4.6 Article

The effect of air pollution on migration: Evidence from China

Journal

JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
Volume 156, Issue -, Pages -

Publisher

ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2022.102833

Keywords

Air pollution; Migration; Human capital; Avoidance behavior

Categories

Ask authors/readers for more resources

This paper examines the impact of air pollution on migration in China. The findings indicate that air pollution has significant effects on both inflows and outflows of migration. The effects differ between well-educated young people and mid-age adults.
This paper looks at the effects of air pollution on migration in China using changes in the average strength of thermal inversions over five-year periods as a source of exogenous variation for medium-run air pollution levels. Our findings suggest that air pollution is responsible for large changes in inflows and outflows of migration in China. Specifically, we find that a 10 percent increase in air pollution, holding everything else constant, is capable of reducing population through net outmigration by about 2.8 percent in a given county. We find that these inflows are primarily driven by well-educated people at the beginning of their professional careers. We also find a strong gender asymmetry in the response of mid-age adults that suggests families are splitting across counties to protect vulnerable members of the household. Our results are robust to different specifications, including a spatial lag model that accounts for localized migration spillovers and spatially correlated pollution shocks.

Authors

I am an author on this paper
Click your name to claim this paper and add it to your profile.

Reviews

Primary Rating

4.6
Not enough ratings

Secondary Ratings

Novelty
-
Significance
-
Scientific rigor
-
Rate this paper

Recommended

No Data Available
Article Economics

Peaceful entry: Entrepreneurship dynamics during Colombia's peace agreement

Carolina Bernal, Mounu Prem, Juan F. Vargas, Monica Ortiz

Summary: The end of internal conflict has significant implications for entrepreneurship and economic activity. Through a case study of Colombia's peace agreement with the FARC guerrilla, we find that entrepreneurship closely reflects the political dynamics surrounding the peace agreement.

JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS (2024)

Article Economics

Supporting early childhood development remotely: Experimental evidence from SMS messages

Juan Manuel Hernandez-Agramonte, Olga Namen, Emma Naslund-Hadley, Maria Loreto Biehl

Summary: By providing regular text messages to parents of preschool students, informing them ways to engage their children in educational activities at home, it was found that children's cognitive skills increased by 0.11-0.12 standard deviations compared to the control group. There is suggestive evidence that this effect was driven by increased parental involvement in the proposed activities.

JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS (2024)

Article Economics

The Generalized System of Preferences and NGO activism

Lionel Fontagne, Michela Limardi

Summary: This study finds that labor NGO activism plays a crucial role in implementing labor laws in developing countries, especially in cases where governmental institutions are weak. It helps firms increase wage levels and meet the minimum wage standards.

JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS (2024)

Article Economics

Risk, arbitrage, and spatial price relationships: Insights from China's hog market under the African Swine Fever

Meilin Ma, Michael S. Delgado, H. Holly Wang

Summary: This study investigates the dynamic spatial mechanisms of market integration using the 2018 outbreak of African Swine Fever (ASF) in China and the subsequent ban on cross-province shipment of hogs as a natural experiment. The findings suggest that a greater distance between provinces weakens spatial price links post-ban, indicating insufficient arbitrage due to imperfect public information regarding ASF. The temporary market segmentation leads to substantial dead-weight-loss.

JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS (2024)

Article Economics

Rural road stimulus and the role of matching mandates on economic recovery in China

Anthony Howell

Summary: This study explores the impact of a rural road stimulus program in China on economic recovery. The findings suggest that suspending the local matching mandates stimulates short-term income growth in the affected villages and promotes rural enterprise development and agricultural services. This is significant in terms of relaxing local budget constraints and accelerating economic recovery.

JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS (2024)

Article Economics

The long-term welfare effects of colonial institutions: Evidence from Central India

Marco Colleoni

Summary: This study utilizes a spatial RDD to examine the long-term transmission of colonial institutional characteristics on welfare and wealth inequality in two regions separated by the Narmada River in Central India.

JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS (2024)

Article Economics

Global universal basic skills: Current deficits and implications for world development

Sarah Gust, Eric A. Hanushek, Ludger Woessmann

Summary: At least two-thirds of the world's youth do not reach basic skill levels, and the global economic output lost due to the lack of universal basic skills is estimated to be over $700 trillion.

JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS (2024)

Article Economics

The limits of hegemony: US banks and Chilean firms in the Cold Ware

Felipe Aldunate, Felipe Gonzalez, Mounu Prem

Summary: Governments in hegemonic states use economic sanctions to induce changes in other countries. This study examines the impact of such sanctions on international business networks, focusing on the destruction of financial relations between U.S. banks and Chilean firms following Salvador Allende's rise to power in 1970. The findings suggest that firms were largely unaffected by the loss of links with U.S. banks, as they substituted these relations with domestic banks.

JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS (2024)

Article Economics

Tariff overhang and aid: Theory and empirics

Oliver Lorz, Susanna Thede

Summary: This paper investigates aid payments as a potential explanation for tariff overhangs. Using a theoretical model and empirical analysis, the study finds that rich countries utilize development aid to compensate poorer countries for tariff concessions, leading to a reduction in applied tariffs. This aid-for-trade mechanism contributes to achieving optimal outcomes for both trade and aid.

JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS (2024)

Article Economics

Winning and losing the resource lottery: Governance after uncertain oil discoveries

Erik S. Katovich

Summary: Natural resource discoveries pose challenges for governments due to delays and uncertain outcomes. This study examines the impacts of offshore oil discoveries in Brazil on local public finances, public goods provision, and politics. The findings show that municipalities where discoveries are realized experience significant growth in revenues and spending, but do not see improvements in public goods provision or economic activity. On the other hand, municipalities that only receive discovery announcements without windfalls suffer long-term declines in revenues, investment, and public goods provision. Electoral responses and mismanagement of windfalls are found to underlie these dynamics.

JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS (2024)

Article Economics

Providing procedural knowledge: A field experiment to encourage resource conservation in Namibia

Sebastian Tonke

Summary: This study conducted a large-scale field experiment in Namibia to promote water conservation during a drought. The results showed that providing a specific list of conservation strategies via text message can effectively reduce residential water consumption by 5.3%. However, asking individuals to develop their own strategies was ineffective, suggesting a lack of knowledge on effective water conservation methods. Additionally, the intervention did not lead to a decrease in the payment of water utility bills, indicating that customers paid a larger amount despite consuming less water.

JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS (2024)

Article Economics

From wells to wealth? Government transfers and human capital

Julio Acuna, Lenin H. Balza, Nicolas Gomez-Parra

Summary: This study examines the causal impact of oil royalties on human capital. The results show that oil royalties increase the likelihood of students completing primary and secondary education and improve school accessibility. However, the likelihood of students pursuing higher education decreases due to higher opportunity costs.

JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS (2024)

Article Economics

The dual role of insurance in input use: Mitigating risk versus curtailing incentives

Davide Pietrobon

Summary: Insurance can both encourage and decrease the use of risk-increasing inputs and people's incentives to exert effort. The study finds that median fertilizer use is almost three times higher under no sharing compared to full insurance, and a subsidy that halves fertilizer prices can increase farmers' welfare by 37% in consumption-equivalent terms.

JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS (2024)

Article Economics

Improved menstrual health and the workplace: An RCT with female Bangladeshi garment workers☆

Kristina Czura, Andreas Menzel, Martina Miotto

Summary: Menstrual hygiene practices in low-income countries are often restricted due to lack of finances and information. Providing free sanitary pads and information on hygienic practices can improve health outcomes but may not have an impact on labor outcomes.

JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS (2024)

Article Economics

Adaptation to temperature extremes in Chinese agriculture, 1981 to 2010

Di Wang, Peng Zhang, Shuai Chen, Ning Zhang

Summary: This study examines the causal evidence for adaptation effects of specific agricultural instruments and emphasizes the importance of identifying potentially useful adaptive measures for future climate change. Through a quasi-experimental approach, the study quantifies the contribution of irrigation access to the overall adaptation effect and highlights the significant role of irrigation in agricultural adaptation. The findings demonstrate that irrigation expansion significantly mitigated the negative impacts of high temperature on crop yields, with irrigation accounting for about 40% of the overall adaptation effect.

JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS (2024)