What is the current state of scientific knowledge with regard to seasonal and decadal forecasting?

Evaluating the potential for statistical decadal predictions of sea surface temperatures with a perfect model approach

(2011) Ed Hawkins et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Multi-year predictability of the tropical Atlantic atmosphere driven by the high latitude North Atlantic Ocean

(2011) N. J. Dunstone et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Impact of atmosphere and sub-surface ocean data on decadal climate prediction

(2010) N. J. Dunstone et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Enhanced signature of solar variability in Eurasian winter climate

(2010) T. Woollings et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Contribution of land surface initialization to subseasonal forecast skill: First results from a multi-model experiment

(2010) R. D. Koster et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Two Limits of Initial-Value Decadal Predictability in a CGCM

(2010) Grant Branstator et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Nonlinear estimation of El Niño impact on the North Atlantic winter

(2010) M. J. OrtizBeviá et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Improved predictability of stratospheric sudden warming events in an atmospheric general circulation model with enhanced stratospheric resolution

(2010) Andrew G. Marshall et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

The GloSea4 Ensemble Prediction System for Seasonal Forecasting

(2010) Alberto Arribas et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Skilful multi-year predictions of Atlantic hurricane frequency

(2010) Doug M. Smith et al.   Nature Geoscience

External forcing as a metronome for Atlantic multidecadal variability

(2010) Odd Helge Otterå et al.   Nature Geoscience

Influence of the state of the Indian Ocean Dipole on the following year’s El Niño

(2010) Takeshi Izumo et al.   Nature Geoscience

Pacific decadal oscillation hindcasts relevant to near-term climate prediction

(2010) T. Mochizuki et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Impact of 2007 and 2008 Arctic ice anomalies on the atmospheric circulation: Implications for long-range predictions

(2010) Magdalena A. Balmaseda et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

SOLAR INFLUENCES ON CLIMATE

(2010) L. J. Gray et al.   REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS

The State of the Art of Seasonal Prediction: Outcomes and Recommendations from the First World Climate Research Program Workshop on Seasonal Prediction

(2009) Ben Kirtman et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions

(2009) Ed Hawkins et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Trends in solar spectral irradiance variability in the visible and infrared

(2009) Jerald W. Harder et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

How will Earth's surface temperature change in future decades?

(2009) Judith L. Lean et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Enhanced Seasonal Prediction of European Winter Warming following Volcanic Eruptions

(2009) A. G. Marshall et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Initializing Decadal Climate Predictions with the GECCO Oceanic Synthesis: Effects on the North Atlantic

(2009) Holger Pohlmann et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Impact of the QBO on surface winter climate

(2009) Andrew G. Marshall et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Volcanic signals in oceans

(2009) Georgiy Stenchikov et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Multimodel Ensemble ENSO Prediction with CCSM and CFS

(2009) Ben P. Kirtman et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Advance and prospectus of seasonal prediction: assessment of the APCC/CliPAS 14-model ensemble retrospective seasonal prediction (1980–2004)

(2008) Bin Wang et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Advancing decadal-scale climate prediction in the North Atlantic sector

(2008) N. S. Keenlyside et al.   NATURE

Intraseasonal interaction between the Madden–Julian Oscillation and the North Atlantic Oscillation

(2008) Christophe Cassou   NATURE

Influence of the Gulf Stream on the troposphere

(2008) Shoshiro Minobe et al.   NATURE

The Impact of Stratospheric Ozone Recovery on the Southern Hemisphere Westerly Jet

(2008) S.-W. Son et al.   SCIENCE