Why Should Ensemble Spread Match the RMSE of the Ensemble Mean?

Examining reliability of seasonal to decadal sea surface temperature forecasts: The role of ensemble dispersion

(2013) Chun Kit Ho et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

A Comparison of the Canadian Global and Regional Meteorological Ensemble Prediction Systems for Short-Term Hydrological Forecasting

(2013) Mabrouk Abaza et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Short- and medium-range hydrological ensemble forecasts over France

(2010) G. Thirel et al.   Atmospheric Science Letters

The THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble

(2010) Philippe Bougeault et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

The Ensemble Verification System (EVS): A software tool for verifying ensemble forecasts of hydrometeorological and hydrologic variables at discrete locations

(2010) James D. Brown et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE

On the Reliability of the Rank Histogram

(2010) D. S. Wilks   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Exchangeability, Correlation, and Bayes' Effect

(2009) Ben O'Neill   INTERNATIONAL STATISTICAL REVIEW

Ensemble flood forecasting: A review

(2009) H.L. Cloke et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

On the Reliability and Calibration of Ensemble Forecasts

(2009) Christine Johnson et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Toward Random Sampling of Model Error in the Canadian Ensemble Prediction System

(2009) Martin Charron et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

On the Impact of Short-Range Meteorological Forecasts for Ensemble Streamflow Predictions

(2008) Guillaume Thirel et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY