Transitioning western U.S. dry forests to limited committed warming with bet-hedging and natural disturbances

Drought, Tree Mortality, and Wildfire in Forests Adapted to Frequent Fire

(2018) Scott L Stephens et al.   BIOSCIENCE

The Paris Agreement zero-emissions goal is not always consistent with the 1.5 °C and 2 °C temperature targets

(2018) Katsumasa Tanaka et al.   Nature Climate Change

Cumulative carbon emissions budgets consistent with 1.5 °C global warming

(2018) Katarzyna B. Tokarska et al.   Nature Climate Change

Alternative pathways to the 1.5 °C target reduce the need for negative emission technologies

(2018) Detlef P. van Vuuren et al.   Nature Climate Change

Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 °C

(2018) Joeri Rogelj et al.   Nature Climate Change

Landscape heterogeneity following high-severity fire in California's forests

(2018) Chad T. Hanson   WILDLIFE SOCIETY BULLETIN

Temperature response surfaces for mortality risk of tree species with future drought

(2017) Henry D Adams et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Tree mortality from fires, bark beetles, and timber harvest during a hot and dry decade in the western United States (2003–2012)

(2017) Logan T Berner et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Spatial patterns of ponderosa pine regeneration in high-severity burn patches

(2017) Suzanne M. Owen et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

A range of possibilities: Assessing geographic variation in climate sensitivity of ponderosa pine using tree rings

(2017) Ian M. McCullough et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

Vegetation change during 40 years of repeated managed wildfires in the Sierra Nevada, California

(2017) Gabrielle F.S. Boisramé et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

Emission budgets and pathways consistent with limiting warming to 1.5 °C

(2017) Richard J. Millar et al.   Nature Geoscience

Evolution caused by extreme events

(2017) Peter R. Grant et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Insect outbreak shifts the direction of selection from fast to slow growth rates in the long-lived coniferPinus ponderosa

(2017) Raul de la Mata et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Adapt to more wildfire in western North American forests as climate changes

(2017) Tania Schoennagel et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Committed warming inferred from observations

(2017) Thorsten Mauritsen et al.   Nature Climate Change

Climate Drives Episodic Conifer Establishment after Fire in Dry Ponderosa Pine Forests of the Colorado Front Range, USA

(2017) Monica Rother et al.   Forests

Tree Regeneration Spatial Patterns in Ponderosa Pine Forests Following Stand-Replacing Fire: Influence of Topography and Neighbors

(2017) Justin Ziegler et al.   Forests

Restoring and managing low-severity fire in dry-forest landscapes of the western USA

(2017) William L. Baker   PLoS One

Consequences of Global Warming of 1.5 °C and 2 °C for Regional Temperature and Precipitation Changes in the Contiguous United States

(2017) Ambarish V. Karmalkar et al.   PLoS One

The Science of Firescapes: Achieving Fire-Resilient Communities

(2016) Alistair M.S. Smith et al.   BIOSCIENCE

Patterns of conifer regeneration following high severity wildfire in ponderosa pine – dominated forests of the Colorado Front Range

(2016) Marin E. Chambers et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

High severity fire and mixed conifer forest-chaparral dynamics in the southern Cascade Range, USA

(2016) Catherine Airey Lauvaux et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

Recent Tree Mortality in the Western United States from Bark Beetles and Forest Fires

(2016) Jeffrey A. Hicke et al.   FOREST SCIENCE

Changing disturbance regimes, ecological memory, and forest resilience

(2016) Jill F Johnstone et al.   FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT

What would it take to achieve the Paris temperature targets?

(2016) Benjamin M. Sanderson et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

An ecoregion assessment of projected tree species vulnerabilities in western North America through the 21st century

(2016) Amanda S. Mathys et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Biotic disturbances in Northern Hemisphere forests - a synthesis of recent data, uncertainties and implications for forest monitoring and modelling

(2016) Markus Kautz et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Wildland fire limits subsequent fire occurrence

(2016) Sean A. Parks et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF WILDLAND FIRE

Spatial variability in tree regeneration after wildfire delays and dampens future bark beetle outbreaks

(2016) Rupert Seidl et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Predicting conifer establishment post wildfire in mixed conifer forests of the North American Mediterranean-climate zone

(2016) Kevin R. Welch et al.   Ecosphere

Limited conifer regeneration following wildfires in dry ponderosa pine forests of the Colorado Front Range

(2016) Monica T. Rother et al.   Ecosphere

U.S. federal fire and forest policy: emphasizing resilience in dry forests

(2016) Scott L. Stephens et al.   Ecosphere

Post-fire ponderosa pine regeneration with and without planting in Arizona and New Mexico

(2015) Jessi Ouzts et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

Adapting forest management to climate change using bioclimate models with topographic drivers

(2015) Gerald E. Rehfeldt et al.   FORESTRY

Long-term history and synchrony of mountain pine beetle outbreaks in lodgepole pine forests

(2015) Daniel S. Jarvis et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Forest resilience and tipping points at different spatio-temporal scales: approaches and challenges

(2015) Christopher P. O. Reyer et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Sequentially contingent fires, droughts and pluvials structured a historical dry forest landscape and suggest future contingencies

(2015) Alexa J. Dugan et al.   JOURNAL OF VEGETATION SCIENCE

Fire legacies impact conifer regeneration across environmental gradients in the U.S. northern Rockies

(2015) Kerry B. Kemp et al.   LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY

Reform forest fire management

(2015) M. P. North et al.   SCIENCE

Dendroecological Methods For Reconstructing High-Severity Fire In Pine-Oak Forests

(2015) Christopher H. Guiterman et al.   Tree-Ring Research

Bark Beetles Increase Biodiversity While Maintaining Drinking Water Quality

(2015) Burkhard Beudert et al.   Conservation Letters

Darcy's law predicts widespread forest mortality under climate warming

(2015) Nathan G. McDowell et al.   Nature Climate Change

Multi-scale predictions of massive conifer mortality due to chronic temperature rise

(2015) N. G. McDowell et al.   Nature Climate Change

Larger trees suffer most during drought in forests worldwide

(2015) Amy C. Bennett et al.   Nature Plants

Are High-Severity Fires Burning at Much Higher Rates Recently than Historically in Dry-Forest Landscapes of the Western USA?

(2015) William L. Baker   PLoS One

Comparative genetic responses to climate in the varieties of Pinus ponderosa and Pseudotsuga menziesii: Reforestation

(2014) Gerald E. Rehfeldt et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

Landscape Dynamics of Mountain Pine Beetles

(2014) John E. Lundquist et al.   FOREST SCIENCE

Cultural Practices for Prevention and Mitigation of Mountain Pine Beetle Infestations

(2014) Christopher J. Fettig et al.   FOREST SCIENCE

Mountain Pine Beetle, a Major Disturbance Agent in US Western Coniferous Forests: A Synthesis of the State of Knowledge

(2014) José F. Negrón et al.   FOREST SCIENCE

High-severity fire corroborated in historical dry forests of the western United States: response to Fuléet al.

(2014) Mark A. Williams et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Learning to coexist with wildfire

(2014) Max A. Moritz et al.   NATURE

Examining Historical and Current Mixed-Severity Fire Regimes in Ponderosa Pine and Mixed-Conifer Forests of Western North America

(2014) Dennis C. Odion et al.   PLoS One

Historical, Observed, and Modeled Wildfire Severity in Montane Forests of the Colorado Front Range

(2014) Rosemary L. Sherriff et al.   PLoS One

Management for Mountain Pine Beetle Outbreak Suppression: Does Relevant Science Support Current Policy?

(2014) Diana Six et al.   Forests

Historical forest structure and fire in Sierran mixed-conifer forests reconstructed from General Land Office survey data

(2014) William L. Baker   Ecosphere

Reevaluating the self-thinning boundary line for ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa) forests

(2013) Jianwei Zhang et al.   CANADIAN JOURNAL OF FOREST RESEARCH

Double whammy: high-severity fire and drought in ponderosa pine forests of the Southwest

(2013) Melissa Savage et al.   CANADIAN JOURNAL OF FOREST RESEARCH

Modeling high-severity fire, drought and climate change impacts on ponderosa pine regeneration

(2013) Johannes J. Feddema et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Conifer regeneration following stand-replacing wildfire varies along an elevation gradient in a ponderosa pine forest, Oregon, USA

(2013) Erich Kyle Dodson et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

Recent declines of Populus tremuloides in North America linked to climate

(2013) James J. Worrall et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

Early indicators of change: divergent climate envelopes between tree life stages imply range shifts in the western United States

(2013) David M. Bell et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Pan-Continental Droughts in North America over the Last Millennium*

(2013) Benjamin I. Cook et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Early forest dynamics in stand-replacing fire patches in the northern Sierra Nevada, California, USA

(2013) Brandon M. Collins et al.   LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY

How risk management can prevent future wildfire disasters in the wildland-urban interface

(2013) D. E. Calkin et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Woody debris and tree regeneration dynamics following severe wildfires in Arizona ponderosa pine forests

(2012) John P. Roccaforte et al.   CANADIAN JOURNAL OF FOREST RESEARCH

Projected vegetation changes for the American Southwest: combined dynamic modeling and bioclimatic-envelope approach

(2012) Michael Notaro et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Spatiotemporal patterns of observed bark beetle-caused tree mortality in British Columbia and the western United States

(2012) Arjan J. H. Meddens et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Spatiotemporal patterns of mountain pine beetle activity in the southern Rocky Mountains

(2012) Teresa B. Chapman et al.   ECOLOGY

Comparison of the Higher-Severity Fire Regime in Historical (A.D. 1800s) and Modern (A.D. 1984–2009) Montane Forests Across 624,156 ha of the Colorado Front Range

(2012) Mark A. Williams et al.   ECOSYSTEMS

Post-fire regeneration across a fire severity gradient in the southern Cascades

(2012) Justin S. Crotteau et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

Spatially extensive reconstructions show variable-severity fire and heterogeneous structure in historical western United States dry forests

(2012) Mark A. Williams et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Projected Future Changes in Vegetation in Western North America in the Twenty-First Century

(2012) Xiaoyan Jiang et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Global convergence in the vulnerability of forests to drought

(2012) Brendan Choat et al.   NATURE

Temperature as a potent driver of regional forest drought stress and tree mortality

(2012) A. Park Williams et al.   Nature Climate Change

Consequences of widespread tree mortality triggered by drought and temperature stress

(2012) William R. L. Anderegg et al.   Nature Climate Change

Implications of spatially extensive historical data from surveys for restoring dry forests of Oregon's eastern Cascades

(2012) William L. Baker   Ecosphere

Fire history and tree recruitment in the Colorado Front Range upper montane zone: implications for forest restoration

(2011) Tania Schoennagel et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Climate Change and Bark Beetles of the Western United States and Canada: Direct and Indirect Effects

(2010) Barbara J. Bentz et al.   BIOSCIENCE

Spatial and temporal corroboration of a fire-scar-based fire history in a frequently burned ponderosa pine forest

(2010) Calvin A. Farris et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Tree mortality in drought-stressed mixed-conifer and ponderosa pine forests, Arizona, USA

(2010) Joseph L. Ganey et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

Effects of landscape patterns of fire severity on regenerating ponderosa pine forests (Pinus ponderosa) in New Mexico and Arizona, USA

(2010) Sandra L. Haire et al.   LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY

Forest Fire Impacts on Carbon Uptake, Storage, and Emission: The Role of Burn Severity in the Eastern Cascades, Oregon

(2009) Garrett W. Meigs et al.   ECOSYSTEMS

Ponderosa pine mortality during a severe bark beetle (Coleoptera: Curculionidae, Scolytinae) outbreak in southern British Columbia and implications for wildlife habitat management

(2009) Walt Klenner et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

A global overview of drought and heat-induced tree mortality reveals emerging climate change risks for forests

(2009) Craig D. Allen et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

Widespread Increase of Tree Mortality Rates in the Western United States

(2009) P. J. van Mantgem et al.   SCIENCE