Using dynamic vegetation models to simulate plant range shifts

The influence of interspecific interactions on species range expansion rates

(2014) Jens-Christian Svenning et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Disequilibrium vegetation dynamics under future climate change

(2013) Jens-Christian Svenning et al.   AMERICAN JOURNAL OF BOTANY

Effects of local adaptation and interspecific competition on species’ responses to climate change

(2013) Greta Bocedi et al.   Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences

Red noise increases extinction risk during rapid climate change

(2013) Karen Mustin et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Interannual climate variability and population density thresholds can have a substantial impact on simulated tree species’ migration

(2013) Julia E.M.S. Nabel et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

A road map for integrating eco-evolutionary processes into biodiversity models

(2013) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Plant phenological modeling and its application in global climate change research: overview and future challenges

(2013) Meifang Zhao et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEWS

Implications of nonrandom seed abscission and global stilling for migration of wind-dispersed plant species

(2013) Sally E. Thompson et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Simulating long-distance seed dispersal in a dynamic vegetation model

(2013) Rebecca S. Snell   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Feature: Improving our knowledge of drought-induced forest mortality through experiments, observations, and modeling

(2013) Nate G. McDowell et al.   NEW PHYTOLOGIST

Next-generation dynamic global vegetation models: learning from community ecology

(2013) Simon Scheiter et al.   NEW PHYTOLOGIST

Dispersal and species’ responses to climate change

(2013) Justin M. J. Travis et al.   OIKOS

Performance of germinating tree seedlings below and above treeline in the Swiss Alps

(2013) Natalie Zurbriggen et al.   PLANT ECOLOGY

Frugivore Behavioural Details Matter for Seed Dispersal: A Multi-Species Model for Cantabrian Thrushes and Trees

(2013) Juan Manuel Morales et al.   PLoS One

Evaluation of the impact of frost resistances on potential altitudinal limit of trees

(2013) G. Charrier et al.   TREE PHYSIOLOGY

Soil-related Constraints to the Carbon Dioxide Fertilization Effect

(2012) Narendra K. Lenka et al.   CRITICAL REVIEWS IN PLANT SCIENCES

The MIGCLIM R package - seamless integration of dispersal constraints into projections of species distribution models

(2012) Robin Engler et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Where do seeds go when they go far? Distance and directionality of avian seed dispersal in heterogeneous landscapes

(2012) Tomás A. Carlo et al.   ECOLOGY

Temperature dependence of the reproduction niche and its relevance for plant species distributions

(2012) Olga Bykova et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Connecting dynamic vegetation models to data - an inverse perspective

(2012) Florian Hartig et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Biotic modifiers, environmental modulation and species distribution models

(2012) H. Peter Linder et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Correlation and process in species distribution models: bridging a dichotomy

(2012) Carsten F. Dormann et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Shifts of forest species along an elevational gradient in Southeast France: climate change or stand maturation?

(2012) Jeanne Bodin et al.   JOURNAL OF VEGETATION SCIENCE

Reconstruction of late Glacial and Early Holocene near surface temperature anomalies in Europe and their statistical interpretation

(2012) Daniel Simonis et al.   QUATERNARY INTERNATIONAL

Projecting species’ range expansion dynamics: sources of systematic biases when scaling up patterns and processes

(2012) Greta Bocedi et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Extinction debt of high-mountain plants under twenty-first-century climate change

(2012) Stefan Dullinger et al.   Nature Climate Change

Rapid altitudinal migration of mountain plants in Taiwan and its implications for high altitude biodiversity

(2011) Alistair S. Jump et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Establishment patterns in a secondary tree line ecotone

(2011) Alexander Peringer et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Factors driving mortality and growth at treeline: a 30-year experiment of 92 000 conifers

(2011) Ignacio Barbeito et al.   ECOLOGY

Toward dynamic global vegetation models for simulating vegetation–climate interactions and feedbacks: recent developments, limitations, and future challenges

(2011) Anne Quillet et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEWS

Modeling intraspecific adaptation of Abies sachalinensis to local altitude and responses to global warming, based on a 36-year reciprocal transplant experiment

(2011) Wataru Ishizuka et al.   Evolutionary Applications

Failure to migrate: lack of tree range expansion in response to climate change

(2011) Kai Zhu et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

TRY - a global database of plant traits

(2011) J. KATTGE et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Projecting the future distribution of European potential natural vegetation zones with a generalized, tree species-based dynamic vegetation model

(2011) Thomas Hickler et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Climate, competition and connectivity affect future migration and ranges of European trees

(2011) Eliane S. Meier et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Did soil development limit spruce (Picea abies) expansion in the Central Alps during the Holocene? Testing a palaeobotanical hypothesis with a dynamic landscape model

(2011) Paul D. Henne et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Towards novel approaches to modelling biotic interactions in multispecies assemblages at large spatial extents

(2011) W. D. Kissling et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Modelling spread of British wind-dispersed plants under future wind speeds in a changing climate

(2011) James M. Bullock et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Changes in plant community composition lag behind climate warming in lowland forests

(2011) Romain Bertrand et al.   NATURE

Process-based functions for seed retention on animals: a test of improved descriptions of dispersal using multiple data sets

(2011) James M. Bullock et al.   OIKOS

Postglacial migration supplements climate in determining plant species ranges in Europe

(2011) S. Normand et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Changes in Climatic Water Balance Drive Downhill Shifts in Plant Species' Optimum Elevations

(2011) S. M. Crimmins et al.   SCIENCE

Mechanistic models of seed dispersal by wind

(2011) Ran Nathan et al.   Theoretical Ecology

Mast seeding under increasing drought: results from a long-term data set and from a rainfall exclusion experiment

(2010) I. M. Pérez-Ramos et al.   ECOLOGY

Predicting the future of forests in the Mediterranean under climate change, with niche- and process-based models: CO2 matters!

(2010) TREVOR KEENAN et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Local adaptation and the evolution of species’ ranges under climate change

(2010) K.E. Atkins et al.   JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY

INCORPORATION AND INFLUENCE OF VARIABILITY IN AN AGGREGATED FOREST MODEL

(2010) T.J. LÖFFLER et al.   NATURAL RESOURCE MODELING

NEW DEVELOPMENTS IN FOREST MODELING: CONVERGENCE BETWEEN APPLIED AND THEORETICAL APPROACHES

(2010) H. LISCHKE   NATURAL RESOURCE MODELING

Will the CO2 fertilization effect in forests be offset by reduced tree longevity?

(2010) Harald Bugmann et al.   OECOLOGIA

Shade tolerance, canopy gaps and mechanisms of coexistence of forest trees

(2010) Dominique Gravel et al.   OIKOS

Effects of a warmer climate on seed germination in the subarctic

(2009) Ann Milbau et al.   ANNALS OF BOTANY

Do Facilitative Interactions with Neighboring Plants Assist the Growth of Seedlings at High Altitudes in Alpine Australia?

(2009) Susanna E. Venn et al.   ARCTIC ANTARCTIC AND ALPINE RESEARCH

Forty years of natural dynamics in Swiss beech forests: structure, composition, and the influence of former management

(2009) C. Heiri et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

The impact of fragmentation and density regulation on forest succession in the Atlantic rain forest

(2009) J. Groeneveld et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Phenotypic plasticity and longevity in plants and animals: cause and effect?

(2009) Renee M. Borges   JOURNAL OF BIOSCIENCES

The velocity of climate change

(2009) Scott R. Loarie et al.   NATURE

Tree seedling survivorship, growth, and allocation in the Cross Timbers ecotone of Oklahoma, USA

(2009) Randall W. Myster   PLANT ECOLOGY

The altitude-for-latitude disparity in the range retractions of woody species

(2009) Alistair S. Jump et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Simulated effects of climate change, fragmentation, and inter-specific competition on tree species migration in northern Wisconsin, USA

(2008) RM Scheller et al.   CLIMATE RESEARCH

Evaluation of the terrestrial carbon cycle, future plant geography and climate-carbon cycle feedbacks using five Dynamic Global Vegetation Models (DGVMs)

(2008) S. SITCH et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Twentieth century changes of tree-ring δ13C at the southern range-edge of Fagus sylvatica: increasing water-use efficiency does not avoid the growth decline induced by warming at low altitudes

(2008) JOSEP PEÑUELAS et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Impacts of climate change on the vegetation of Africa: an adaptive dynamic vegetation modelling approach

(2008) SIMON SCHEITER et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Growth–mortality relationships as indicators of life-history strategies: a comparison of nine tree species in unmanaged European forests

(2008) Jan Wunder et al.   OIKOS

Predicting and understanding forest dynamics using a simple tractable model

(2008) D. W. Purves et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Mechanisms of long-distance seed dispersal

(2008) Ran Nathan et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Predicting global change impacts on plant species’ distributions: Future challenges

(2007) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   PERSPECTIVES IN PLANT ECOLOGY EVOLUTION AND SYSTEMATICS