Attribution of observed historical near-surface temperature variations to anthropogenic and natural causes using CMIP5 simulations

Constraining the Ratio of Global Warming to Cumulative CO2Emissions Using CMIP5 Simulations*

(2013) Nathan P. Gillett et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Evaluating adjusted forcing and model spread for historical and future scenarios in the CMIP5 generation of climate models

(2013) Piers M. Forster et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES

Observed 21st century temperatures further constrain likely rates of future warming

(2012) Peter A. Stott et al.   Atmospheric Science Letters

Testing ensembles of climate change scenarios for “statistical significance”

(2012) Hans von Storch et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

The two types of ENSO in CMIP5 models

(2012) Seon Tae Kim et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Forcing, feedbacks and climate sensitivity in CMIP5 coupled atmosphere-ocean climate models

(2012) Timothy Andrews et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Climate Drift in the CMIP3 Models

(2012) Alexander Sen Gupta et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

What influence will future solar activity changes over the 21st century have on projected global near-surface temperature changes?

(2012) Gareth S. Jones et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) simulations of climate following volcanic eruptions

(2012) Simon Driscoll et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Quantifying uncertainties in global and regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates: The HadCRUT4 data set

(2012) Colin P. Morice et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Aerosols implicated as a prime driver of twentieth-century North Atlantic climate variability

(2012) Ben B. B. Booth et al.   NATURE

Robustness and uncertainties in the new CMIP5 climate model projections

(2012) Reto Knutti et al.   Nature Climate Change

Enlightening Global Dimming and Brightening

(2011) Martin Wild   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design

(2011) Karl E. Taylor et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

The representative concentration pathways: an overview

(2011) Detlef P. van Vuuren et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Global temperature evolution 1979–2010

(2011) Grant Foster et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Sensitivity of the attribution of near surface temperature warming to the choice of observational dataset

(2011) G. S. Jones et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Climate model genealogy

(2011) D. Masson et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Improved constraints on 21st-century warming derived using 160 years of temperature observations

(2011) N. P. Gillett et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Reassessing biases and other uncertainties in sea surface temperature observations measured in situ since 1850: 2. Biases and homogenization

(2011) J. J. Kennedy et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Reconciling anthropogenic climate change with observed temperature 1998-2008

(2011) R. K. Kaufmann et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Climate Data Challenges in the 21st Century

(2011) J. T. Overpeck et al.   SCIENCE

Use of models in detection and attribution of climate change

(2011) Gabriele Hegerl et al.   Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews-Climate Change

Climate model errors, feedbacks and forcings: a comparison of perturbed physics and multi-model ensembles

(2010) Matthew Collins et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

The end of model democracy?

(2010) Reto Knutti   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Risks of Model Weighting in Multimodel Climate Projections

(2010) Andreas P. Weigel et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

On the Effective Number of Climate Models

(2010) Christopher Pennell et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions

(2009) Ed Hawkins et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Probabilistic estimates of recent changes in temperature: a multi-scale attribution analysis

(2009) Nikolaos Christidis et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Climate Impacts of the Southern Annular Mode Simulated by the CMIP3 Models

(2009) Alexey Yu Karpechko et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Challenges in Combining Projections from Multiple Climate Models

(2009) Reto Knutti et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Toward a model space and model independence metric

(2008) Gab Abramowitz et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

How natural and anthropogenic influences alter global and regional surface temperatures: 1889 to 2006

(2008) Judith L. Lean et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Consistency of modelled and observed temperature trends in the tropical troposphere

(2008) B. D. Santer et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY

Improvements to NOAA’s Historical Merged Land–Ocean Surface Temperature Analysis (1880–2006)

(2008) Thomas M. Smith et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Human contribution to rapidly increasing frequency of very warm Northern Hemisphere summers

(2008) Gareth S. Jones et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Spatial Analysis to Quantify Numerical Model Bias and Dependence

(2008) Mikyoung Jun et al.   JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION

A large discontinuity in the mid-twentieth century in observed global-mean surface temperature

(2008) David W. J. Thompson et al.   NATURE

Attribution of polar warming to human influence

(2008) Nathan P. Gillett et al.   Nature Geoscience

Recent changes in solar outputs and the global mean surface temperature. III. Analysis of contributions to global mean air surface temperature rise

(2008) M. Lockwood   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES