Article
Computer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications
Yiyi Ju, Masahiro Sugiyama, Diego Silva Herran, Jiayang Wang, Akimitsu Inoue
Summary: The mipplot tool is an open-source R package that visualizes data of long-term climate mitigation scenarios in multiple languages. It offers simple commands and a user-friendly interface suitable for both experts and non-experts, with greater flexibility and applicability due to its capability of specifying aggregation rules and different display languages.
ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE
(2021)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Rasoul Jani, Rahman Khatibi, Sina Sadeghfam, Elnaz Zarrinbal
Summary: This paper presents a study on climate change scenarios using statistical downscaling methods. The results show that there may be significant climate changes in the future, with increased extreme climates in the northern region and drier conditions in the central regions. The study emphasizes the need for responsive policymaking to avoid serious damages to Lake Urmia and depletion of aquifers.
THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
(2023)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Inese Huttunen, Kari Hyytiainen, Markus Huttunen, Matti Sihvonen, Noora Veijalainen, Marie Korppoo, Anna-Stiina Heiskanen
Summary: This study introduces a framework for studying agricultural nutrient pollution on a catchment scale. Simulations show that phosphorus loading is more sensitive to manure recycling strategies and climate change speed, while nitrogen loading is less sensitive to changes in climate and socioeconomic drivers.
SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
(2021)
Article
Agronomy
Saleem A. Salman, Shamsuddin Shahid, Ahmad Sharafati, Golam Saleh Ahmed Salem, Amyrhul Abu Bakar, Aitazaz Ahsan Farooque, Eun-Sung Chung, Yaseen Adnan Ahmed, Bryukhov Mikhail, Zaher Mundher Yaseen
Summary: This study predicts potential future agricultural water stress in Iraq by projecting climatic water availability (CWA) and crop water demand (CWD). The results suggest a decrease in CWA and an increase in CWD due to rising temperatures, which could lead to a sharp rise in crop water stress in Iraq in the future.
Article
Computer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications
Francisco Estrada, Oscar Calderon-Bustamante, Wouter Botzen, Julian A. Velasco, Richard S. J. Tol
Summary: This study presents a simple climate model emulator called AIRCC-Clim, which can produce regional probabilistic climate change projections and risk measures with low computational and technical requirements for the user. It is designed for various applications including impact assessments, climate policy evaluation, and integrated assessment modeling.
ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Laura Schmitt Olabisi, Amadou Sidibe, Elsie Assan, Jelili Adebiyi, Edmond Totin, Mary Thompson-Hall
Summary: Climate change, demographic shifts, and land constraints pose threats to food security in West Africa. Participatory scenario planning can foster consensus and self-efficacy, which are crucial for planning food security under conditions of uncertainty.
REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE
(2022)
Article
Environmental Studies
Orestis Kairis, Andreas Karamanos, Dimitrios Voloudakis, John Kapsomenakis, Chrysoula Aratzioglou, Christos Zerefos, Constantinos Kosmas
Summary: This study assessed the impact of future climate change on land degradation in Thessaly, Greece. The findings suggest that there will be an increase in temperature and a decrease in precipitation in the future, leading to a higher risk of desertification and soil loss in the study area.
Article
Management
Dowon Kim, Heelang Ryu, Jiwoong Lee, Kyoung-Kuk Kim
Summary: The study focuses on optimal expansion planning for generation capacity, taking into account the risk characteristics of different energy sources. It examines long-term capacity expansion planning to achieve carbon emissions reduction targets under various risk measures. The research highlights the significant and combined effects of operational flexibility, emissions reduction, and extreme risks based on numerical experiments using data from South Korea.
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH
(2022)
Article
Agronomy
Tingting Jiang, Shikun Sun, Zheng Li, Qian Li, Yejia Lu, Chong Li, Yubao Wang, Pute Wu
Summary: This study analyzed the changes in maize yield and water footprint (WF) in response to climate change in China from the 2030s to the 2090s. The results show that precipitation and temperature are expected to increase in most regions, impacting crop evapotranspiration (ETc) and maize yield. Irrigation strategies, particularly full irrigation, were found to help mitigate the negative effects of climate change on maize yield. However, the benefits of increasing irrigation vary between humid and arid regions in China.
AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY
(2022)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Luke Kemp, Chi Xu, Joanna Depledge, Kristie L. Ebi, Goodwin Gibbins, Timothy A. Kohler, Johan Rockstrom, Marten Scheffer, Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, Will Steffen, Timothy M. Lenton
Summary: Understanding the potential catastrophic consequences of climate change is crucial for action, resilience, and policy-making. This article outlines the current knowledge and proposes a research agenda to examine the mechanisms and impacts of extreme climate change, including mass extinction events, human mortality and morbidity, societal vulnerabilities, and integration of multiple strands of evidence.
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
(2022)
Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Tarek Selim, Noha H. Moghazy, Romysaa Elasbah, Mohamed Elkiki, Mohamed Galal Eltarabily
Summary: The Egyptian government launched a national project to reclaim 1.5 million acres of land, including the El Moghra region in the Western Desert. This study assessed the long-term impact of climate change on the current agricultural development plan in El Moghra, using different climate scenarios until 2100. The results showed that the proposed governmental agricultural development plan for the region is sustainable under the considered climate scenarios.
ENVIRONMENT DEVELOPMENT AND SUSTAINABILITY
(2023)
Review
Environmental Sciences
Igor Catao Martins Vaz, Enedir Ghisi, Joao Carlos Souza
Summary: This paper evaluates the potential use of rainwater for firefighting through literature analysis and a case study. The scarcity of research in this area is identified, with some focusing on forest fires and others on rainwater use in buildings and fire stations. The case study reveals that building fires account for 50% of water consumption in firefighting, and rainwater can reduce reliance on potable water while improving logistical response time.
SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
(2023)
Article
Agricultural Engineering
Henrique Boriolo Dias, Paulo Cesar Sentelhas, Geoff Inman-Bamber, Yvette Everingham
Summary: The study evaluated the recent upgrade of APSIM-Sugar for the most cultivated Brazilian variety under water-limited conditions and projected the potential impacts of future climate changes on sugarcane crop performance. Results indicated that cane yields would decline in rainfed areas due to increased water stress and slightly decline in fully irrigated sites. The future projections showed variability between climate models, with large uncertainty towards the End-of-Century period.
INDUSTRIAL CROPS AND PRODUCTS
(2021)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Morgana Scaramussa Goncalves, Wilian Rodrigues Ribeiro, Dalila da Costa Goncalves, Plinio Antonio Guerra Filho, Maria Maiara Cazotti Tanure, Jose Francisco Teixeira do Amaral, Antonio Carlos Coser, Giovanni de Oliveira Garcia, Edvaldo Fialho dos Reis, Alexandre Rosa dos Santos
Summary: This study aimed to propose the cultivation of high productive potential tropical grasses (Brachiaria brizantha, Cynodon dactylon and Panicum maximum) as a low cost alternative to soil loss restriction and degraded areas recovery. The results showed that adopting technical criteria for the cultivation of tropical grasses can significantly reduce soil loss and decrease the demand for new pasture areas, promoting the conservation of remnant forests.
ENVIRONMENTAL DEVELOPMENT
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Julia Mindlin, Carolina S. Vera, Theodore G. Shepherd, Marisol Osman
Summary: This article explores the response of summer rainfall in southeastern South America to greenhouse warming and identifies the combination of remote drivers that lead to extreme drying and wetting scenarios. The study also highlights the possibility of drying in southeastern South America and emphasizes the impact of regional box definition on the results.
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
(2023)
Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Gabriel Henrique de Olanda Souza, Lucas Eduardo de Oliveira Aparecido, Jose Reinaldo da Silva Cabral de Moraes, Guilherme Torsoni Botega
Summary: Climate change has adverse effects on agriculture in the Midwest region of Brazil, particularly on cassava cultivation. This study predicts the potential changes in cassava cultivation area in the future by analyzing climatic requirements and adaptive capacity.
ENVIRONMENT DEVELOPMENT AND SUSTAINABILITY
(2023)
Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Lucas Eduardo de Oliveira Aparecido, Kamila Cunha de Meneses, Pedro Antonio Lorencone, Joao Antonio Lorencone, Jose Reinaldo da Silva Cabral de Moraes, Glauco de Souza Rolim
Summary: This study evaluates climate change in Maranhao, Brazil by analyzing air temperature and precipitation data. The findings suggest that these factors significantly impact plant development and agricultural planning. The study identifies seven climate indexes in Maranhao, with a prevalence of humid climate. Projections indicate that climate change will adversely affect various economic activities in the region.
ENVIRONMENT DEVELOPMENT AND SUSTAINABILITY
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Guilherme Botega Torsoni, Lucas Eduardo de Oliveira Aparecido, Gabriela Marins dos Santos, Alisson Gaspar Chiquitto, Jose Reinaldo da Silva Cabral Moraes, Glauco de Souza Rolim
Summary: This study developed climate-based yield prediction models using machine learning, tested the best model with independent data, and identified zones of higher soybean yield in Mato Grosso do Sul. The best algorithms were random forest, extreme gradient boosting, and gradient boosting, which showed high precision and accuracy in predicting soybean yields.
THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
(2023)
Correction
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Guilherme Botega Torsoni, Lucas Eduardo de Oliveira Aparecido, Gabriela Marins dos Santos, Alisson Gaspar Chiquitto, Jose Reinaldo Moraes, Glauco de Souza Rolim
THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Lucas Eduardo de Oliveira Aparecido, Alexson Filgueiras Dutra, Pedro Antonio Lorencone, Francisco de Alcantara Neto, Joao Antonio Lorencone, Marcos Renan Lima Leite
Summary: This study characterized the climatic conditions of the MATOPIBA region and analyzed its changes under climate change scenarios using the Thornthwaite classification index. The region was found to have a humid, dry subhumid, and moist subhumid climate, with well-defined rainy and drought seasons. Climate change scenarios were shown to alter the pattern, frequency, and distribution of climate class, posing risks to crop production.
THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
(2023)
Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Pedro Antonio Lorencone, Lucas Eduardo de Oliveira Aparecido, Joao Antonio Lorencone, Guilherme Torsoni Botega, Rafael Fausto Lima, Glauco de Souza Rolim
Summary: Coffee production is important in Brazilian agribusiness and has cultural and social significance in the country. Brazil is the largest producer of arabica coffee and the second largest producer of canephora coffee. This study aimed to identify suitable areas for canephora coffee cultivation in Brazil under climate change.
ENVIRONMENT DEVELOPMENT AND SUSTAINABILITY
(2023)
Article
Agriculture, Multidisciplinary
Lucas Eduardo de Oliveira Aparecido, Jose Maria Villela Padua, Guilherme Botega Torsoni, Thiago Orlando Costa Barboza, Lara Eduarda Silva Viol, Jose Reinaldo da Silva Cabral de Moraes, Adao Felipe dos Santos
Summary: This study aimed to determine the agroclimatic zoning of wheat in the southeastern region of Brazil. By using historical meteorological data and the ISNA method, the study found that the regions with the highest rainfall are the south of Minas Gerais and the coast of Sao Paulo. Spring and summer have better cultivation conditions, and Minas Gerais, with an altitude of over 700 meters, has 39.4% of the area suitable for wheat cultivation.
JOURNAL OF THE SCIENCE OF FOOD AND AGRICULTURE
(2023)
Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Joao Antonio Lorencone, Lucas Eduardo de Oliveira Aparecido, Pedro Antonio Lorencone, Guilherme Botega Torsoni, Rafael Fausto de Lima, Jose Reinaldo da Silva Cabral de Moraes, Glauco de Souza Rolim
Summary: Coffee cultivation in Brazil, the world's largest producer, is expected to be negatively affected by climate change, with a potential 50% reduction in suitable areas. Thermal excess and water deficiency will be the major restrictions for coffee cultivation in the future, especially in Minas Gerais, Sao Paulo, and Parana regions.
ENVIRONMENT DEVELOPMENT AND SUSTAINABILITY
(2023)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Rafael Verdo Francozoa, Luiz Sergio Velasquez Urquiza Junior, Elana Souza Carrapateira, Bruna Cristine Scarduelli Pacheco, Marcio Teixeira Oliveira, Guilherme Botega Torsoni, Jiyan Yari
Summary: The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is a widely used multi-criteria decision support method. However, the original AHP method requires a large number of comparisons, making it challenging to maintain consistent judgments. Existing AHP software does not support group decision-making. This paper presents a web-based AHP system that requires fewer comparisons and enables group decision-making.