Probabilistic forecasting in infectious disease epidemiology: the 13th Armitage lecture

Calibration tests for multivariate Gaussian forecasts

(2017) Wei Wei et al.   JOURNAL OF MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS

Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Epidemic Phenomena Using the R Package surveillance

(2017) Sebastian Meyer et al.   Journal of Statistical Software

Epidemic Forecasting is Messier Than Weather Forecasting: The Role of Human Behavior and Internet Data Streams in Epidemic Forecast

(2016) Kelly R. Moran et al.   JOURNAL OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES

Noroviruses: epidemiology, immunity and prospects for prevention

(2015) Kimberly Pringle et al.   Future Microbiology

Variogram-Based Proper Scoring Rules for Probabilistic Forecasts of Multivariate Quantities*

(2015) Michael Scheuerer et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Accurate estimation of influenza epidemics using Google search data via ARGO

(2015) Shihao Yang et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Multivariate postprocessing techniques for probabilistic hydrological forecasting

(2015) S. Hemri et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Five challenges for spatial epidemic models

(2015) Steven Riley et al.   Epidemics

Combining Search, Social Media, and Traditional Data Sources to Improve Influenza Surveillance

(2015) Mauricio Santillana et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

Power-law models for infectious disease spread

(2014) Sebastian Meyer et al.   Annals of Applied Statistics

Influenza Forecasting in Human Populations: A Scoping Review

(2014) Jean-Paul Chretien et al.   PLoS One

Calibration tests for count data

(2014) Wei Wei et al.   TEST

Probabilistic Forecasting

(2014) Tilmann Gneiting et al.   Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application

A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of the Global Seasonality of Norovirus

(2013) Sharia M. Ahmed et al.   PLoS One

Assessing Optimal Target Populations for Influenza Vaccination Programmes: An Evidence Synthesis and Modelling Study

(2013) Marc Baguelin et al.   PLOS MEDICINE

Modeling seasonality in space-time infectious disease surveillance data

(2012) Leonhard Held et al.   BIOMETRICAL JOURNAL

Tracking Epidemics With Google Flu Trends Data and a State-Space SEIR Model

(2012) Vanja Dukic et al.   JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION

Bayesian modeling to unmask and predict influenza A/H1N1pdm dynamics in London

(2011) P. J. Birrell et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Probabilistic Wind Speed Forecasting Using Ensembles and Bayesian Model Averaging

(2010) J. McLean Sloughter et al.   JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION

Predictive Model Assessment for Count Data

(2009) Claudia Czado et al.   BIOMETRICS

Multivariate modelling of infectious disease surveillance data

(2008) M. Paul et al.   STATISTICS IN MEDICINE

Assessing probabilistic forecasts of multivariate quantities, with an application to ensemble predictions of surface winds

(2008) Tilmann Gneiting et al.   TEST

Social Contacts and Mixing Patterns Relevant to the Spread of Infectious Diseases

(2008) Joël Mossong et al.   PLOS MEDICINE