Linking ecological niche models and common garden experiments to predict phenotypic differentiation in stressful environments: Assessing the adaptive value of marginal populations in an alpine plant

Adaptation across geographic ranges is consistent with strong selection in marginal climates and legacies of range expansion

(2021) Megan Bontrager et al.   EVOLUTION

How is adaptive potential distributed within species ranges?

(2021) Lillie K. Pennington et al.   EVOLUTION

Mismatches between demographic niches and geographic distributions are strongest in poorly dispersed and highly persistent plant species

(2020) Jörn Pagel et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Genomic Prediction of (Mal)Adaptation Across Current and Future Climatic Landscapes

(2020) Thibaut Capblancq et al.   Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics

Gene flow effects on populations inhabiting marginal areas: origin matters

(2020) Javier Morente‐López et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Standards for distribution models in biodiversity assessments

(2019) Miguel B. Araújo et al.   Science Advances

ΔTraitSDMs: species distribution models that account for local adaptation and phenotypic plasticity

(2019) Marta Benito Garzón et al.   NEW PHYTOLOGIST

On population abundance and niche structure

(2019) Luis Osorio‐Olvera et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Effects of climate change on alpine plants and their pollinators

(2019) David W. Inouye   Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences

Transcriptome assembly and polymorphism detection in Silene ciliata (Caryophyllaceae)

(2019) Sandra Sacristán-Bajo et al.   Plant Genetic Resources-Characterization and Utilization

Considering adaptive genetic variation in climate change vulnerability assessment reduces species range loss projections

(2019) Orly Razgour et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Past selection shaped phenological differentiation among populations at contrasting elevations in a Mediterranean alpine plant

(2019) Javier Morente-López et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL AND EXPERIMENTAL BOTANY

Natural selection on the Arabidopsis thaliana genome in present and future climates

(2019) Moises Exposito-Alonso et al.   NATURE

Incorporating intraspecific variation into species distribution models improves distribution predictions, but cannot predict species traits for a wide‐spread plant species

(2019) Nathalie Isabelle Chardon et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Reflections on niches and numbers

(2019) Robert D. Holt   ECOGRAPHY

Extensive mismatches between species distributions and performance and their relationship to functional traits

(2019) Teresa Bohner et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Climate change disrupts local adaptation and favours upslope migration

(2019) Jill T. Anderson et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Ecological niche differentiation in peripheral populations: a comparative analysis of eleven Mediterranean plant species

(2018) G. Papuga et al.   ECOGRAPHY

The importance of marginal population hotspots of cold-adapted species for research on climate change and conservation

(2018) Thomas Abeli et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Living on the edge: do central and marginal populations of plants differ in habitat suitability?

(2018) Cristian Madeira de Medeiros et al.   PLANT ECOLOGY

Habitat suitability estimated by niche models is largely unrelated to species abundance

(2018) Tad A. Dallas et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Toward ecologically realistic predictions of species distributions: A cross-time example from tropical montane cloud forests

(2017) Lázaro Guevara et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Plant adaptations to the combination of drought and high temperatures

(2017) Sara I. Zandalinas et al.   PHYSIOLOGIA PLANTARUM

How does climate change affect regeneration of Mediterranean high-mountain plants? An integration and synthesis of current knowledge

(2017) L. Giménez-Benavides et al.   PLANT BIOLOGY

Genomic basis and evolutionary potential for extreme drought adaptation in Arabidopsis thaliana

(2017) Moises Exposito-Alonso et al.   Nature Ecology & Evolution

Do Ecological Niche Models Accurately Identify Climatic Determinants of Species Ranges?

(2016) Christopher A. Searcy et al.   AMERICAN NATURALIST

Geographic variation in genetic and demographic performance: new insights from an old biogeographical paradigm

(2016) Samuel Pironon et al.   BIOLOGICAL REVIEWS

Addressing potential local adaptation in species distribution models: implications for conservation under climate change

(2016) Maria Helena Hällfors et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Incorporating evolutionary adaptation in species distribution modelling reduces projected vulnerability to climate change

(2016) Alex Bush et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

A synthesis of transplant experiments and ecological niche models suggests that range limits are often niche limits

(2016) Julie A. Lee-Yaw et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Genetically informed ecological niche models improve climate change predictions

(2016) Dana H. Ikeda et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Confronting species distribution model predictions with species functional traits

(2016) Marion E. Wittmann et al.   Ecology and Evolution

Tackling intraspecific genetic structure in distribution models better reflects species geographical range

(2016) Arnald Marcer et al.   Ecology and Evolution

spThin: an R package for spatial thinning of species occurrence records for use in ecological niche models

(2015) Matthew E. Aiello-Lammens et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Individual spatial aggregation correlates with between-population variation in fine-scale genetic structure of Silene ciliata (Caryophyllaceae)

(2015) C Lara-Romero et al.   HEREDITY

Fitting Linear Mixed-Effects Models Usinglme4

(2015) Douglas Bates et al.   Journal of Statistical Software

Combining niche modelling and landscape genetics to study local adaptation: A novel approach illustrated using alpine plants

(2015) Jonathan Rolland et al.   PERSPECTIVES IN PLANT ECOLOGY EVOLUTION AND SYSTEMATICS

Plant Trait Variation along an Altitudinal Gradient in Mediterranean High Mountain Grasslands: Controlling the Species Turnover Effect

(2015) David S. Pescador et al.   PLoS One

A glacial survivor of the alpine Mediterranean region: phylogenetic and phylogeographic insights intoSilene ciliataPourr. (Caryophyllaceae)

(2015) Ifigeneia Kyrkou et al.   PeerJ

A framework for using niche models to estimate impacts of climate change on species distributions

(2015) Robert P. Anderson   Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences

Genetic variation in flowering phenology and reproductive performance in a Mediterranean high-mountain specialist,Armeria caespitosa(Plumbaginaceae)

(2014) Carlos Lara-Romero et al.   BOTANICAL JOURNAL OF THE LINNEAN SOCIETY

The role of demography, intra-species variation, and species distribution models in species' projections under climate change

(2014) Rebecca M. Swab et al.   ECOGRAPHY

What do we gain from simplicity versus complexity in species distribution models?

(2014) Cory Merow et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Spatial filtering to reduce sampling bias can improve the performance of ecological niche models

(2014) Robert A. Boria et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

The effects of phenotypic plasticity and local adaptation on forecasts of species range shifts under climate change

(2014) Fernando Valladares et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Ecological genomics meets community-level modelling of biodiversity: mapping the genomic landscape of current and future environmental adaptation

(2014) Matthew C. Fitzpatrick et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Do geographic, climatic or historical ranges differentiate the performance of central versus peripheral populations?

(2014) Samuel Pironon et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

The effect of spatially marginal localities in modelling species niches and distributions

(2014) Mariano Soley-Guardia et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Gene expression in closely related species mirrors local adaptation: consequences for responses to a warming world

(2014) Shawn T. O'Neil et al.   MOLECULAR ECOLOGY

Increased spring freezing vulnerability for alpine shrubs under early snowmelt

(2014) J. A. Wheeler et al.   OECOLOGIA

Effects of the duration of cold stratification on early life stages of the Mediterranean alpine plantSilene ciliata

(2014) A. García-Fernández et al.   PLANT BIOLOGY

Assessing Intraspecific Variation in Effective Dispersal Along an Altitudinal Gradient: A Test in Two Mediterranean High-Mountain Plants

(2014) Carlos Lara-Romero et al.   PLoS One

ENMeval: An R package for conducting spatially independent evaluations and estimating optimal model complexity forMaxentecological niche models

(2014) Robert Muscarella et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

A practical guide to measuring local adaptation

(2013) François Blanquart et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

RELATIONSHIP OF GENETIC DIVERSITY AND NICHE CENTRALITY: A SURVEY AND ANALYSIS

(2013) Andrés Lira-Noriega et al.   EVOLUTION

Effects of marginality on plant population performance

(2013) Thomas Abeli et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Geographical patterns of congruence and incongruence between correlative species distribution models and a process-based ecophysiological growth model

(2013) Josep M. Serra-Diaz et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Making better Maxentmodels of species distributions: complexity, overfitting and evaluation

(2013) Aleksandar Radosavljevic et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

The neotropical shrubLupinus elegans, from temperate forests, may not adapt to climate change

(2013) J. C. Soto-Correa et al.   PLANT BIOLOGY

Unravelling genetics at the top: mountain islands or isolated belts?

(2012) A. Garcia-Fernandez et al.   ANNALS OF BOTANY

Shifting Climate, Altered Niche, and a Dynamic Conservation Strategy for Yellow-Cedar in the North Pacific Coastal Rainforest

(2012) Paul E. Hennon et al.   BIOSCIENCE

Plant performance in central and northern peripheral populations of the widespreadPlantago coronopus

(2012) Jesús Villellas et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Variation in niche and distribution model performance: The need for a priori assessment of key causal factors

(2012) E.E. Saupe et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Climate envelope modelling reveals intraspecific relationships among flowering phenology, niche breadth and potential range size inArabidopsis thaliana

(2012) Joshua A. Banta et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Broad-scale adaptive genetic variation in alpine plants is driven by temperature and precipitation

(2012) STÉPHANIE MANEL et al.   MOLECULAR ECOLOGY

Among- and within-population variation in flowering time of IberianArabidopsis thalianaestimated in field and glasshouse conditions

(2012) Belén Méndez-Vigo et al.   NEW PHYTOLOGIST

Variation in Thermal Performance among Insect Populations

(2012) Brent J. Sinclair et al.   PHYSIOLOGICAL AND BIOCHEMICAL ZOOLOGY

Response to artificial drying until drought-induced death in different elevation populations of a high-mountain plant

(2012) Alfredo García-Fernández et al.   PLANT BIOLOGY

Thermal Variability Increases the Impact of Autumnal Warming and Drives Metabolic Depression in an Overwintering Butterfly

(2012) Caroline M. Williams et al.   PLoS One

Species-specific tuning increases robustness to sampling bias in models of species distributions: An implementation with Maxent

(2011) Robert P. Anderson et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Meta-analysis of phenotypic selection on flowering phenology suggests that early flowering plants are favoured

(2011) Miguel A. Munguía-Rosas et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Evolutionary ecology at the extremes of species’ ranges

(2011) David C. Hardie et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEWS

Forecasting species ranges by statistical estimation of ecological niches and spatial population dynamics

(2011) Jörn Pagel et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Intra-specific variability and plasticity influence potential tree species distributions under climate change

(2011) Marta Benito Garzón et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Natural selection drives clinal life history patterns in the perennial sunflower species, Helianthus maximiliani

(2011) TAKESHI KAWAKAMI et al.   MOLECULAR ECOLOGY

Climate change and evolutionary adaptation

(2011) Ary A. Hoffmann et al.   NATURE

Adaptive genetic differentiation in a predominantly self-pollinating species analyzed by transplanting into natural environment, crossbreeding and QST-FST test

(2011) S. Volis   NEW PHYTOLOGIST

A Map of Local Adaptation in Arabidopsis thaliana

(2011) A. Fournier-Level et al.   SCIENCE

Rapid Range Shifts of Species Associated with High Levels of Climate Warming

(2011) I.-C. Chen et al.   SCIENCE

Similar performance in central and range-edge populations of a Eurasian steppe grass under different climate and soil pH regimes

(2010) Viktoria Wagner et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Demographic processes of upward range contraction in a long-lived Mediterranean high mountain plant

(2010) Luis Giménez-Benavides et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Ecological niche modeling in Maxent: the importance of model complexity and the performance of model selection criteria

(2010) Dan L. Warren et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Winter climate change: a critical factor for temperate vegetation performance

(2010) Juergen Kreyling   ECOLOGY

Selection on flowering time in Mediterranean high-mountain plants under global warming

(2010) Luis Giménez-Benavides et al.   EVOLUTIONARY ECOLOGY

The effect of the extent of the study region on GIS models of species geographic distributions and estimates of niche evolution: preliminary tests with montane rodents (genus Nephelomys) in Venezuela

(2010) Robert P. Anderson et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Why does phenology drive species distribution?

(2010) I. Chuine   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Evolution and Ecology of Species Range Limits

(2009) Jason P. Sexton et al.   Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics

Species Distribution Models: Ecological Explanation and Prediction Across Space and Time

(2009) Jane Elith et al.   Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics

Variation in habitat suitability does not always relate to variation in species' plant functional traits

(2009) W. Thuiller et al.   Biology Letters

Mechanistic niche modelling: combining physiological and spatial data to predict species’ ranges

(2009) Michael Kearney et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Abundance, niche breadth, and niche occupation of Central European tree species in the centre and at the margin of their distribution range

(2009) Christoph Leuschner et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

Modelling snow melt and snowcover depletion in a small alpine cirque, Canadian Rocky Mountains

(2009) Christopher M. DeBeer et al.   HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES

Translocation experiments with butterflies reveal limits to enhancement of poleward populations under climate change

(2009) S. L. Pelini et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Bringing the Hutchinsonian niche into the 21st century: Ecological and evolutionary perspectives

(2009) R. D. Holt   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Geographic range limits: achieving synthesis

(2009) K. J Gaston   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Adaptation to Marginal Habitats

(2008) Tadeusz J. Kawecki   Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics

What shapes the altitudinal range of a high mountain Mediterranean plant? Recruitment probabilities from ovule to seedling stage

(2008) Luis Giménez-Benavides et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Modeling of species distributions with Maxent: new extensions and a comprehensive evaluation

(2008) Steven J. Phillips et al.   ECOGRAPHY

EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON PHENOLOGY, FROST DAMAGE, AND FLORAL ABUNDANCE OF MONTANE WILDFLOWERS

(2008) David W. Inouye   ECOLOGY

Influence of simulated snow cover on the cold tolerance and freezing injury of yellow-cedar seedlings

(2008) PAUL G. SCHABERG et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Population-genomic approach reveals adaptive floral divergence in discrete populations of a hawk moth-pollinated violet

(2008) C. M. HERRERA et al.   MOLECULAR ECOLOGY

Genetic variation across species’ geographical ranges: the central–marginal hypothesis and beyond

(2008) C. G. ECKERT et al.   MOLECULAR ECOLOGY

The response of two butterfly species to climatic variation at the edge of their range and the implications for poleward range shifts

(2008) Jessica J. Hellmann et al.   OECOLOGIA

Genetic differentiation across a latitudinal gradient in two co-occurring butterfly species: revealing population differences in a context of climate change

(2007) EVGUENI V. ZAKHAROV et al.   MOLECULAR ECOLOGY

Genetic response to rapid climate change: it's seasonal timing that matters

(2007) W. E. BRADSHAW et al.   MOLECULAR ECOLOGY