Article
Environmental Sciences
Tugba Ozturk
Summary: This study projected future changes in extreme climate indices over Central Asia. Changes were calculated for 2071-2100 relative to 1971-2000. The research found that the region would experience warmer and more extreme temperatures with increasing radiative forcing. The lowest daily temperature was simulated to increase by up to 8 degrees, with a more than 12 degree increase projected over Siberia. There would be a strong growth in warm nights and an increase in the days of warm spells, while cold spell duration would decrease. Precipitation totals over the region were expected to reduce by up to 30%, except for increased precipitation over Siberia, the Himalayas, and Tibetan Plateau. Extreme precipitation events would increase by 20% over the whole region, with an 80% increase over high topographical areas.
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Eduardo Marcos de Jesus, Rosmeri Porfirio da Rocha, Natalia Machado Crespo, Michelle Simoes Reboita, Luiz Felippe Gozzo
Summary: The South Atlantic Ocean is experiencing a negative trend in subtropical cyclones near the southeastern coast of Brazil in the future climate. Despite a decrease in frequency, these cyclones are projected to be more intense due to stronger convective forcing.
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Miguel Lagos-Zuniga, Rocio Balmaceda-Huarte, Pedro Regoto, Limbert Torrez, Matias Olmo, Andre Lyra, David Pareja-Quispe, Maria Laura Bettolli
Summary: This study analyzed the capability of three regional climate models (RCMs) to reproduce historical extreme climate indices in South America (SA) and predicted future climate change. The results showed that the models exhibited better agreement in spatial variability than in inter-annual variability, and there were differences in precipitation signals between RCMs and their driving global climate models (GCMs).
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Jose Abraham Torres-Alavez, Russell Glazer, Filippo Giorgi, Erika Coppola, Xuejie Gao, Kevin I. Hodges, Sushant Das, Moetasim Ashfaq, Marco Reale, Taleena Sines
Summary: This study examines the characteristics of tropical cyclone activity using a regional climate model, finding significant increases in TC frequency in certain regions under future climate conditions. The study also notes a decrease in TC frequency in other regions, highlighting the need for further research to address uncertainties in TC projections.
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Marta Llopart, Leonardo Moreno Domingues, Csaba Torma, Filippo Giorgi, Rosmeri Porfirio da Rocha, Tercio Ambrizzi, Michelle Simoes Reboita, Lincoln Muniz Alves, Erika Coppola, Maria Leidinice da Silva, Diego Oliveira de Souza
Summary: This study evaluates the changes in the atmospheric water budget and precipitation under the RCP8.5 scenario over two CORDEX-CORE domains. The results show varied patterns of precipitation changes in South America and Europe, with different drivers in different regions and seasons.
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Sarah Ivusic, Ivan Guttler, Samuel Somot, Jean-Francois Gueremy, Kristian Horvath, Antoinette Alias
Summary: In Mediterranean hotspots, extreme precipitation is more sensitive to model configuration than spectral nudging. New physical parameterizations can improve the representation of extreme precipitation at different time scales.
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY
(2021)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Stephen Outten, Stefan Sobolowski
Summary: Extreme weather events pose a significant threat to society, with their intensity, duration, or frequency projected to increase as the climate warms. High-resolution simulations show clear advantages over coarser resolution counterparts, capturing the spatial heterogeneity and localized nature of extreme winds. Further improvements in models and observational coverage are needed for more robust assessments in the future.
WEATHER AND CLIMATE EXTREMES
(2021)
Article
Astronomy & Astrophysics
Jia Wu, Zhenyu Han, Yuping Yan, Xuejie Gao
Summary: This study investigates the future changes in solar energy resources over China using high-resolution dynamical downscaling simulations under different climate scenarios. The findings suggest that higher emission scenarios lead to a greater decline in solar energy and higher inter-annual variability. It highlights the need to constrain emissions to support solar energy deployment. The study also emphasizes the importance of radiation in determining future changes in solar resources, especially in most subregions under the RCP2.6 scenario, while wind speed should not be ignored over the Tibetan Plateau.
EARTH AND SPACE SCIENCE
(2022)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
P. Demeko Yemih, A. J. Komkoua Mbienda, G. M. Guenang, S. L. Matho Lontio, G. A. Teka Kue, D. A. Vondou, C. Mbane Biouele
Summary: The present study investigates the performance of RegCM4 climate model in reproducing extreme temperatures over Central Africa. The results show that the model performs well in reproducing intensity indices associated with daily minimum temperatures, but has a warm bias for intensity indices associated with daily maximum temperatures. Additionally, the model depicts hot sequences with high biases but performs well for cold sequences.
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
George Zittis, Adriana Bruggeman, Jos Lelieveld
Summary: Global warming is expected to impact the hydrological cycle in the Mediterranean region, causing changes in precipitation extremes and a gradient between the north and south. Future projections show significant increases in daily precipitation extremes, with the magnitude being underestimated in drier areas for 100-year extreme events.
WEATHER AND CLIMATE EXTREMES
(2021)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Natalia Pillar da Silva, Natalia Machado Crespo, Clarisse Lacerda Gomes Kaufmann, Jose Antonio Moreira Lima, Marcelo Andrioni, Ricardo de Camargo, Rosmeri Porfirio da Rocha
Summary: In this study, the authors estimated 100-year return values of near-surface wind speed over the southwestern South Atlantic Ocean using regional climate models. They compared the model simulations with satellite-based data and found that the models underestimated higher wind speed quantiles. By applying a linear adjustment using the satellite data, they were able to reduce the bias in the simulations. The study also revealed fine-scale features of extreme winds in the region, which provide important new information.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
(2022)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Boyan Hu, Jianping Tang, Jinfeng Ding, Gang Liu
Summary: Future changes in clear-air turbulence over East Asia in winter were projected using four global coupled atmosphere-ocean models. The probability of CAT potential is expected to increase over most East Asia regions, impacting aviation safety significantly.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
(2021)
Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Chen Zhuo, Guo Junhong, Li Wei, Zhang Fei, Xiao Chan, Pan Zhangrong
Summary: The goal of carbon neutrality opens up a new opportunity for renewable energy development, particularly in wind power. This study evaluates the spatiotemporal characteristics of wind speed and energy potential from different climate models and projects the changes in wind speed and wind power density over China's mainland in the future. The results suggest a decrease in wind speed in most regions of China, but an increase in wind energy potential in the southern parts.
RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS
(2022)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
James M. Ciarlo, Erika Coppola, Adriano Fantini, Filippo Giorgi, XueJie Gao, Yao Tong, Russell H. Glazer, Jose Abraham Torres Alavez, Taleena Sines, Emanuela Pichelli, Francesca Raffaele, Sushant Das, Melissa Bukovsky, Moetasim Ashfaq, Eun-Soon Im, Thanh Nguyen-Xuan, Claas Teichmann, Armelle Remedio, Thomas Remke, Katharina Buelow, Torsten Weber, Lars Buntemeyer, Kevin Sieck, Diana Rechid, Daniela Jacob
Summary: This paper proposes a new metric to quantify the added value of regional climate models (RCMs) by comparing the probability density functions of models and observational data. Results show that RCMs exhibit higher added value in areas of complex topography and tropical regions.
Article
Environmental Sciences
Melissa S. Bukovsky, Jing Gao, Linda O. Mearns, Brian C. O'Neill
Summary: This study assessed the combined impacts of GHG-forced climate change and projected land-use changes in regional climate projections. The research found that different societal trends in land-use changes can significantly affect climate projections in various ways. Effects of urbanization and agricultural land-use changes on future climate warming were particularly notable, with urban areas experiencing greater temperature increases.
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Kyoungmin Kim, Donghyuck Yoon, Dong-Hyun Cha, Jungho Im
Summary: In this study, an artificial neural network (ANN) was used to correct the tropical cyclone (TC) tracks simulated by the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model in the western North Pacific from 2006 to 2018. The ANN was trained and tested using the WRF-simulated tracks and best track data, and the correction was focused on target TC positions at 72 hours. Cluster analysis was performed to assess the performance of the ANN, and overall, the ANN improved the WRF performance by 4.34% and corrected the WRF error by 8.81% for the most applicable clusters.
ASIA-PACIFIC JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
(2023)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Young-Hyun Kim, Joong-Bae Ahn, Myoung-Seok Suh, Dong-Hyun Cha, Eun-Chul Chang, Seung-Ki Min, Young-Hwa Byun, Jin-Uk Kim
Summary: According to the CORDEX-East Asia Phase 2 project, an extreme heatwave with high intensity and long duration is projected to occur in East Asia at the end of the 21st century. Historical simulations show that heatwaves mainly occur from April to June in India, April and May in Indochina, June to August in China and Mongolia, and July and August in the Korean Peninsula and Japan, with the majority lasting three to four days. However, in the future, heatwave intensity will increase, the average duration will be two to three weeks, and heatwaves will occur more frequently and strongly.
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Donghyuck Yoon, Taehun Kang, Dong-Hyun Cha, Chang-Keun Song, Myong-In Lee, Ki-Hong Min, Joowan Kim, Jong Ahn Chun, Eunkyo Seo
Summary: This study investigated the impact of soil moisture initialization on the 2016 Northeast Asian heat wave using the Land Information System (LIS) Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. The assimilated soil moisture estimates were used as the initial condition for the WRF model, showing a more realistic simulation of surface air temperature and geopotential height compared to the experiment using operational soil moisture product. The assimilated soil moisture product revealed drier land surface conditions and played a role in the intensification of the heat wave.
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Jinyoung Park, Jihong Moon, Woojin Cho, Dong-Hyun Cha, Myong-In Lee, Eun-Chul Chang, Joowan Kim, Sang-Hun Park, Jooneun An
Summary: The selection of physics parameterization schemes has a significant impact on the performance of typhoon track and intensity forecasts in numerical weather prediction models. In this study, we simulated six typhoons using the WRF model to investigate the influence of physics parameterization schemes on real-time short-term forecasts. The results showed that different physics schemes led to significant differences in simulated typhoon tracks and intensities. On average, applying the Kain-Fritsch scheme for cumulus parameterization and the WSM6 scheme for cloud microphysics improved the typhoon forecast performances.
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Taehyung Kim, Eunji Kim, Minkyu Lee, Dong-Hyun Cha, Sang-Min Lee, Johan Lee, Kyung-On Boo
Summary: This study assessed the performance of the Global Seasonal Forecast System 5 (GloSea5) for predicting tropical cyclones (TCs) in the western North Pacific (WNP) from 1991 to 2010. The results showed that GloSea5 had skillful performance in predicting the frequency and spatial distribution of TCs, especially during La Nina periods. However, there were still systematic biases that require continuous improvements.
Article
Environmental Sciences
Donghyun Lee, Seung-Ki Min, Joong-Bae Ahn, Dong-Hyun Cha, Seok-Woo Shin, Eun-Chul Chang, Myoung-Seok Suh, Young-Hwa Byun, Jin-Uk Kim
Summary: This study examines the characteristics of the summer monsoon rainy season over East Asia using multiple regional climate models (RCMs) and global climate models (GCMs). The results show that RCM simulations better reproduce the observed monsoon duration and area than GCMs, indicating the added value of downscaling. The study also projects an increase in the area and duration of the East Asian summer monsoon by the late 21st century, particularly in China, with stronger effects in high emission scenarios.
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Eung-Sup Kim, Joong-Bae Ahn, Kyo-Moon Shim, Jina Hur, Sera Jo, Myoung-Seok Suh, Dong-Hyun Cha, Seung-Ki Min, Hyun-Suk Kang
Summary: This study used five regional climate models to project the future changes in climate-type distribution in South Korea based on the Koppen-Trewartha climate classification. It also predicted the changes in the cultivation area of major fruit crops, apple and mandarin. The results indicate that under the RCP4.5/8.5 scenarios, there will be a decrease in Type D and an increase in Type C towards higher latitudes and elevations. As a result, the cultivation areas of apple and mandarin will undergo significant changes.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Young-Hyun Kim, Joong-Bae Ahn, Myoung-Seok Suh, Dong-Hyun Cha, Eun-Chul Chang, Seung-Ki Min, Young-Hwa Byun, Jin-Uk Kim
Summary: The adverse impacts of concurrent daytime and nighttime heatwaves on human health are greater due to reduced recovery time. This study projects increased occurrence of concurrent heatwaves in East Asia under different scenarios. The intensity and spatial extent of these heatwaves are expected to increase significantly, particularly in Indochina, East and West China, and India. If current greenhouse gas emissions continue, East Asia will experience unprecedented heat stress in the future.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Ga-Yeong Seo, Joong-Bae Ahn, Dong-Hyun Cha, Myoung-Seok Suh, Seung-Ki Min, Eun-Chul Chang, Young-Hwa Byun, Jin-Uk Kim
Summary: Five regional climate models participating in the CORDEX-EA Phase 2 project are evaluated for their ability to simulate spatiotemporal variability in Asian summer precipitation. The models show reasonable performance in simulating the spatial and temporal characteristics of summer precipitation, with features greatly influenced by moisture flux.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Dasol Kim, Doo-Sun R. Park, Minhee Chang, Dong-Hyun Cha, Minkyu Lee
Summary: Multiple studies have shown a significant negative correlation between the frequency of tropical cyclones affecting South Korea and the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO), but a weak negative correlation between the intensity of these cyclones and PDO. However, our reexamination of the PDO relationships with both frequency and intensity reveals a significant positive correlation between intensity and PDO. This result contradicts previous studies and suggests that southeasterly winds and a shift in the cyclone genesis location over the Korean Peninsula are responsible for the frequency increase, while a shorter time spent over warm ocean weakens the cyclone intensity.
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
(2023)
Review
Medicine, General & Internal
Kirim Hong, Hee Jin Park, Hee Yeon Jang, Sung Han Shim, Yoon Jang, Soo Hyun Kim, Dong Hyun Cha
Summary: As pregnancies with advanced maternal age become more common, the risk of fetal chromosomal abnormalities is increasing. Prenatal genetic screening and diagnosis are now essential in obstetrical care. Trophoblast retrieval and isolation from the cervix (TRIC) is a non-invasive method that can be utilized for prenatal genetic diagnosis, providing valuable information about obstetrical complications related to abnormal placentation even before clinical symptoms arise. The standardization of this clinical tool is still under investigation, and future advancements in TRIC are expected to meet the increasing need for a safe and accurate option for prenatal diagnosis.
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Minkyu Lee, Seung-Ki Min, Dong-Hyun Cha
Summary: This study provides the first quantification of anthropogenic influences on tropical cyclone characteristics affecting South Korea. It finds that human influences can intensify extreme precipitation induced by tropical cyclones, especially as they move towards mid-latitudes.
NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE
(2023)
Review
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Joong-Bae Ahn, Young-Hwa Byun, Dong-Hyun Cha
Summary: This paper examines how domestic research studies and projects related to climate change have been conducted by the Korean Meteorological Society (KMS) over the past 60 years. The history of individual fields of meteorology such as climate change has not been covered in the KMS's history published more than a decade ago, making it significant to study the research activities and achievements in climate change by KMS members. The paper discusses the evolution of climate change research in KMS from the 1950s until the present, highlighting the increasing focus on this field since the 1990s and the remarkable development of research capabilities in the past two decades.
Review
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Chang-Hoi Ho, Byung-Gon Kim, Baek-Min Kim, Doo-Sun R. Park, Chang-Kyun Park, Seok-Woo Son, Jee-Hoon Jeong, Dong-Hyun Cha
Summary: This paper summarized research papers on weather extremes in South Korea between 1963 and 2022. The study focuses on events including typhoons, heavy rain, drought, heat wave, cold surge, heavy snow, and strong gust, which result in serious casualty and property loss. The impact of weather extremes, other than typhoons and heavy rainfalls, may be underestimated. Drought and heat wave are increasing due to global warming, and cold surges, heavy snow, and strong gusts have localized effects over short-term time scales. Strong gusts accompanied by drought can lead to severe forest fires in mountainous regions.
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Liying Qiu, Eun-Soon Im, Seung-Ki Min, Yeon-Hee Kim, Dong-Hyun Cha, Seok-Woo Shin, Joong-Bae Ahn, Eun-Chul Chang, Young-Hwa Byun
Summary: This study compares four bias correction methods and two correction strategies for adjusting heat-stress indices in regional climate model simulations. The results show that the multivariate approach improves inter-variable dependence and benefits the indirect correction of indices relying equally on multiple drivers. The quantile delta mapping univariate approach also performs well in correcting the heat-stress indices, but attention should be paid to the non-stationarity of bias brought by climate sensitivity.
EARTH SYSTEM DYNAMICS
(2023)