On the interpretation of constrained climate model ensembles

Reliability of multi-model and structurally different single-model ensembles

(2011) Tokuta Yokohata et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Understanding the CMIP3 Multimodel Ensemble

(2011) J. D. Annan et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Spatial-Scale Dependence of Climate Model Performance in the CMIP3 Ensemble

(2011) David Masson et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Analyzing precipitation projections: A comparison of different approaches to climate model evaluation

(2011) N. Schaller et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

The end of model democracy?

(2010) Reto Knutti   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Reliability of the CMIP3 ensemble

(2010) J. D. Annan et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

On the Effective Number of Climate Models

(2010) Christopher Pennell et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Ocean Heat Transport as a Cause for Model Uncertainty in Projected Arctic Warming

(2010) Irina Mahlstein et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Bayesian multi-model projection of climate: bias assumptions and interannual variability

(2009) Christoph M. Buser et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Challenges in Combining Projections from Multiple Climate Models

(2009) Reto Knutti et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Bayesian Modeling of Uncertainty in Ensembles of Climate Models

(2009) Richard L. Smith et al.   JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION

September sea-ice cover in the Arctic Ocean projected to vanish by 2100

(2009) Julien Boé et al.   Nature Geoscience

How Well Do Coupled Models Simulate Today's Climate?

(2008) Thomas Reichler et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Error Reduction and Convergence in Climate Prediction

(2008) Charles S. Jackson et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Performance metrics for climate models

(2008) P. J. Gleckler et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Joint projections of temperature and precipitation change from multiple climate models: a hierarchical Bayesian approach

(2008) Claudia Tebaldi et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES A-STATISTICS IN SOCIETY

Should we believe model predictions of future climate change?

(2008) R. Knutti   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES