The devil is in the detail: unstable response functions in species distribution models challenge bulk ensemble modelling

The European functional tree of bird life in the face of global change

(2014) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   Nature Communications

Partial versus Full Species Distribution Models

(2013) Niels Raes   Natureza & Conservacao

Disregarding the edaphic dimension in species distribution models leads to the omission of crucial spatial information under climate change: the case ofQuercus pubescensin France

(2012) Romain Bertrand et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Predicting the Fate of Biodiversity Using Species’ Distribution Models: Enhancing Model Comparability and Repeatability

(2012) Genoveva Rodríguez-Castañeda et al.   PLoS One

Conservation planning under climate change: Toward accounting for uncertainty in predicted species distributions to increase confidence in conservation investments in space and time

(2011) Sílvia B. Carvalho et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

Climate change threatens European conservation areas

(2011) Miguel B. Araújo et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Coexistence of Abies alba (Mill.) – Fagus sylvatica (L.) and climate change impact in the Iberian Peninsula: A climatic-niche perspective approach

(2011) Josep M. Serra-Diaz et al.   FLORA

No-analog climates and shifting realized niches during the late quaternary: implications for 21st-century predictions by species distribution models

(2011) Samuel D. Veloz et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Scenarios for investigating risks to biodiversity

(2011) Joachim H. Spangenberg et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Measuring ecological niche overlap from occurrence and spatial environmental data

(2011) Olivier Broennimann et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Spatial planning for biodiversity conservation: Assessment of forest landscapes’ conservation value using umbrella species requirements in Poland

(2011) Tobias Edman et al.   LANDSCAPE AND URBAN PLANNING

Improving assessment and modelling of climate change impacts on global terrestrial biodiversity

(2011) Sean M. McMahon et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Cryptic biodiversity loss linked to global climate change

(2011) M. Bálint et al.   Nature Climate Change

How much do we overestimate future local extinction rates when restricting the range of occurrence data in climate suitability models?

(2010) Morgane Barbet-Massin et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Climate change and nature conservation in Central European forests: A review of consequences, concepts and challenges

(2010) Mirjam Milad et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

Predicting the future of forests in the Mediterranean under climate change, with niche- and process-based models: CO2 matters!

(2010) TREVOR KEENAN et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Species Distribution Models: Ecological Explanation and Prediction Across Space and Time

(2009) Jane Elith et al.   Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics

BIOMOD - a platform for ensemble forecasting of species distributions

(2009) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Niche dynamics in space and time

(2008) Peter B. Pearman et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Predicting global change impacts on plant species’ distributions: Future challenges

(2007) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   PERSPECTIVES IN PLANT ECOLOGY EVOLUTION AND SYSTEMATICS