CMIP5 multi-model hindcasts for the mid-1970s shift and early 2000s hiatus and predictions for 2016-2035

Volcanic contribution to decadal changes in tropospheric temperature

(2014) Benjamin D. Santer et al.   Nature Geoscience

Recent intensification of wind-driven circulation in the Pacific and the ongoing warming hiatus

(2014) Matthew H. England et al.   Nature Climate Change

The last decade of global anthropogenic sulfur dioxide: 2000–2011 emissions

(2013) Z Klimont et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Externally Forced and Internally Generated Decadal Climate Variability Associated with the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation

(2013) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling

(2013) Yu Kosaka et al.   NATURE

Initialized near-term regional climate change prediction

(2013) F. J. Doblas-Reyes et al.   Nature Communications

Retrospective prediction of the global warming slowdown in the past decade

(2013) Virginie Guemas et al.   Nature Climate Change

Observed 21st century temperatures further constrain likely rates of future warming

(2012) Peter A. Stott et al.   Atmospheric Science Letters

Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions

(2012) Doug M. Smith et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

A verification framework for interannual-to-decadal predictions experiments

(2012) L. Goddard et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Relating the strength of the tropospheric biennial oscillation (TBO) to the phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO)

(2012) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Statistical adjustment of decadal predictions in a changing climate

(2012) V. V. Kharin et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Case studies for initialized decadal hindcasts and predictions for the Pacific region

(2012) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Initialized decadal predictions of the rapid warming of the North Atlantic Ocean in the mid 1990s

(2012) J. I. Robson et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

A Decadal Prediction Case Study: Late Twentieth-Century North Atlantic Ocean Heat Content

(2012) Stephen Yeager et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Decadal Variability of Asian–Australian Monsoon–ENSO–TBO Relationships

(2011) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Model-based evidence of deep-ocean heat uptake during surface-temperature hiatus periods

(2011) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   Nature Climate Change

Two Limits of Initial-Value Decadal Predictability in a CGCM

(2010) Grant Branstator et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Pacific decadal oscillation hindcasts relevant to near-term climate prediction

(2010) T. Mochizuki et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Is the climate warming or cooling?

(2009) David R. Easterling et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

The Mid-1970s Climate Shift in the Pacific and the Relative Roles of Forced versus Inherent Decadal Variability

(2008) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE