Article
Environmental Sciences
Chris M. Roelfsema, Mitchell B. Lyons, Carolina Castro-Sanguino, Eva M. Kovacs, David Callaghan, Magnus Wettle, Kathryn Markey, Rodney Borrego-Acevedo, Paul Tudman, Meredith Roe, Emma Kennedy, Manuel Gonzalez-Rivero, Nicholas Murray, Stuart R. Phinn
Summary: The geomorphic and benthic composition of Australia's Great Barrier Reef are understudied, but crucial for understanding disturbance impacts and recovery potential. Through new research methods and high-resolution maps, there is now a more comprehensive understanding of the spatial extent and ecological characteristics of the Great Barrier Reef.
Article
Environmental Sciences
Cameron Do, Georgia Elizabeth Saunders, Yuriy Kuleshov
Summary: This study attempts to expand the methodology of tropical cyclone risk assessment by focusing on coral reefs and to understand the risk to Australia's natural environment. The study found that the northern Ningaloo Reef and southern Great Barrier Reef regions had the highest risk values. However, the limitations in data quality mean that these results are only estimates at best.
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Wenhui Zhao, Yi Huang, Steven Siems, Michael Manton
Summary: The study revealed a significant negative correlation between total cloud cover anomaly (TCCA) and lagged sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) in the Great Barrier Reef region, which is greater in magnitude and spatial extent compared to the SSTA-ENSO correlation. This suggests that local-scale reduced cloud cover plays a crucial role in the formation of warm shallow water and occurrence of thermal coral bleaching events in the region.
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2021)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Gal Eyal, Jack H. Laverick, Pim Bongaerts, Oren Levy, John M. Pandolfi
Summary: Mesophotic coral ecosystems are important, but research on the Great Barrier Reef in Australia is scarce due to reasons such as strict diving regulations, involvement of new researchers, logistics, and cost. Research efforts on these ecosystems are declining, and unless this changes, the knowledge gap between Australian MCEs and other major coral reef regions worldwide will continue to widen. Action is needed to enhance understanding of these ecosystems in Australia.
FRONTIERS IN MARINE SCIENCE
(2021)
Article
Fisheries
Morgan S. Pratchett, Ciemon F. Caballes, Jean-Paul A. Hobbs, Joseph D. DiBattista, Brock Bergseth, Peter Waldie, Curtis Champion, Samuel P. Mc Cormack, Andrew S. Hoey
Summary: This study explored the variation in physiological condition of common coral trout on Australia's Great Barrier Reef after severe mass bleaching and coral loss. The results showed that fish condition was largely influenced by fish size and varied with latitude, while there was no apparent effect of recent coral bleaching on the physiological condition of the fish. However, further changes to the environmental conditions and reef habitat may impact these important fisheries species.
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Chris Roelfsema, Eva M. Kovacs, Kathryn Markey, Julie Vercelloni, Alberto Rodriguez-Ramirez, Sebastian Lopez-Marcano, Manuel Gonzalez-Rivero, Ove Hoegh-Guldberg, Stuart R. Phinn
Summary: This paper presents the use of machine learning and deep learning techniques to derive benthic coral reef community composition data from photoquadrats, supporting the understanding of coral reef biology and ecology. The approach is globally applicable for various submerged and benthic community ecological applications and provides a basis for further studies.
Article
Geology
Tara R. Clark, George Roff, Tess Chapman, Hannah Markham-Summers, Nicholas M. Hammerman, Faye Liu, Yuexing Feng, John M. Pandolfi, Jian-xin Zhao
Summary: The overall status of many reefs in the Great Barrier Reef is uncertain due to the lack of detailed broad-scale studies. The relative role of various threats in impacting individual reefs is generally unclear. A novel approach using uranium-thorium dating of dead corals was adopted to reconstruct historical disturbance events at Rib and Davies Reefs, providing a reliable benchmark to assess recovery and monitor coral communities effectively.
Article
Environmental Sciences
Rebecca L. Jackson, Matthew T. Woodhouse, Albert J. Gabric, Roger A. Cropp, Hilton B. Swan, Elisabeth S. M. Deschaseaux, Haydn Trounce
Summary: This study investigates the contribution of coral reef-derived dimethylsulfide (DMS) to the atmosphere and its influence on the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) region using a climate model. The findings suggest that the GBR is an important source of atmospheric sulfur, with the potential to influence local-scale aerosol-cloud processes.
FRONTIERS IN MARINE SCIENCE
(2022)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Ian M. McLeod, Margaux Y. Hein, Russ Babcock, Line Bay, David G. Bourne, Nathan Cook, Christopher Doropoulos, Mark Gibbs, Peter Harrison, Stewart Lockie, Madeleine J. H. van Oppen, Neil Mattocks, Cathie A. Page, Carly J. Randall, Adam Smith, Hillary A. Smith, David J. Suggett, Bruce Taylor, Karen J. Vella, David Wachenfeld, Lisa Bostrom-Einarsson
Summary: Australia has been implementing innovative intervention and restoration actions to address the decline in coral cover in its reefs. This article outlines the various approaches taken, including in-water programs, research to enhance coral resilience, and investigations into socio-economic perspectives. The progress in coral restoration in Australia demonstrates the increasing urgency to confront the coral reef crisis and the development of new tools for reef management.
Article
Oceanography
Lorna Howlett, Emma F. Camp, John Edmondson, Jenny Edmondson, Taryn Agius, Russell Hosp, Philip Coulthard, Steve Edmondson, David J. Suggett
Summary: Coral propagation through nurseries and out-planting practices has increased globally to improve stakeholder-led stewardship for local reef site health. The tourism industry in the Great Barrier Reef implemented coral propagation after back-to-back bleaching events, overcoming cost-efficiency limitations through the Coral Nurture Program (CNP) partnership model. Success of CNP relies on collaboration between researchers and operators, utilizing complementary expertise and resources for continual improvement. This study examines the CNP activity to evaluate how collective propagation by tourism operators and research validation can enhance site stewardship on the Great Barrier Reef.
OCEAN & COASTAL MANAGEMENT
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Kay L. Davis, Andrew P. Colefax, James P. Tucker, Brendan P. Kelaher, Isaac R. Santos
Summary: Global coral reef calcification is primarily driven by depth and benthic calcifier cover. Repeatedly studied reefs are experiencing an annual decline in calcification rates of 4.3% and an increase in organic productivity of 3% since 1970. This indicates a shift in essential metabolic processes of coral reef ecosystems, potentially leading to net dissolution worldwide around 2054.
COMMUNICATIONS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT
(2021)
Review
Environmental Sciences
Elizabeth McLeod, Elizabeth C. Shaver, Maria Beger, Jennifer Koss, Gabriel Grimsditch
Summary: Climate change is causing global decline in coral reef ecosystems. It is crucial to reduce CO2 emissions and implement local management actions to support reef health and recovery. Resilience assessments quantify the context of reefs and help marine managers anticipate changes and prioritize management actions.
JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT
(2021)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Wei Zhang, Yong Sik Ok, Michael S. Bank, Christian Sonne
Summary: The impacts of macro-, micro-, and nanoplastics on coral reef ecosystems are not well understood, but they are known to pose a major sustainability challenge. This study confirms the presence of microplastics in coral reefs worldwide and discusses their potential risks. It emphasizes the urgent need to address this environmental problem and proposes solutions such as raising public awareness, implementing conservation efforts, and reducing plastic use.
ENVIRONMENT INTERNATIONAL
(2023)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Jessica A. Benthuysen, Grant A. Smith, Claire M. Spillman, Craig R. Steinberg
Summary: The 2020 marine heatwave in the Great Barrier Reef and Coral Sea caused mass coral bleaching, with sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding +2 degrees C across broad regions. While the model predictions generally agreed with observations in the first week, it failed to capture the development phase and end of the heatwave. Subseasonal variability due to weather systems affected the accuracy of predicting the event's duration and intensity.
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2021)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Esther Fischer, Graham Jones
Summary: Short-term stress experiments were conducted on the staghorn coral Acropora intermedia with dissolved inorganic phosphorus (DIP) and tripolyphosphate (TPP) under low and elevated seawater temperatures. The study found that natural stresses and added substances at high temperatures had significant impacts on the coral's stress indicators.
MARINE POLLUTION BULLETIN
(2021)
Article
Sport Sciences
John O. Osborne, Geoffrey M. Minett, Ian B. Stewart, Stewart Trost, Christopher Drovandi, Joseph T. Costello, Toby G. Pavey, David N. Borg
Summary: This randomized cross-over study found that heat acclimation training may negatively affect sleep quality and increase sedentary behavior.
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF SPORT SCIENCE
(2023)
Article
Engineering, Industrial
Harry Sisley, Guvenc Dik, James McGree, Paul Corry
Summary: This paper examines the challenges of managing the supply chain for seasonal crops in Australia and introduces a supply chain model that manages the production of multiple crops across different regions. By using deterministic mixed integer programming and a heuristic solution method, the proposed model can solve the problem faster and with less deviation in the planning process.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PRODUCTION RESEARCH
(2023)
Article
Acoustics
Jacqueline Roots, Gabriel S. Trajano, Christopher Drovandi, Davide Fontanarosa
Summary: This study assessed the application of wave elastography in muscle stiffness assessment and compared the measurement results of two different devices. The study found significant differences in stiffness variability among different muscle regions, with the 75% location having the lowest variability and highest agreement, suggesting its use in future stiffness assessments.
ULTRASOUND IN MEDICINE AND BIOLOGY
(2023)
Article
Mathematical & Computational Biology
S. G. J. Senarathne, Werner G. Mueller, James M. McGree
Summary: Model-based geostatistical design involves selecting locations to collect data in order to minimize an expected loss function over all possible locations. The loss function reflects the goal of data collection, which in geostatistical studies is often to minimize prediction uncertainty at unobserved locations. This paper proposes a new approach to this design problem by considering the entropy of model predictions and parameters as part of the loss function. The approach extends to generalized linear spatial models, allowing for experiments with multiple responses.
BIOMETRICAL JOURNAL
(2023)
Article
Computer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications
Sarah A. Vollert, Christopher Drovandi, Gloria M. Monsalve-Bravo, Matthew P. Adams
Summary: In this study, the analysis of model sloppiness is demonstrated as a valuable tool for strategically simplifying complex models while maintaining predictive power. Through a case study on a coral calcification model calibrated to experimental data, it is shown that the analysis of model sloppiness can inform model simplifications and Bayesian methods are advantageous in cases where standard optimization procedures face challenges in identifying the best-fit model parameters.
ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE
(2023)
Article
Oncology
Paramita Dasgupta, Jessica K. Cameron, Susanna M. Cramb, Richard W. Trevithick, Joanne F. Aitken, Kerrie Mengersen, Peter D. Baade
Summary: Rare cancers in Australia exhibit spatial and geographical patterns with higher incidence and lower survival rates among males and individuals living in remote or disadvantaged areas. These rare cancers pose a significant health burden in Australia, particularly in rural and disadvantaged regions.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CANCER
(2023)
Article
Developmental Biology
Christopher Edwards, Erika Cavanagh, Sailesh Kumar, Vicki L. Clifton, Danielle J. Borg, Jacob Priddle, Marie -Luise Wille, Christopher Drovandi, Davide Fontanarosa
Summary: This study aimed to analyze the influence of placental position on shear wave elastography (SWV) measures. The results showed that placental position does not affect the accuracy or reliability of SWV measurements.
Article
Business, Finance
Dan Li, Adam Clements, Christopher Drovandi
Summary: This paper shows that existing quantile regression models used for jointly forecasting Value-at-Risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES) are sensitive to initial conditions. A new Bayesian quantile regression approach is proposed to address this sensitivity issue by treating the initial values as unknown parameters. Additionally, new additive-type models for the ES component that are more robust to initial conditions are developed. The use of the open-faced sandwich (OFS) method is also proposed to improve uncertainty quantification in risk forecasts. Simulation and empirical results demonstrate the improvements in risk forecasts resulting from the proposed methods.
JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL STABILITY
(2023)
Article
Environmental Sciences
A. W. L. P. Thilan, P. Menendez, J. M. McGree
Summary: This study developed an approach to assess trends in hard coral cover and evaluate the effectiveness of adaptive designs for estimating such trends in coral reef communities. The findings show that adaptive designs can maintain trends over time with little to no loss in information, even with reduced sampling effort. This research serves to further promote adaptive design methods for efficient and effective ecological monitoring.
Article
Statistics & Probability
Edgar Santos-Fernandez, Julie Vercelloni, Aiden Price, Grace Heron, Bryce Christensen, Erin E. E. Peterson, Kerrie Mengersen
Summary: Crowdsourcing methods are used to produce scientific information by non-experts, which is becoming increasingly important in many fields. However, concerns about the validity of these data often limit their usefulness. This paper focuses on the use of citizen science data in addressing complex challenges in environmental conservation and proposes a Bayesian model to analyze and account for participants' abilities. The model improves the accuracy of the classification tasks and shows the potential of citizen science in answering challenging ecological questions.
INTERNATIONAL STATISTICAL REVIEW
(2023)
Article
Engineering, Civil
I. P. Gustave S. Pariartha, Shubham Aggarwal, Srinivas Rallapalli, Prasanna Egodawatta, James McGree, Ashantha Goonetilleke
Summary: Climate change and urbanization have adverse impacts on rainfall and sea level, contributing to future flood risk. This study presents an innovative flood damage and hazard prediction model that integrates MIKE FLOOD and GIS technology to assess flood scenarios for different time horizons. Results show that changes in rainfall patterns significantly affect the average annual damage caused by flooding. The proposed model can guide decision-makers in assessing future flood management.
JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY
(2023)
Editorial Material
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Joshua J. J. Bon, Adam Bretherton, Katie Buchhorn, Susanna Cramb, Christopher Drovandi, Conor Hassan, Adrianne L. L. Jenner, Helen J. J. Mayfield, James M. M. McGree, Kerrie Mengersen, Aiden Price, Robert Salomone, Edgar Santos-Fernandez, Julie Vercelloni, Xiaoyu Wang
Summary: Bayesian approaches have become an essential part of statisticians and data scientists' toolkit, offering numerous benefits in areas such as intelligent data collection, new data sources, federated analysis, inference for implicit models, model transfer, and purposeful software products. This article is part of the theme issue "Bayesian inference: challenges, perspectives, and prospects".
PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES
(2023)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Paramita Dasgupta, Jessica K. Cameron, Belinda Goodwin, Susanna M. Cramb, Kerrie Mengersen, Joanne F. Aitken, Peter D. Baade
Summary: This study examines the geographical variation in participation rates in Australia's bowel cancer screening program between 2015 and 2020. The study finds that participation rates were consistently lower in remote or disadvantaged areas, with spatial heterogeneity within these categories. The findings highlight the importance of considering the unique characteristics of specific geographical regions and their inhabitants when designing interventions to improve screening uptake.
Article
Health Policy & Services
Jack Powers, James M. McGree, David Grieve, Ratna Aseervatham, Suzanne Ryan, Paul Corry
Summary: The use of a dynamic priority scoring (DPS) system can prioritize elective surgery patients more equitably based on waiting time and clinical factors, reducing subjectivity and increasing transparency in the waiting list management.
HEALTH CARE MANAGEMENT SCIENCE
(2023)
Article
Computer Science, Artificial Intelligence
Sander J. J. Leemans, James M. McGree, Artem Polyvyanyy, Arthur H. M. ter Hofstede
Summary: Through process mining, organisations can improve business processes by utilizing recorded data. Despite advances in the field, a solid statistical foundation is still lacking. This article contributes statistical tests and measures for treating process behavior as a variable, providing a more objective assessment method.
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON KNOWLEDGE AND DATA ENGINEERING
(2023)