Assessing model equifinality for robust policy analysis in complex socio-environmental systems

Integrated Bayesian Multi-model approach to quantify input, parameter and conceptual model structure uncertainty in groundwater modeling

(2020) Syed Md Touhidul Mustafa et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE

Resilience and equity: Quantifying the distributional effects of resilience-enhancing strategies in a smallholder agricultural system

(2020) T.G. Williams et al.   AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS

A multicriteria integral framework for agent-based model calibration using evolutionary multiobjective optimization and network-based visualization

(2019) Ignacio Moya et al.   DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS

Equifinality and Flux Mapping: a new approach to model evaluation and process representation under uncertainty

(2019) Sina Khatami et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Introductory overview of identifiability analysis: A guide to evaluating whether you have the right type of data for your modeling purpose

(2019) Joseph H.A. Guillaume et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE

Recognizing Structural Nonidentifiability: When Experiments Do Not Provide Information About Important Parameters and Misleading Models Can Still Have Great Fit

(2019) Philip J. Schmidt et al.   RISK ANALYSIS

Toward a methodology for explaining and theorizing about social-ecological phenomena

(2019) Maja Schlüter et al.   Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability

A review of Agent Based Modeling for agricultural policy evaluation

(2018) Dimitris Kremmydas et al.   AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS

Climate risk management and rural poverty reduction

(2018) James Hansen et al.   AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS

Pattern-oriented modelling as a novel way to verify and validate functional–structural plant models: a demonstration with the annual growth module of avocado

(2018) Ming Wang et al.   ANNALS OF BOTANY

An empirical workflow to integrate uncertainty and sensitivity analysis to evaluate agent-based simulation outputs

(2018) Carolina G. Abreu et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE

Closing global knowledge gaps: Producing generalized knowledge from case studies of social-ecological systems

(2018) Nicholas R. Magliocca et al.   GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS

Embracing equifinality with efficiency: Limits of Acceptability sampling using the DREAM (LOA) algorithm

(2018) Jasper A. Vrugt et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

Representation of decision-making in European agricultural agent-based models

(2018) Robert Huber et al.   AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS

Robust climate change research: A review on multi-model analysis

(2018) Hongbo Duan et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Theoretical foundations of human decision-making in agent-based land use models – A review

(2017) J. Groeneveld et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE

Multimodal optimization: An effective framework for model calibration

(2017) Manuel Chica et al.   INFORMATION SCIENCES

Simple or complicated agent-based models? A complicated issue

(2016) Zhanli Sun et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE

A review of current calibration and validation practices in land-change modeling

(2016) Jasper van Vliet et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE

Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation using the DREAM software package: Theory, concepts, and MATLAB implementation

(2016) Jasper A. Vrugt   ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE

Methods and approaches to modelling the Anthropocene

(2016) Peter H. Verburg et al.   GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS

From meta-studies to modeling: Using synthesis knowledge to build broadly applicable process-based land change models

(2015) Nicholas R. Magliocca et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE

A framework for propagation of uncertainty contributed by parameterization, input data, model structure, and calibration/validation data in watershed modeling

(2014) Haw Yen et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE

Climate change induced transformations of agricultural systems: insights from a global model

(2014) D Leclère et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Using Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analyses in Socioecological Agent-Based Models to Improve Their Analytical Performance and Policy Relevance

(2014) Arika Ligmann-Zielinska et al.   PLoS One

Quantifying causal mechanisms to determine how protected areas affect poverty through changes in ecosystem services and infrastructure

(2014) P. J. Ferraro et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Comparing supply-side specifications in models of global agriculture and the food system

(2013) Sherman Robinson et al.   AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS

Livelihood strategies, resilience and transformability in African agroecosystems

(2013) Pablo Tittonell   AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS

Merging validation and evaluation of ecological models to ‘evaludation’: A review of terminology and a practical approach

(2013) Jacqueline Augusiak et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Describing human decisions in agent-based models – ODD + D, an extension of the ODD protocol

(2013) Birgit Müller et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE

Many objective robust decision making for complex environmental systems undergoing change

(2013) Joseph R. Kasprzyk et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE

Opportunities to improve impact, integration, and evaluation of land change models

(2013) Daniel G Brown et al.   Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability

Evolutionary multiobjective optimization in water resources: The past, present, and future

(2012) P.M. Reed et al.   ADVANCES IN WATER RESOURCES

Levels of emergence in individual based models: Coping with scarcity of data and pattern redundancy

(2011) Guillaume Latombe et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Statistical inference for stochastic simulation models - theory and application

(2011) Florian Hartig et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Options for support to agriculture and food security under climate change

(2011) S.J. Vermeulen et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & POLICY

REVIEW OF SEASONAL CLIMATE FORECASTING FOR AGRICULTURE IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA

(2011) JAMES W. HANSEN et al.   EXPERIMENTAL AGRICULTURE

Pattern-oriented modelling: a 'multi-scope' for predictive systems ecology

(2011) V. Grimm et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Decision-making under great uncertainty: environmental management in an era of global change

(2011) Stephen Polasky et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Communicating complexity: Integrated assessment of trade-offs concerning soil fertility management within African farming systems to support innovation and development

(2010) K.E. Giller et al.   AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS

One decade of multi-objective calibration approaches in hydrological modelling: a review

(2010) Andreas Efstratiadis et al.   HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES

Ecological models supporting environmental decision making: a strategy for the future

(2010) Amelie Schmolke et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Definition and calculation of uncertainty in ecological process models

(2009) Marianne C. Turley et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

A limits of acceptability approach to model evaluation and uncertainty estimation in flood frequency estimation by continuous simulation: Skalka catchment, Czech Republic

(2009) Sarka Blazkova et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

Informal likelihood measures in model assessment: Theoretic development and investigation

(2008) Paul Smith et al.   ADVANCES IN WATER RESOURCES

Spatial optimization as a generative technique for sustainable multiobjective land‐use allocation

(2008) Arika Ligmann‐Zielinska et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL INFORMATION SCIENCE

Equifinality of formal (DREAM) and informal (GLUE) Bayesian approaches in hydrologic modeling?

(2008) Jasper A. Vrugt et al.   STOCHASTIC ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND RISK ASSESSMENT

Treatment of input uncertainty in hydrologic modeling: Doing hydrology backward with Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation

(2008) Jasper A. Vrugt et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH