Early warning of climate tipping points from critical slowing down: comparing methods to improve robustness

An independent test of methods of detecting system states and bifurcations in time-series data

(2011) V.N. Livina et al.   PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS

Tipping points: Early warning and wishful thinking

(2010) Peter D. Ditlevsen et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Climate tipping as a noisy bifurcation: a predictive technique

(2010) J. M. T. Thompson et al.   IMA JOURNAL OF APPLIED MATHEMATICS

EARLY WARNINGS FOR CATASTROPHIC SHIFTS IN ECOSYSTEMS: COMPARISON BETWEEN SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL INDICATORS

(2010) RAUL DONANGELO et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIFURCATION AND CHAOS

Early warning signals of extinction in deteriorating environments

(2010) John M. Drake et al.   NATURE

Early-warning signals for critical transitions

(2009) Marten Scheffer et al.   NATURE

Glacial terminations as southern warmings without northern control

(2009) E. W. Wolff et al.   Nature Geoscience

Using GENIE to study a tipping point in the climate system

(2009) T. M Lenton et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

Eliminating finite-size effects and detecting the amount of white noise in short records with long-term memory

(2009) Sabine Lennartz et al.   PHYSICAL REVIEW E

Assessing dangerous climate change through an update of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) "reasons for concern"

(2009) J. B. Smith et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Turning back from the brink: Detecting an impending regime shift in time to avert it

(2009) Reinette Biggs et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Spatial correlation as leading indicator of catastrophic shifts

(2009) Vasilis Dakos et al.   Theoretical Ecology

Changing skewness: an early warning signal of regime shifts in ecosystems

(2008) Vishwesha Guttal et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Slowing down as an early warning signal for abrupt climate change

(2008) V. Dakos et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system

(2008) T. M. Lenton et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Spatial variance and spatial skewness: leading indicators of regime shifts in spatial ecological systems

(2008) Vishwesha Guttal et al.   Theoretical Ecology