Wildfires and climate change push low-elevation forests across a critical climate threshold for tree regeneration

Climate will increasingly determine post-fire tree regeneration success in low-elevation forests, Northern Rockies, USA

(2019) Kerry B. Kemp et al.   Ecosphere

Moisture availability limits subalpine tree establishment

(2018) Robert A. Andrus et al.   ECOLOGY

High-severity fire: evaluating its key drivers and mapping its probability across western US forests

(2018) Sean A Parks et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Accuracy of node and bud-scar counts for aging two dominant conifers in western North America

(2018) Lacey E. Hankin et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

Anticipating fire-mediated impacts of climate change using a demographic framework

(2018) Kimberley T. Davis et al.   FUNCTIONAL ECOLOGY

Coupled ecohydrology and plant hydraulics modeling predicts ponderosa pine seedling mortality and lower treeline in the US Northern Rocky Mountains

(2018) Caelan Simeone et al.   NEW PHYTOLOGIST

Decreasing fire season precipitation increased recent western US forest wildfire activity

(2018) Zachary A. Holden et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Changing spatial patterns of stand-replacing fire in California conifer forests

(2017) Jens T. Stevens et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

A range of possibilities: Assessing geographic variation in climate sensitivity of ponderosa pine using tree rings

(2017) Ian M. McCullough et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

Vulnerability to forest loss through altered postfire recovery dynamics in a warming climate in the Klamath Mountains

(2017) Alan J. Tepley et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Climate Drives Episodic Conifer Establishment after Fire in Dry Ponderosa Pine Forests of the Colorado Front Range, USA

(2017) Monica Rother et al.   Forests

Historic and projected changes in vapor pressure deficit suggest a continental-scale drying of the United States atmosphere

(2017) Darren L. Ficklin et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES

Increased water deficit decreases Douglas fir growth throughout western US forests

(2016) Christina M. Restaino et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Impact of anthropogenic climate change on wildfire across western US forests

(2016) John T. Abatzoglou et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Predicting conifer establishment post wildfire in mixed conifer forests of the North American Mediterranean-climate zone

(2016) Kevin R. Welch et al.   Ecosphere

Regeneration of montane forests 24 years after the 1988 Yellowstone fires: A fire-catalyzed shift in lower treelines?

(2016) Daniel C. Donato et al.   Ecosphere

Limited conifer regeneration following wildfires in dry ponderosa pine forests of the Colorado Front Range

(2016) Monica T. Rother et al.   Ecosphere

Exploring Climate Niches of Ponderosa Pine (Pinus ponderosa Douglas ex Lawson) Haplotypes in the Western United States: Implications for Evolutionary History and Conservation

(2016) Douglas J. Shinneman et al.   PLoS One

A field experiment informs expected patterns of conifer regeneration after disturbance under changing climate conditions

(2015) Monica T. Rother et al.   CANADIAN JOURNAL OF FOREST RESEARCH

Forest structure and species traits mediate projected recruitment declines in western US tree species

(2015) Solomon Z. Dobrowski et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Effects of climate on reproductive investment in a masting species: assessment of climatic predictors and underlying mechanisms

(2015) Xoaquín Moreira et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Fire legacies impact conifer regeneration across environmental gradients in the U.S. northern Rockies

(2015) Kerry B. Kemp et al.   LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY

Linking carbon and water relations to drought-induced mortality inPinus flexilisseedlings

(2015) Keith Reinhardt et al.   TREE PHYSIOLOGY

Climate-related genetic variation in drought-resistance of Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii)

(2014) Sheel Bansal et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

First-year seedlings and climate change: species-specific responses of 15 North American tree species

(2014) Nicholas Fisichelli et al.   OIKOS

Disequilibrium vegetation dynamics under future climate change

(2013) Jens-Christian Svenning et al.   AMERICAN JOURNAL OF BOTANY

The Ancient Blue Oak Woodlands of California: Longevity and Hydroclimatic History

(2013) D. W. Stahle et al.   Earth Interactions

Modeling high-severity fire, drought and climate change impacts on ponderosa pine regeneration

(2013) Johannes J. Feddema et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Postglacial climate and fire-mediated vegetation change on the western Olympic Peninsula, Washington (USA)

(2013) Daniel G. Gavin et al.   ECOLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS

Early indicators of change: divergent climate envelopes between tree life stages imply range shifts in the western United States

(2013) David M. Bell et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Increased vapor pressure deficit due to higher temperature leads to greater transpiration and faster mortality during drought for tree seedlings common to the forest-grassland ecotone

(2013) Rodney E. Will et al.   NEW PHYTOLOGIST

Poleward expansion of mangroves is a threshold response to decreased frequency of extreme cold events

(2013) K. C. Cavanaugh et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Flickering as an early warning signal

(2013) Vasilis Dakos et al.   Theoretical Ecology

Global change-type drought-induced tree mortality: vapor pressure deficit is more important than temperature per se in causing decline in tree health

(2013) Derek Eamus et al.   Ecology and Evolution

Woody debris and tree regeneration dynamics following severe wildfires in Arizona ponderosa pine forests

(2012) John P. Roccaforte et al.   CANADIAN JOURNAL OF FOREST RESEARCH

Warming and the dependence of limber pine (Pinus flexilis) establishment on summer soil moisture within and above its current elevation range

(2012) Andrew B. Moyes et al.   OECOLOGIA

Analysis of abrupt transitions in ecological systems

(2011) Brandon T. Bestelmeyer et al.   Ecosphere

Early-warning signals for critical transitions

(2009) Marten Scheffer et al.   NATURE

Ecology and the ratchet of events: Climate variability, niche dimensions, and species distributions

(2009) S. T. Jackson et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Persistent effects of fire-induced vegetation change on energy partitioning and evapotranspiration in ponderosa pine forests

(2008) M.C. Montes-Helu et al.   AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY

A working guide to boosted regression trees

(2008) J. Elith et al.   JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY

Ecological thresholds and regime shifts: approaches to identification

(2008) Tom Andersen et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION