Detecting Presymptomatic Infection Is Necessary to Forecast Major Epidemics in the Earliest Stages of Infectious Disease Outbreaks

Management of invading pathogens should be informed by epidemiology rather than administrative boundaries

(2016) Robin N. Thompson et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Modelling the effect of early detection of Ebola

(2015) Diego Chowell et al.   LANCET INFECTIOUS DISEASES

The role of rapid diagnostics in managing Ebola epidemics

(2015) Pierre Nouvellet et al.   NATURE

What Ebola tells us about outbreak diagnostic readiness

(2015) Mark D Perkins et al.   NATURE BIOTECHNOLOGY

Italy's olives under siege

(2015) E. Stokstad   SCIENCE

Ebola virus disease outbreak in Nigeria: Transmission dynamics and rapid control

(2015) C.L. Althaus et al.   Epidemics

Nine challenges in incorporating the dynamics of behaviour in infectious diseases models

(2015) Sebastian Funk et al.   Epidemics

Pre-symptomatic diagnosis and treatment of filovirus diseases

(2015) Amy C. Shurtleff et al.   Frontiers in Microbiology

Transmission Dynamics and Final Epidemic Size of Ebola Virus Disease Outbreaks with Varying Interventions

(2015) Maria Vittoria Barbarossa et al.   PLoS One

Transmission dynamics and control of Ebola virus disease (EVD): a review

(2014) Gerardo Chowell et al.   BMC Medicine

Models overestimate Ebola cases

(2014) Declan Butler   NATURE

Ebola Virus Disease in West Africa — The First 9 Months of the Epidemic and Forward Projections

(2014)   NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL OF MEDICINE

Bayesian inference for an emerging arboreal epidemic in the presence of control

(2014) M. Parry et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Modelling during an emergency: the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic

(2013) B.Y. Lee et al.   CLINICAL MICROBIOLOGY AND INFECTION

Estimating the Probability of a Major Outbreak from the Timing of Early Cases: An Indeterminate Problem?

(2013) Meggan E. Craft et al.   PLoS One

Real-time numerical forecast of global epidemic spreading: case study of 2009 A/H1N1pdm

(2012) Michele Tizzoni et al.   BMC Medicine

Extinction thresholds in deterministic and stochastic epidemic models

(2012) Linda J. S. Allen et al.   Journal of Biological Dynamics

How to make predictions about future infectious disease risks

(2011) M. Woolhouse   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Time-Dependent Infectivity and Flexible Latent and Infectious Periods in Compartmental Models of Plant Disease

(2011) N. J. Cunniffe et al.   PHYTOPATHOLOGY

Epidemiological modeling of invasion in heterogeneous landscapes: spread of sudden oak death in California (1990–2030)

(2011) Ross K. Meentemeyer et al.   Ecosphere

Ebola haemorrhagic fever

(2010) Heinz Feldmann et al.   LANCET

Mathematical modelling of infectious diseases

(2009) M. J. Keeling et al.   BRITISH MEDICAL BULLETIN

Early detection of disease outbreaks using the Internet

(2009) K. Wilson et al.   CANADIAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION JOURNAL

Is a good predictor of final epidemic size: Foot-and-mouth disease in the UK

(2009) Michael J. Tildesley et al.   JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY

Optimizing infectious disease interventions during an emerging epidemic

(2009) J. Wallinga et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

The Transmissibility and Control of Pandemic Influenza A (H1N1) Virus

(2009) Y. Yang et al.   SCIENCE

Predicting undetected infections during the 2007 foot-and-mouth disease outbreak

(2008) C. P. Jewell et al.   Journal of the Royal Society Interface

Detecting influenza epidemics using search engine query data

(2008) Jeremy Ginsberg et al.   NATURE

Real Time Bayesian Estimation of the Epidemic Potential of Emerging Infectious Diseases

(2008) Luís M. A. Bettencourt et al.   PLoS One

On methods for studying stochastic disease dynamics

(2007) M.J Keeling et al.   Journal of the Royal Society Interface