Selecting predictors to maximize the transferability of species distribution models: lessons from cross-continental plant invasions

Plants' native distributions do not reflect climatic tolerance

(2016) Tierney Bocsi et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Disjunct populations of European vascular plant species keep the same climatic niches

(2015) Safaa Wasof et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

A 40-year, continent-wide, multispecies assessment of relevant climate predictors for species distribution modelling

(2014) Morgane Barbet-Massin et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Opportunities for improved distribution modelling practice via a strict maximum likelihood interpretation of MaxEnt

(2014) Rune Halvorsen et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Residence time, expansion toward the equator in the invaded range and native range size matter to climatic niche shifts in non-native species

(2014) Yiming Li et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Climatic niche shifts between species' native and naturalized ranges raise concern for ecological forecasts during invasions and climate change

(2014) Regan Early et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Unifying niche shift studies: insights from biological invasions

(2014) Antoine Guisan et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Extending the suite ofbioclimvariables: a proposed registry system and case study using principal components analysis

(2014) Darren J. Kriticos et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Selecting from correlated climate variables: a major source of uncertainty for predicting species distributions under climate change

(2013) Veronika Braunisch et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Constraints on interpretation of ecological niche models by limited environmental ranges on calibration areas

(2013) Hannah L. Owens et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Predicting species distributions for conservation decisions

(2013) Antoine Guisan et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Heat freezes niche evolution

(2013) Miguel B. Araújo et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Do the elevational limits of deciduous tree species match their thermal latitudinal limits?

(2013) Christophe F. Randin et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Movement, impacts and management of plant distributions in response to climate change: insights from invasions

(2013) P. Caplat et al.   OIKOS

Collinearity: a review of methods to deal with it and a simulation study evaluating their performance

(2012) Carsten F. Dormann et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Cross-validation of species distribution models: removing spatial sorting bias and calibration with a null model

(2012) Robert J. Hijmans   ECOLOGY

Building the niche through time: using 13,000 years of data to predict the effects of climate change on three tree species in Europe

(2012) L. Maiorano et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Impacts of predictor variables and species models on simulating Tamarix ramosissima distribution in Tarim Basin, northwestern China

(2012) Q. Zhang et al.   Journal of Plant Ecology

Testing the predictive performance of distribution models

(2012) Volker Bahn et al.   OIKOS

Climatic Niche Shifts Are Rare Among Terrestrial Plant Invaders

(2012) B. Petitpierre et al.   SCIENCE

Assessing transferability of ecological models: an underappreciated aspect of statistical validation

(2012) Seth J. Wenger et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Use of niche models in invasive species risk assessments

(2011) A. Jiménez-Valverde et al.   BIOLOGICAL INVASIONS

Understanding niche shifts: using current and historical data to model the invasive redlegged earth mite, Halotydeus destructor

(2011) Matthew P. Hill et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Choice of predictor variables as a source of uncertainty in continental-scale species distribution modelling under climate change

(2011) Nicholas W. Synes et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Measuring ecological niche overlap from occurrence and spatial environmental data

(2011) Olivier Broennimann et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Ecological niche conservatism: a time-structured review of evidence

(2011) A. Townsend Peterson   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

A fine-grained spatial prediction model for the red-listed vascular plant Scorzonera humilis

(2011) Anette Edvardsen et al.   NORDIC JOURNAL OF BOTANY

CliMond: global high-resolution historical and future scenario climate surfaces for bioclimatic modelling

(2011) Darren J. Kriticos et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Ecological niche modeling in Maxent: the importance of model complexity and the performance of model selection criteria

(2010) Dan L. Warren et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

An evaluation of environmental factors affecting species distributions

(2010) Michael B. Ashcroft et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

21st century climate change threatens mountain flora unequally across Europe

(2010) ROBIN ENGLER et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Improving species distribution models for climate change studies: variable selection and scale

(2010) Mike P. Austin et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Explanative power of variables used in species distribution modelling: an issue of general model transferability or niche shift in the invasive Greenhouse frog (Eleutherodactylus planirostris)

(2010) Dennis Rödder et al.   NATURWISSENSCHAFTEN

The art of modelling range-shifting species

(2010) Jane Elith et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Species Distribution Models: Ecological Explanation and Prediction Across Space and Time

(2009) Jane Elith et al.   Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics

The projection of species distribution models and the problem of non-analog climate

(2009) Matthew C. Fitzpatrick et al.   BIODIVERSITY AND CONSERVATION

Rapid evolution in introduced species, ‘invasive traits’ and recipient communities: challenges for predicting invasive potential

(2009) Kenneth D. Whitney et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Transferability of environmental favourability models in geographic space: The case of the Iberian desman (Galemys pyrenaicus) in Portugal and Spain

(2009) A. Márcia Barbosa et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Modeling a spatially restricted distribution in the Neotropics: How the size of calibration area affects the performance of five presence-only methods

(2009) João G.R. Giovanelli et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Mechanistic niche modelling: combining physiological and spatial data to predict species’ ranges

(2009) Michael Kearney et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Importance of abiotic stress as a range-limit determinant for European plants: insights from species responses to climatic gradients

(2009) Signe Normand et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Spatially autocorrelated sampling falsely inflates measures of accuracy for presence-only niche models

(2009) Samuel D. Veloz   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Alien Invasive Slider Turtle in Unpredicted Habitat: A Matter of Niche Shift or of Predictors Studied?

(2009) Dennis Rödder et al.   PLoS One

Niches and distributional areas: Concepts, methods, and assumptions

(2009) J. Soberon et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Consensual predictions of potential distributional areas for invasive species: a case study of Argentine ants in the Iberian Peninsula

(2008) Núria Roura-Pascual et al.   BIOLOGICAL INVASIONS

COMPONENTS OF UNCERTAINTY IN SPECIES DISTRIBUTION ANALYSIS: A CASE STUDY OF THE GREAT GREY SHRIKE

(2008) Carsten F. Dormann et al.   ECOLOGY

Step-less models for regional environmental variation in Norway

(2008) Vegar Bakkestuen et al.   JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY

Niche dynamics in space and time

(2008) Peter B. Pearman et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION