Added-value of ensemble prediction system on the quality of solar irradiance probabilistic forecasts

Comparison of statistical post-processing methods for probabilistic NWP forecasts of solar radiation

(2019) Kilian Bakker et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

Verification of solar irradiance probabilistic forecasts

(2019) Philippe Lauret et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

Quantile Regression Post-Processing of Weather Forecast for Short-Term Solar Power Probabilistic Forecasting

(2018) Luca Massidda et al.   Energies

Assessment of machine learning techniques for deterministic and probabilistic intra-hour solar forecasts

(2018) Hugo T.C. Pedro et al.   RENEWABLE ENERGY

Probabilistic Solar Forecasting Using Quantile Regression Models

(2017) Philippe Lauret et al.   Energies

Probabilistic forecasting of the solar irradiance with recursive ARMA and GARCH models

(2016) M. David et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

An application of the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System for short-term solar power forecasting

(2016) Simone Sperati et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

An analog ensemble for short-term probabilistic solar power forecast

(2015) S. Alessandrini et al.   APPLIED ENERGY

Analog-Based Ensemble Model Output Statistics

(2015) Constantin Junk et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Probabilistic forecasts of solar irradiance using stochastic differential equations

(2014) E. B. Iversen et al.   ENVIRONMETRICS

Why Should Ensemble Spread Match the RMSE of the Ensemble Mean?

(2014) V. Fortin et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY

A benchmark of statistical regression methods for short-term forecasting of photovoltaic electricity production. Part II: Probabilistic forecast of daily production

(2014) M. Zamo et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

Probabilistic Weather Prediction with an Analog Ensemble

(2013) Luca Delle Monache et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Assessing the Ensemble Spread–Error Relationship

(2013) T. M. Hopson   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

A comparison of ensemble post-processing methods for extreme events

(2013) R. M. Williams et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasting using Ensemble Model Output Statistics

(2013) M. Scheuerer   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Comparison of non-homogeneous regression models for probabilistic wind speed forecasting

(2013) Sebastian Lerch et al.   TELLUS SERIES A-DYNAMIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY

Adaptive calibration of (u,v)-wind ensemble forecasts

(2012) Pierre Pinson   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Scales of spatial and temporal variation of solar irradiance on Reunion tropical island

(2012) Jordi Badosa et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

Modeling PV fleet output variability

(2011) Thomas E. Hoff et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

Quantile and Probability Curves Without Crossing

(2010)   ECONOMETRICA

Irradiance Forecasting for the Power Prediction of Grid-Connected Photovoltaic Systems

(2009) Elke Lorenz et al.   IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing

Online short-term solar power forecasting

(2009) Peder Bacher et al.   SOLAR ENERGY

The value of probabilistic prediction

(2008) Roberto Buizza   Atmospheric Science Letters

Ensemble-based probabilistic forecasting at Horns Rev

(2008) Pierre Pinson et al.   WIND ENERGY

Ensemble forecasting

(2007) M. Leutbecher et al.   JOURNAL OF COMPUTATIONAL PHYSICS