Real-time numerical forecast of global epidemic spreading: case study of 2009 A/H1N1pdm

Real-time forecasting of an epidemic using a discrete time stochastic model: a case study of pandemic influenza (H1N1-2009)

(2011) Hiroshi Nishiura   Biomedical Engineering Online

Using an online survey of healthcare-seeking behaviour to estimate the magnitude and severity of the 2009 H1N1v influenza epidemic in England

(2011) Ellen Brooks-Pollock et al.   BMC INFECTIOUS DISEASES

The GLEaMviz computational tool, a publicly available software to explore realistic epidemic spreading scenarios at the global scale

(2011) Wouter Van den Broeck et al.   BMC INFECTIOUS DISEASES

Prediction of pandemic influenza

(2011) Hiroshi Nishiura   EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY

Modelers' Perception of Mathematical Modeling in Epidemiology: A Web-Based Survey

(2011) Gilles Hejblum et al.   PLoS One

Age-Specific Incidence of A/H1N1 2009 Influenza Infection in England from Sequential Antibody Prevalence Data Using Likelihood-Based Estimation

(2011) Marc Baguelin et al.   PLoS One

Human Mobility Networks, Travel Restrictions, and the Global Spread of 2009 H1N1 Pandemic

(2011) Paolo Bajardi et al.   PLoS One

Did Modeling Overestimate the Transmission Potential of Pandemic (H1N1-2009)? Sample Size Estimation for Post-Epidemic Seroepidemiological Studies

(2011) Hiroshi Nishiura et al.   PLoS One

The Global Transmission and Control of Influenza

(2011) Eben Kenah et al.   PLoS One

Determinants of the Spatiotemporal Dynamics of the 2009 H1N1 Pandemic in Europe: Implications for Real-Time Modelling

(2011) Stefano Merler et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

Planning for the next influenza H1N1 season: a modelling study

(2010) Fabrice Carrat et al.   BMC INFECTIOUS DISEASES

Entry screening to delay local transmission of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1)

(2010) Benjamin J Cowling et al.   BMC INFECTIOUS DISEASES

Comparing large-scale computational approaches to epidemic modeling: Agent-based versus structured metapopulation models

(2010) Marco Ajelli et al.   BMC INFECTIOUS DISEASES

The Infection Attack Rate and Severity of 2009 Pandemic H1N1 Influenza in Hong Kong

(2010) Joseph T. Wu et al.   CLINICAL INFECTIOUS DISEASES

Model predictions and evaluation of possible control strategies for the 2009 A/H1N1v influenza pandemic in Italy

(2010) M. AJELLI et al.   EPIDEMIOLOGY AND INFECTION

Incidence of 2009 pandemic influenza A H1N1 infection in England: a cross-sectional serological study

(2010) Elizabeth Miller et al.   LANCET

Determination of serum antibodies against swine-origin influenza A virus H1N1/09 by immunofluorescence, haemagglutination inhibition, and by neutralization tests: how is the prevalence rate of protecting antibodies in humans?

(2010) Regina Allwinn et al.   MEDICAL MICROBIOLOGY AND IMMUNOLOGY

Real-Time Epidemic Monitoring and Forecasting of H1N1-2009 Using Influenza-Like Illness from General Practice and Family Doctor Clinics in Singapore

(2010) Jimmy Boon Som Ong et al.   PLoS One

Vaccination against pandemic influenza A/H1N1v in England: A real-time economic evaluation

(2010) Marc Baguelin et al.   VACCINE

The 2009 A (H1N1) influenza virus pandemic: A review

(2010) Marc P. Girard et al.   VACCINE

FluTE, a Publicly Available Stochastic Influenza Epidemic Simulation Model

(2010) Dennis L. Chao et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

Studies Needed to Address Public Health Challenges of the 2009 H1N1 Influenza Pandemic: Insights from Modeling

(2010) Maria D. Van Kerkhove et al.   PLOS MEDICINE

Reflections on Pandemic (H1N1) 2009 and the International Response

(2010) Gabriel M. Leung et al.   PLOS MEDICINE

Modeling the spatial spread of infectious diseases: The GLobal Epidemic and Mobility computational model

(2010) Duygu Balcan et al.   Journal of Computational Science

Potential for a global dynamic of Influenza A (H1N1)

(2009) Antoine Flahault et al.   BMC INFECTIOUS DISEASES

Modelling the progression of pandemic influenza A (H1N1) in Vietnam and the opportunities for reassortment with other influenza viruses

(2009) Maciej F Boni et al.   BMC Medicine

Modeling influenza epidemics and pandemics: insights into the future of swine flu (H1N1)

(2009) Brian J Coburn et al.   BMC Medicine

Seasonal transmission potential and activity peaks of the new influenza A(H1N1): a Monte Carlo likelihood analysis based on human mobility

(2009) Duygu Balcan et al.   BMC Medicine

Estimation of the reproductive number and the serial interval in early phase of the 2009 influenza A/H1N1 pandemic in the USA

(2009) Laura Forsberg White et al.   Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses

Initial human transmission dynamics of the pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus in North America

(2009) Babak Pourbohloul et al.   Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses

How to maintain surveillance for novel influenza A H1N1 when there are too many cases to count

(2009) Marc Lipsitch et al.   LANCET

Cross-Reactive Antibody Responses to the 2009 Pandemic H1N1 Influenza Virus

(2009) Kathy Hancock et al.   NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL OF MEDICINE

Use of Cumulative Incidence of Novel Influenza A/H1N1 in Foreign Travelers to Estimate Lower Bounds on Cumulative Incidence in Mexico

(2009) Marc Lipsitch et al.   PLoS One

Multiscale mobility networks and the spatial spreading of infectious diseases

(2009) D. Balcan et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

The role of population heterogeneity and human mobility in the spread of pandemic influenza

(2009) S. Merler et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Pandemic Potential of a Strain of Influenza A (H1N1): Early Findings

(2009) C. Fraser et al.   SCIENCE

The Transmissibility and Control of Pandemic Influenza A (H1N1) Virus

(2009) Y. Yang et al.   SCIENCE

Optimizing Influenza Vaccine Distribution

(2009) J. Medlock et al.   SCIENCE

Estimating Influenza Vaccine Efficacy From Challenge and Community-based Study Data

(2008) N. E. Basta et al.   AMERICAN JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY

Time Lines of Infection and Disease in Human Influenza: A Review of Volunteer Challenge Studies

(2008) Fabrice Carrat et al.   AMERICAN JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY

Meeting Report: Risk Assessment of Tamiflu Use Under Pandemic Conditions

(2008) Andrew C. Singer et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES

A simple explanation for the low impact of border control as a countermeasure to the spread of an infectious disease

(2008) Gianpaolo Scalia Tomba et al.   MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES

Estimating the impact of school closure on influenza transmission from Sentinel data

(2008) Simon Cauchemez et al.   NATURE

Mitigation Measures for Pandemic Influenza in Italy: An Individual Based Model Considering Different Scenarios

(2008) Marta Luisa Ciofi degli Atti et al.   PLoS One

Sampling for Global Epidemic Models and the Topology of an International Airport Network

(2008) Georgiy Bobashev et al.   PLoS One

Modeling targeted layered containment of an influenza pandemic in the United States

(2008) M. E. Halloran et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Antiviral treatment for the control of pandemic influenza: some logistical constraints

(2007) N Arinaminpathy et al.   Journal of the Royal Society Interface

Epidemic modeling in metapopulation systems with heterogeneous coupling pattern: Theory and simulations

(2007) Vittoria Colizza et al.   JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY