On judging the credibility of climate predictions

Climate model genealogy: Generation CMIP5 and how we got there

(2013) Reto Knutti et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Three recommendations for evaluating climate predictions

(2013) Thomas E. Fricker et al.   METEOROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

A verification framework for interannual-to-decadal predictions experiments

(2012) L. Goddard et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

The CNRM-CM5.1 global climate model: description and basic evaluation

(2012) A. Voldoire et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

A bias-corrected decomposition of the Brier score

(2012) C. A. T. Ferro et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design

(2011) Karl E. Taylor et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Climate model genealogy

(2011) D. Masson et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

When Climate Models Agree: The Significance of Robust Model Predictions*

(2011) Wendy S. Parker   PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE

Risks of Model Weighting in Multimodel Climate Projections

(2010) Andreas P. Weigel et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment

(2010) Richard H. Moss et al.   NATURE

Predicting weather and climate: Uncertainty, ensembles and probability

(2010) Wendy S. Parker   STUDIES IN HISTORY AND PHILOSOPHY OF MODERN PHYSICS

Decadal Prediction

(2009) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Climate projections: Past performance no guarantee of future skill?

(2009) C. Reifen et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Should we believe model predictions of future climate change?

(2008) R. Knutti   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES