Flickering as an early warning signal

Regime shift indicators fail under noise levels commonly observed in ecological systems

(2012) Charles T. Perretti et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Flickering gives early warning signals of a critical transition to a eutrophic lake state

(2012) Rong Wang et al.   NATURE

Early warning of climate tipping points from critical slowing down: comparing methods to improve robustness

(2012) T. M. Lenton et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

Early Warnings of Regime Shift When the Ecosystem Structure Is Unknown

(2012) William A. Brock et al.   PLoS One

Methods for Detecting Early Warnings of Critical Transitions in Time Series Illustrated Using Simulated Ecological Data

(2012) Vasilis Dakos et al.   PLoS One

Thresholds for boreal biome transitions

(2012) M. Scheffer et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Human seizures self-terminate across spatial scales via a critical transition

(2012) M. A. Kramer et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Anticipating Critical Transitions

(2012) M. Scheffer et al.   SCIENCE

Slowing Down in Spatially Patterned Ecosystems at the Brink of Collapse

(2011) Vasilis Dakos et al.   AMERICAN NATURALIST

Early warnings of unknown nonlinear shifts: a nonparametric approach

(2011) S. R. Carpenter et al.   ECOLOGY

Robustness of variance and autocorrelation as indicators of critical slowing down

(2011) Vasilis Dakos et al.   ECOLOGY

Early Warnings of Regime Shifts: A Whole-Ecosystem Experiment

(2011) S. R. Carpenter et al.   SCIENCE

Global Resilience of Tropical Forest and Savanna to Critical Transitions

(2011) M. Hirota et al.   SCIENCE

Regime shifts in ecological systems can occur with no warning

(2010) Alan Hastings et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Tipping points: Early warning and wishful thinking

(2010) Peter D. Ditlevsen et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Climate tipping as a noisy bifurcation: a predictive technique

(2010) J. M. T. Thompson et al.   IMA JOURNAL OF APPLIED MATHEMATICS

Early warning signals of extinction in deteriorating environments

(2010) John M. Drake et al.   NATURE

Early warnings of regime shifts in spatial dynamics using the discrete Fourier transform

(2010) S. R. Carpenter et al.   Ecosphere

Indicators of regime shifts in ecological systems: What do we need to know and when do we need to know it

(2009) Raphael Contamin et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Early-warning signals for critical transitions

(2009) Marten Scheffer et al.   NATURE

Spatial correlation as leading indicator of catastrophic shifts

(2009) Vasilis Dakos et al.   Theoretical Ecology

Changing skewness: an early warning signal of regime shifts in ecosystems

(2008) Vishwesha Guttal et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Slowing down as an early warning signal for abrupt climate change

(2008) V. Dakos et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Spatial variance and spatial skewness: leading indicators of regime shifts in spatial ecological systems

(2008) Vishwesha Guttal et al.   Theoretical Ecology