What does global mean temperature tell us about local climate?

Nonlinear regional warming with increasing CO2 concentrations

(2015) Peter Good et al.   Nature Climate Change

Regions of significant influence on unforced global mean surface air temperature variability in climate models

(2015) Patrick T. Brown et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES

Weakened tropical circulation and reduced precipitation in response to geoengineering

(2014) Angus J Ferraro et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Models agree on forced response pattern of precipitation and temperature extremes

(2014) E. M. Fischer et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Decreased monsoon precipitation in the Northern Hemisphere due to anthropogenic aerosols

(2014) D. Polson et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

An Anatomy of the Cooling of the North Atlantic Ocean in the 1960s and 1970s

(2014) Daniel L. R. Hodson et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

ENSO Modulation: Is It Decadally Predictable?

(2014) Andrew T. Wittenberg et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

No pause in the increase of hot temperature extremes

(2014) Sonia I. Seneviratne et al.   Nature Climate Change

Seasonal aspects of the recent pause in surface warming

(2014) Kevin E. Trenberth et al.   Nature Climate Change

Wetter then drier in some tropical areas

(2014) Ed Hawkins et al.   Nature Climate Change

Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) in CMIP5 Models: RCP and Historical Simulations

(2013) Wei Cheng et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Multimodel Assessment of Regional Surface Temperature Trends: CMIP3 and CMIP5 Twentieth-Century Simulations

(2013) Thomas R. Knutson et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Have Aerosols Caused the Observed Atlantic Multidecadal Variability?

(2013) Rong Zhang et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES

Retrospective prediction of the global warming slowdown in the past decade

(2013) Virginie Guemas et al.   Nature Climate Change

Attribution of observed historical near-surface temperature variations to anthropogenic and natural causes using CMIP5 simulations

(2013) Gareth S. Jones et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES

Trends in Arctic sea ice extent from CMIP5, CMIP3 and observations

(2012) Julienne C. Stroeve et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Is a Decline of AMOC Causing the Warming Hole above the North Atlantic in Observed and Modeled Warming Patterns?

(2012) Sybren Drijfhout et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Spatial Patterns of Precipitation Change in CMIP5: Why the Rich Do Not Get Richer in the Tropics

(2012) Robin Chadwick et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Twentieth-Century Global-Mean Sea Level Rise: Is the Whole Greater than the Sum of the Parts?

(2012) J. M. Gregory et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Quantifying uncertainties in global and regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates: The HadCRUT4 data set

(2012) Colin P. Morice et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Aerosols implicated as a prime driver of twentieth-century North Atlantic climate variability

(2012) Ben B. B. Booth et al.   NATURE

RCP 8.5—A scenario of comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions

(2011) Keywan Riahi et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Early onset of significant local warming in low latitude countries

(2011) I Mahlstein et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Bistability of the Atlantic overturning circulation in a global climate model and links to ocean freshwater transport

(2011) E. Hawkins et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Time of emergence of climate signals

(2011) E. Hawkins et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Reassessing biases and other uncertainties in sea surface temperature observations measured in situ since 1850: 1. Measurement and sampling uncertainties

(2011) J. J. Kennedy et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Impacts of climate change on the world's most exceptional ecoregions

(2011) L. J. Beaumont et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Model-based evidence of deep-ocean heat uptake during surface-temperature hiatus periods

(2011) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   Nature Climate Change

Uncertainty in climate change projections: the role of internal variability

(2010) Clara Deser et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change

(2010) Ed Hawkins et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Robust warming of the global upper ocean

(2010) John M. Lyman et al.   NATURE

The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions

(2009) Ed Hawkins et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Is the climate warming or cooling?

(2009) David R. Easterling et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Why are agricultural impacts of climate change so uncertain? The importance of temperature relative to precipitation

(2008) David B Lobell et al.   Environmental Research Letters