Forecasting scrap tires returns in closed-loop supply chains in Brazil

This research aims to propose a forecasting model to a tire closed-loop supply chain, highlighting the relationship between the number of tires inserted in the market and the number of tires routed to the destination. The methodological approach applied in this research is the Transfer Function Model. We illustrate the application of the model in a state located in the Midwest of Brazil. For this purpose, the number of tires placed on the market for after-market and the size of the current fleet of these places, representing the amount of tires entered the market for new cars sold were adopted as model input variables. We considered the volume of recycled tires collected and sent for disposal as the output variable. Therefore, this study enabled us to identify the variables that influence the return of scrap tires, the amount of returned volume tires, and the time of this return to facilitate the management of the tires of the closed-loop supply chain (C) 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.