Control fast or control smart: When should invading pathogens be controlled?

Risk-based management of invading plant disease

(2017) Samuel R. Hyatt-Twynam et al.   NEW PHYTOLOGIST

Essential information: Uncertainty and optimal control of Ebola outbreaks

(2017) Shou-Li Li et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Quantifying the Value of Perfect Information in Emergency Vaccination Campaigns

(2017) Naomi V. Bradbury et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

Management of invading pathogens should be informed by epidemiology rather than administrative boundaries

(2016) Robin N. Thompson et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Estimation of under-reporting in epidemics using approximations

(2016) Kokouvi Gamado et al.   JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL BIOLOGY

Modeling when, where, and how to manage a forest epidemic, motivated by sudden oak death in California

(2016) Nik J. Cunniffe et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Decision-making for foot-and-mouth disease control: Objectives matter

(2016) William J.M. Probert et al.   Epidemics

Detecting Presymptomatic Infection Is Necessary to Forecast Major Epidemics in the Earliest Stages of Infectious Disease Outbreaks

(2016) Robin N. Thompson et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

Modelling the effect of early detection of Ebola

(2015) Diego Chowell et al.   LANCET INFECTIOUS DISEASES

Modeling infectious disease dynamics in the complex landscape of global health

(2015) H. Heesterbeek et al.   SCIENCE

Thirteen challenges in modelling plant diseases

(2015) Nik J. Cunniffe et al.   Epidemics

Six challenges in modelling for public health policy

(2015) C.J.E. Metcalf et al.   Epidemics

Ebola virus disease outbreak in Nigeria: Transmission dynamics and rapid control

(2015) C.L. Althaus et al.   Epidemics

Optimising and Communicating Options for the Control of Invasive Plant Disease When There Is Epidemiological Uncertainty

(2015) Nik J. Cunniffe et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

Ebola Vaccination: If Not Now, When?

(2014) Alison P. Galvani et al.   ANNALS OF INTERNAL MEDICINE

Determining When to Change Course in Management Actions

(2014) CHOOI FEI NG et al.   CONSERVATION BIOLOGY

A dynamic model of bovine tuberculosis spread and control in Great Britain

(2014) Ellen Brooks-Pollock et al.   NATURE

Correction for Lofgren et al., Opinion: Mathematical models: A key tool for outbreak response

(2014)   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Economic optimization of a global strategy to address the pandemic threat

(2014) Jamison Pike et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Strategies for containing Ebola in West Africa

(2014) A. Pandey et al.   SCIENCE

Adaptive Management and the Value of Information: Learning Via Intervention in Epidemiology

(2014) Katriona Shea et al.   PLOS BIOLOGY

Bayesian Analysis for Inference of an Emerging Epidemic: Citrus Canker in Urban Landscapes

(2014) Franco M. Neri et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

The potential of antiviral agents to control classical swine fever: A modelling study

(2013) Jantien A. Backer et al.   ANTIVIRAL RESEARCH

Decision science for effective management of populations subject to stochasticity and imperfect knowledge

(2013) Hiroyuki Yokomizo et al.   POPULATION ECOLOGY

Decisions on control of foot-and-mouth disease informed using model predictions

(2013) T. Halasa et al.   PREVENTIVE VETERINARY MEDICINE

The economic impacts of foot and mouth disease – What are they, how big are they and where do they occur?

(2013) T.J.D. Knight-Jones et al.   PREVENTIVE VETERINARY MEDICINE

Introducing the Outbreak Threshold in Epidemiology

(2013) Matthew Hartfield et al.   PLoS Pathogens

Emerging fungal threats to animal, plant and ecosystem health

(2012) Matthew C. Fisher et al.   NATURE

Acting fast helps avoid extinction

(2012) Tara G. Martin et al.   Conservation Letters

Estimating the Hidden Burden of Bovine Tuberculosis in Great Britain

(2012) Andrew J. K. Conlan et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

Which uncertainty? Using expert elicitation and expected value of information to design an adaptive program

(2011) Michael C. Runge et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

The elusive definition of pandemic influenza

(2011) Peter Doshi   BULLETIN OF THE WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION

Contain or eradicate? Optimizing the management goal for Australian acacia invasions in the face of uncertainty

(2011) Joslin L. Moore et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Controlling established invaders: integrating economics and spread dynamics to determine optimal management

(2010) Rebecca S. Epanchin-Niell et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Optimizing search strategies for invasive pests: learn before you leap

(2010) Peter W.J. Baxter et al.   JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY

Delaying conservation actions for improved knowledge: how long should we wait?

(2009) Hedley S. Grantham et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Investment in antiviral drugs: a real options approach

(2009) Arthur E. Attema et al.   HEALTH ECONOMICS

A Statistical Framework for the Adaptive Management of Epidemiological Interventions

(2009) Daniel Merl et al.   PLoS One

The Transmissibility and Control of Pandemic Influenza A (H1N1) Virus

(2009) Y. Yang et al.   SCIENCE

Epidemiological Models for Invasion and Persistence of Pathogens

(2008) Christopher A. Gilligan et al.   Annual Review of Phytopathology

Models of Fungicide Resistance Dynamics

(2008) Frank van den Bosch et al.   Annual Review of Phytopathology

Modelling the effectiveness and risks of vaccination strategies to control classical swine fever epidemics

(2008) J. A. Backer et al.   Journal of the Royal Society Interface

Predicting undetected infections during the 2007 foot-and-mouth disease outbreak

(2008) C. P. Jewell et al.   Journal of the Royal Society Interface

Approximate Bayesian computation scheme for parameter inference and model selection in dynamical systems

(2008) T. Toni et al.   Journal of the Royal Society Interface