Probabilistic temperature forecasting based on an ensemble autoregressive modification

Spatial Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts for Temperature Using Nonhomogeneous Gaussian Regression

(2015) Kira Feldmann et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Joint probabilistic forecasting of wind speed and temperature using Bayesian model averaging

(2014) S. Baran et al.   ENVIRONMETRICS

Trends in the predictive performance of raw ensemble weather forecasts

(2014) S. Hemri et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Probabilistic Forecasting

(2014) Tilmann Gneiting et al.   Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application

Spatially adaptive post-processing of ensemble forecasts for temperature

(2013) Michael Scheuerer et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES C-APPLIED STATISTICS

Statistical post-processing of probabilistic wind speed forecasting in Hungary

(2013) Sándor Baran et al.   METEOROLOGISCHE ZEITSCHRIFT

Probabilistic Weather Prediction with an Analog Ensemble

(2013) Luca Delle Monache et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasting using Ensemble Model Output Statistics

(2013) M. Scheuerer   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Gridded, locally calibrated, probabilistic temperature forecasts based on ensemble model output statistics

(2013) M. Scheuerer et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Uncertainty Quantification in Complex Simulation Models Using Ensemble Copula Coupling

(2013) Roman Schefzik et al.   STATISTICAL SCIENCE

Combining predictive distributions

(2013) Tilmann Gneiting et al.   Electronic Journal of Statistics

Ensemble Model Output Statistics for Wind Vectors

(2012) Nina Schuhen et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Multivariate probabilistic forecasting using ensemble Bayesian model averaging and copulas

(2012) Annette Möller et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Comparing TIGGE multimodel forecasts with reforecast-calibrated ECMWF ensemble forecasts

(2012) Renate Hagedorn et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Locally Calibrated Probabilistic Temperature Forecasting Using Geostatistical Model Averaging and Local Bayesian Model Averaging

(2011) William Kleiber et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Bias Correction for Global Ensemble Forecast

(2011) Bo Cui et al.   WEATHER AND FORECASTING

The THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble

(2010) Philippe Bougeault et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Probabilistic Wind Speed Forecasting Using Ensembles and Bayesian Model Averaging

(2010) J. McLean Sloughter et al.   JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION

Combining probability forecasts

(2010) Roopesh Ranjan et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES B-STATISTICAL METHODOLOGY

Bias Correction and Multiensemble in the NAEFS Context or How to Get a “Free Calibration” through a Multiensemble Approach

(2010) Guillem Candille et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Probabilistic forecasts of wind speed: ensemble model output statistics by using heteroscedastic censored regression

(2009) Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES A-STATISTICS IN SOCIETY

Probabilistic Forecast Calibration Using ECMWF and GFS Ensemble Reforecasts. Part I: Two-Meter Temperatures

(2008) Renate Hagedorn et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

The Multiensemble Approach: The NAEFS Example

(2008) Guillem Candille   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Ensemble forecasting

(2007) M. Leutbecher et al.   JOURNAL OF COMPUTATIONAL PHYSICS