Impact of hindcast length on estimates of seasonal climate predictability

Atmospheric initial conditions and the predictability of the Arctic Oscillation

(2015) Timothy N. Stockdale et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Skillful long-range prediction of European and North American winters

(2014) A. A. Scaife et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Do seasonal-to-decadal climate predictions underestimate the predictability of the real world?

(2014) Rosie Eade et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

On the reliability of seasonal climate forecasts

(2014) A. Weisheimer et al.   Journal of the Royal Society Interface

Is There a Relationship between Potential and Actual Skill?

(2014) Arun Kumar et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Addressing model error through atmospheric stochastic physical parametrizations: impact on the coupled ECMWF seasonal forecasting system

(2014) A. Weisheimer et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

Simulating regime structures in weather and climate prediction models

(2012) A. Dawson et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Towards the probabilistic Earth-system simulator: a vision for the future of climate and weather prediction

(2012) T. N. Palmer   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Skill of Real-Time Seasonal ENSO Model Predictions during 2002–11: Is Our Capability Increasing?

(2011) Anthony G. Barnston et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

ENSEMBLES: A new multi-model ensemble for seasonal-to-annual predictions—Skill and progress beyond DEMETER in forecasting tropical Pacific SSTs

(2009) A. Weisheimer et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Finite Samples and Uncertainty Estimates for Skill Measures for Seasonal Prediction

(2009) Arun Kumar   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW