Enforcing calibration in ensemble postprocessing

Ensemble calibration with preserved correlations: unifying and comparing ensemble copula coupling and member-by-member postprocessing

(2017) Roman Schefzik   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Censored and shifted gamma distribution based EMOS model for probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasting

(2016) Sándor Baran et al.   ENVIRONMETRICS

Probabilistic temperature forecasting based on an ensemble autoregressive modification

(2016) Annette Möller et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Parameter uncertainty in forecast recalibration

(2016) Stefan Siegert et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Probabilistic wind speed forecasting on a grid based on ensemble model output statistics

(2015) Michael Scheuerer et al.   Annals of Applied Statistics

Log-normal distribution based Ensemble Model Output Statistics models for probabilistic wind-speed forecasting

(2015) Sándor Baran et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Comparison of Postprocessing Methods for the Calibration of 100-m Wind Ensemble Forecasts at Off- and Onshore Sites

(2014) Constantin Junk et al.   Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology

Ensemble post-processing using member-by-member approaches: theoretical aspects

(2014) Bert Van Schaeybroeck et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Probabilistic Forecasting

(2014) Tilmann Gneiting et al.   Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application

NOAA's Second-Generation Global Medium-Range Ensemble Reforecast Dataset

(2013) Thomas M. Hamill et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Comparison of non-homogeneous regression models for probabilistic wind speed forecasting

(2013) Sebastian Lerch et al.   TELLUS SERIES A-DYNAMIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY

Evaluating raw ensembles with the continuous ranked probability score

(2012) Jochen Bröcker   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Probabilistic Wind Gust Forecasting Using Nonhomogeneous Gaussian Regression

(2011) Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Probabilistic forecasts of wind speed: ensemble model output statistics by using heteroscedastic censored regression

(2009) Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES A-STATISTICS IN SOCIETY

Reliability, sufficiency, and the decomposition of proper scores

(2009) Jochen Bröcker   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Probabilistic Forecast Calibration Using ECMWF and GFS Ensemble Reforecasts. Part I: Two-Meter Temperatures

(2008) Renate Hagedorn et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW