation in species distribution modelling reduces projected vulnerability to climate change

(2016) Alex Bush et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

A trait-based approach for predicting species responses to environmental change from sparse data: how well might terrestrial mammals track climate change?

(2016) Luca Santini et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Benchmarking novel approaches for modelling species range dynamics

(2016) Damaris Zurell et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Big data for forecasting the impacts of global change on plant communities

(2016) Janet Franklin et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

The importance of realistic dispersal models in conservation planning: application of a novel modelling platform to evaluate management scenarios in an Afrotropical biodiversity hotspot

(2016) Job Aben et al.   JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY

Global change and terrestrial plant community dynamics

(2016) Janet Franklin et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Improving the forecast for biodiversity under climate change

(2016) M. C. Urban et al.   SCIENCE

Towards Process-based Range Modeling of Many Species

(2016) Margaret E.K. Evans et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Alien Pathogens on the Horizon: Opportunities for Predicting their Threat to Wildlife

(2016) Helen E. Roy et al.   Conservation Letters

Climate change velocity underestimates climate change exposure in mountainous regions

(2016) Solomon Z. Dobrowski et al.   Nature Communications

Mapping climatic mechanisms likely to favour the emergence of novel communities

(2016) Alejandro Ordonez et al.   Nature Climate Change

Spatial models reveal the microclimatic buffering capacity of old-growth forests

(2016) S. J. K. Frey et al.   Science Advances

Diversity and Distributions is (still) a journal of conservation biogeography

(2015) Janet Franklin   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Distribution shifts of freshwater fish under a variable climate: comparing climatic, bioclimatic and biotic velocities

(2015) Lise Comte et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Species traits and climate velocity explain geographic range shifts in an ocean-warming hotspot

(2015) Jennifer M. Sunday et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

The capacity of refugia for conservation planning under climate change

(2015) Gunnar Keppel et al.   FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT

Melting barriers to faunal exchange across ocean basins

(2015) C. Seabird McKeon et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Cross-scale integration of knowledge for predicting species ranges: a metamodelling framework

(2015) Matthew V. Talluto et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Disturbance and climate microrefugia mediate tree range shifts during climate change

(2015) Josep M. Serra-Diaz et al.   LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY

Science for a wilder Anthropocene: Synthesis and future directions for trophic rewilding research

(2015) Jens-Christian Svenning et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Temperate forest health in an era of emerging megadisturbance

(2015) C. I. Millar et al.   SCIENCE

Arctic warming will promote Atlantic–Pacific fish interchange

(2015) M. S. Wisz et al.   Nature Climate Change

Biotic and Climatic Velocity Identify Contrasting Areas of Vulnerability to Climate Change

(2015) Carlos Carroll et al.   PLoS One

Anticipating the spatio-temporal response of plant diversity and vegetation structure to climate and land use change in a protected area

(2014) Isabelle Boulangeat et al.   ECOGRAPHY

On using integral projection models to generate demographically driven predictions of species' distributions: development and validation using sparse data

(2014) Cory Merow et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Global protected area expansion is compromised by projected land-use and parochialism

(2014) Federico Montesino Pouzols et al.   NATURE

Geographical limits to species-range shifts are suggested by climate velocity

(2014) Michael T. Burrows et al.   NATURE

Spatial and temporal variation in plant hydraulic traits and their relevance for climate change impacts on vegetation

(2014) William R. L. Anderegg   NEW PHYTOLOGIST

The emergence and promise of functional biogeography

(2014) C. Violle et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Fine-grain modeling of species’ response to climate change: holdouts, stepping-stones, and microrefugia

(2014) Lee Hannah et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

RangeShifter: a platform for modelling spatial eco-evolutionary dynamics and species' responses to environmental changes

(2014) Greta Bocedi et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Understanding co-occurrence by modelling species simultaneously with a Joint Species Distribution Model (JSDM)

(2014) Laura J. Pollock et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Bioclimatic velocity: the pace of species exposure to climate change

(2013) Josep M. Serra-Diaz et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Projected climate-driven faunal movement routes

(2013) J. J. Lawler et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Linking spatially explicit species distribution and population models to plan for the persistence of plant species under global change

(2013) JANET FRANKLIN et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL CONSERVATION

How biotic interactions may alter future predictions of species distributions: future threats to the persistence of the arctic fox in Fennoscandia

(2012) Anouschka R. Hof et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

The MIGCLIM R package - seamless integration of dispersal constraints into projections of species distribution models

(2012) Robin Engler et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Uncertainty in assessing the impacts of global change with coupled dynamic species distribution and population models

(2012) Erin Conlisk et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Climate Change Impacts on Marine Ecosystems

(2011) Scott C. Doney et al.   Annual Review of Marine Science

Analysis of climate paths reveals potential limitations on species range shifts

(2011) Regan Early et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Climate change threatens European conservation areas

(2011) Miguel B. Araújo et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Evaluation of assisted colonization strategies under global change for a rare, fire-dependent plant

(2011) HELEN M. REGAN et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Intra-specific variability and plasticity influence potential tree species distributions under climate change

(2011) Marta Benito Garzón et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Beyond Predictions: Biodiversity Conservation in a Changing Climate

(2011) T. P. Dawson et al.   SCIENCE

Conservation biogeography - foundations, concepts and challenges

(2010) David M. Richardson et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Moving beyond static species distribution models in support of conservation biogeography

(2010) Janet Franklin   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

The geography of climate change: implications for conservation biogeography

(2010) D. D. Ackerly et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Predicting the future of forests in the Mediterranean under climate change, with niche- and process-based models: CO2 matters!

(2010) TREVOR KEENAN et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

A climatic basis for microrefugia: the influence of terrain on climate

(2010) SOLOMON Z. DOBROWSKI   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

A global overview of drought and heat-induced tree mortality reveals emerging climate change risks for forests

(2009) Craig D. Allen et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

The velocity of climate change

(2009) Scott R. Loarie et al.   NATURE

Climatic extremes improve predictions of spatial patterns of tree species

(2009) N. E. Zimmermann et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Impacts of climate change on species, populations and communities: palaeobiogeographical insights and frontiers

(2008) G.M. MacDonald et al.   PROGRESS IN PHYSICAL GEOGRAPHY