The tropical Pacific as a key pacemaker of the variable rates of global warming

Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown

(2016) John C. Fyfe et al.   Nature Climate Change

Effects of volcanism on tropical variability

(2015) Nicola Maher et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature Version 4 (ERSST.v4). Part I: Upgrades and Intercomparisons

(2015) Boyin Huang et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Has there been a hiatus?

(2015) K. E. Trenberth   SCIENCE

Possible artifacts of data biases in the recent global surface warming hiatus

(2015) T. R. Karl et al.   SCIENCE

Decadal modulation of global surface temperature by internal climate variability

(2015) Aiguo Dai et al.   Nature Climate Change

Drivers of decadal hiatus periods in the 20th and 21st centuries

(2014) Nicola Maher et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Climate policy: Ditch the 2 °C warming goal

(2014) David G. Victor et al.   NATURE

Reconciling warming trends

(2014) Gavin A. Schmidt et al.   Nature Geoscience

Volcanic contribution to decadal changes in tropospheric temperature

(2014) Benjamin D. Santer et al.   Nature Geoscience

Pacemakers of warming

(2014) Stefan Brönnimann   Nature Geoscience

Early twentieth-century warming linked to tropical Pacific wind strength

(2014) Diane M. Thompson et al.   Nature Geoscience

Climate model simulations of the observed early-2000s hiatus of global warming

(2014) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   Nature Climate Change

Recent intensification of wind-driven circulation in the Pacific and the ongoing warming hiatus

(2014) Matthew H. England et al.   Nature Climate Change

The influence of anthropogenic aerosol on multi-decadal variations of historical global climate

(2013) L J Wilcox et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling

(2013) Yu Kosaka et al.   NATURE

Energy budget constraints on climate response

(2013) Alexander Otto et al.   Nature Geoscience

Quantifying uncertainties in global and regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates: The HadCRUT4 data set

(2012) Colin P. Morice et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Slowdown of the Walker circulation driven by tropical Indo-Pacific warming

(2012) Hiroki Tokinaga et al.   NATURE

Model-based evidence of deep-ocean heat uptake during surface-temperature hiatus periods

(2011) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   Nature Climate Change

Comparing variability and trends in observed and modelled global-mean surface temperature

(2010) John C. Fyfe et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

GLOBAL SURFACE TEMPERATURE CHANGE

(2010) J. Hansen et al.   REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS

Identifying Signatures of Natural Climate Variability in Time Series of Global-Mean Surface Temperature: Methodology and Insights

(2009) David W. J. Thompson et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Early twentieth-century warming

(2009) Stefan Brönnimann   Nature Geoscience

Improvements to NOAA’s Historical Merged Land–Ocean Surface Temperature Analysis (1880–2006)

(2008) Thomas M. Smith et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The Mid-1970s Climate Shift in the Pacific and the Relative Roles of Forced versus Inherent Decadal Variability

(2008) Gerald A. Meehl et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

A large discontinuity in the mid-twentieth century in observed global-mean surface temperature

(2008) David W. J. Thompson et al.   NATURE

The equilibrium sensitivity of the Earth's temperature to radiation changes

(2008) Reto Knutti et al.   Nature Geoscience