Seasonal to decadal prediction of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation: emerging capability and future prospects

Decadal predictions of the cooling and freshening of the North Atlantic in the 1960s and the role of ocean circulation

(2014) Jon Robson et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Forecast cooling of the Atlantic subpolar gyre and associated impacts

(2014) Leon Hermanson et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Decadal climate predictions for the period 1901-2010 with a coupled climate model

(2014) W. A. Müller et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Predictability of the quasi-biennial oscillation and its northern winter teleconnection on seasonal to decadal timescales

(2014) Adam A. Scaife et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Skillful long-range prediction of European and North American winters

(2014) A. A. Scaife et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Do seasonal-to-decadal climate predictions underestimate the predictability of the real world?

(2014) Rosie Eade et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Global Seasonal forecast system version 5 (GloSea5): a high-resolution seasonal forecast system

(2014) C. MacLachlan et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

CFSv2 ensemble prediction of the wintertime Arctic Oscillation

(2013) Emily E. Riddle et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Predictability of the mid-latitude Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a multi-model system

(2013) Holger Pohlmann et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Stratosphere key for wintertime atmospheric response to warm Atlantic decadal conditions

(2013) N.-E. Omrani et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Cold winter extremes in northern continents linked to Arctic sea ice loss

(2013) Qiuhong Tang et al.   Environmental Research Letters

A mechanism for lagged North Atlantic climate response to solar variability

(2013) Adam A. Scaife et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Have Aerosols Caused the Observed Atlantic Multidecadal Variability?

(2013) Rong Zhang et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES

Anthropogenic aerosol forcing of Atlantic tropical storms

(2013) N. J. Dunstone et al.   Nature Geoscience

High-latitude influence of the quasi-biennial oscillation

(2013) James A. Anstey et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Initialized near-term regional climate change prediction

(2013) F. J. Doblas-Reyes et al.   Nature Communications

A lagged response to the 11 year solar cycle in observed winter Atlantic/European weather patterns

(2013) Lesley J. Gray et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES

Predicting multiyear North Atlantic Ocean variability

(2013) W. Hazeleger et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS

Seasonal prediction skill of ECMWF System 4 and NCEP CFSv2 retrospective forecast for the Northern Hemisphere Winter

(2012) Hye-Mi Kim et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Atmospheric response to the North Atlantic Ocean variability on seasonal to decadal time scales

(2012) Guillaume Gastineau et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

What is the current state of scientific knowledge with regard to seasonal and decadal forecasting?

(2012) Doug M Smith et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Seasonal forecasts of northern hemisphere winter 2009/10

(2012) D R Fereday et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Evidence linking Arctic amplification to extreme weather in mid-latitudes

(2012) Jennifer A. Francis et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Initialized decadal predictions of the rapid warming of the North Atlantic Ocean in the mid 1990s

(2012) J. I. Robson et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

A Decadal Prediction Case Study: Late Twentieth-Century North Atlantic Ocean Heat Content

(2012) Stephen Yeager et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) simulations of climate following volcanic eruptions

(2012) Simon Driscoll et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Quantifying uncertainties in global and regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates: The HadCRUT4 data set

(2012) Colin P. Morice et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Aerosols implicated as a prime driver of twentieth-century North Atlantic climate variability

(2012) Ben B. B. Booth et al.   NATURE

Impact of declining Arctic sea ice on winter snowfall

(2012) J. Liu et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Improved Atlantic winter blocking in a climate model

(2011) Adam A. Scaife et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Origin and predictability of the extreme negative NAO winter of 2009/10

(2011) T. Jung et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Forcing of the Arctic Oscillation by Eurasian Snow Cover

(2011) Robert J. Allen et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

A Numerical Sensitivity Study of the Influence of Siberian Snow on the Northern Annular Mode

(2011) Y. Peings et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Solar forcing of winter climate variability in the Northern Hemisphere

(2011) Sarah Ineson et al.   Nature Geoscience

Are cold winters in Europe associated with low solar activity?

(2010) M Lockwood et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Impact of atmosphere and sub-surface ocean data on decadal climate prediction

(2010) N. J. Dunstone et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

The Role of Linear Interference in the Annular Mode Response to Extratropical Surface Forcing

(2010) Karen L. Smith et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Influence of Modes of Climate Variability on Global Precipitation Extremes

(2010) Jesse Kenyon et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

A link between reduced Barents-Kara sea ice and cold winter extremes over northern continents

(2010) Vladimir Petoukhov et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

The GloSea4 Ensemble Prediction System for Seasonal Forecasting

(2010) Alberto Arribas et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Skilful multi-year predictions of Atlantic hurricane frequency

(2010) Doug M. Smith et al.   Nature Geoscience

Variability of the North Atlantic eddy-driven jet stream

(2010) Tim Woollings et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Enhanced Seasonal Prediction of European Winter Warming following Volcanic Eruptions

(2009) A. G. Marshall et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Stratospheric Communication of El Niño Teleconnections to European Winter

(2009) C. J. Bell et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Impact of the QBO on surface winter climate

(2009) Andrew G. Marshall et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Finite Samples and Uncertainty Estimates for Skill Measures for Seasonal Prediction

(2009) Arun Kumar   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Large-scale atmospheric circulation changes are associated with the recent loss of Arctic sea ice

(2009) James E. Overland et al.   TELLUS SERIES A-DYNAMIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY

European Climate Extremes and the North Atlantic Oscillation

(2008) Adam A. Scaife et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Impact of the Stratosphere on the Winter Tropospheric Teleconnections between ENSO and the North Atlantic and European Region

(2008) Chiara Cagnazzo et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Forced and Internal Twentieth-Century SST Trends in the North Atlantic*

(2008) Mingfang Ting et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Investigating the ability of general circulation models to capture the effects of Eurasian snow cover on winter climate

(2008) Steven C. Hardiman et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Influence of the Gulf Stream on the troposphere

(2008) Shoshiro Minobe et al.   NATURE

The role of the stratosphere in the European climate response to El Niño

(2008) S. Ineson et al.   Nature Geoscience