Improved Teleconnection-Based Dynamical Seasonal Predictions of Boreal Winter

How Predictable Are the Arctic and North Atlantic Oscillations? Exploring the Variability and Predictability of the Northern Hemisphere

(2018) Daniela I. V. Domeisen et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Variability in seasonal forecast skill of Northern Hemisphere winters over the twentieth century

(2017) Christopher H. O'Reilly et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Atmospheric seasonal forecasts of the twentieth century: multi-decadal variability in predictive skill of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and their potential value for extreme event attribution

(2017) Antje Weisheimer et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Simple Statistical Probabilistic Forecasts of the Winter NAO

(2017) Richard J. Hall et al.   WEATHER AND FORECASTING

A robust empirical seasonal prediction of winter NAO and surface climate

(2017) L. Wang et al.   Scientific Reports

The Climate-system Historical Forecast Project: do stratosphere-resolving models make better seasonal climate predictions in boreal winter?

(2016) Amy H. Butler et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Seasonal winter forecasts and the stratosphere

(2015) A. A. Scaife et al.   Atmospheric Science Letters

Atmospheric initial conditions and the predictability of the Arctic Oscillation

(2015) Timothy N. Stockdale et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Seasonal Predictability over Europe Arising from El Niño and Stratospheric Variability in the MPI-ESM Seasonal Prediction System

(2015) Daniela I. V. Domeisen et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Mechanisms of Stratospheric and Tropospheric Circulation Response to Projected Arctic Sea Ice Loss

(2015) Lantao Sun et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The prediction of surface temperature in the new seasonal prediction system based on the MPI-ESM coupled climate model

(2014) J. Baehr et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Skillful long-range prediction of European and North American winters

(2014) A. A. Scaife et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Recent Arctic amplification and extreme mid-latitude weather

(2014) Judah Cohen et al.   Nature Geoscience

Seasonal to decadal prediction of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation: emerging capability and future prospects

(2014) Doug M. Smith et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Examining reliability of seasonal to decadal sea surface temperature forecasts: The role of ensemble dispersion

(2013) Chun Kit Ho et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

The Impact of the North Atlantic Oscillation on Renewable Energy Resources in Southwestern Europe

(2013) S. Jerez et al.   Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology

The Winter Atmospheric Response to Sea Ice Anomalies in the Barents Sea

(2013) Jessica Liptak et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The Influence of Surface Forcings on Prediction of the North Atlantic Oscillation Regime of Winter 2010/11

(2013) Anna Maidens et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Evaluation of the ECMWF ocean reanalysis system ORAS4

(2013) Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Climate and carbon cycle changes from 1850 to 2100 in MPI-ESM simulations for the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5

(2013) Marco A. Giorgetta et al.   Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

Loss potentials associated with European windstorms under future climate conditions

(2012) JG Pinto et al.   CLIMATE RESEARCH

How stationary is the relationship between Siberian snow and Arctic Oscillation over the 20th century?

(2012) Y. Peings et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

A new index for more accurate winter predictions

(2011) Judah Cohen et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

El Niño, La Niña, and stratospheric sudden warmings: A reevaluation in light of the observational record

(2011) Amy H. Butler et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Origin and predictability of the extreme negative NAO winter of 2009/10

(2011) T. Jung et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

The ERA-Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system

(2011) D. P. Dee et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Observed Feedback between Winter Sea Ice and the North Atlantic Oscillation

(2009) Courtenay Strong et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

European Climate Extremes and the North Atlantic Oscillation

(2008) Adam A. Scaife et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE