Structural forecasting of species persistence under changing environments

Informing management decisions for ecological networks, using dynamic models calibrated to noisy time‐series data

(2020) Matthew P. Adams et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Towards a Probabilistic Understanding About the Context-Dependency of Species Interactions

(2020) Chuliang Song et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Regularized S-map for inference and forecasting with noisy ecological time series

(2019) Simone Cenci et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

When rarity has costs: coexistence under positive frequency-dependence and environmental stochasticity

(2019) Sebastian J. Schreiber et al.   ECOLOGY

The predictability of ecological stability in a noisy world

(2019) Qiang Yang et al.   Nature Ecology & Evolution

Non-parametric estimation of the structural stability of non-equilibrium community dynamics

(2019) Simone Cenci et al.   Nature Ecology & Evolution

Mutualistic networks: moving closer to a predictive theory

(2019) Fernanda S. Valdovinos   ECOLOGY LETTERS

The Invasion Criterion: A Common Currency for Ecological Research

(2019) Tess Nahanni Grainger et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Predicting species abundances in a grassland biodiversity experiment: Trade‐offs between model complexity and generality

(2019) Adam Thomas Clark et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Predicting coexistence in experimental ecological communities

(2019) Daniel S. Maynard et al.   Nature Ecology & Evolution

Towards common ground in the biodiversity–disease debate

(2019) Jason R. Rohr et al.   Nature Ecology & Evolution

Will a small randomly assembled community be feasible and stable?

(2018) Chuliang Song et al.   ECOLOGY

From noise to knowledge: how randomness generates novel phenomena and reveals information

(2018) Carl Boettiger   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Structural changes within trophic levels are constrained by within-family assembly rules at lower trophic levels

(2018) Chuliang Song et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Estimating the effect of the reorganization of interactions on the adaptability of species to changing environments

(2018) Simone Cenci et al.   JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY

A guideline to study the feasibility domain of multi-trophic and changing ecological communities

(2018) Chuliang Song et al.   JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY

Reverse-engineering ecological theory from data

(2018) Benjamin T. Martin et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Coexistence of many species in random ecosystems

(2018) Carlos A. Serván et al.   Nature Ecology & Evolution

Strong responses from weakly interacting species

(2018) Sean L. Tuck et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Uncertainty quantification of the effects of biotic interactions on community dynamics from nonlinear time-series data

(2018) Simone Cenci et al.   Journal of the Royal Society Interface

Why are some plant-pollinator networks more nested than others?

(2017) Chuliang Song et al.   JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY

Reorganization of interaction networks modulates the persistence of species in late successional stages

(2017) Serguei Saavedra et al.   JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY

Beyond pairwise mechanisms of species coexistence in complex communities

(2017) Jonathan M. Levine et al.   NATURE

Mutualisms Are Not on the Verge of Breakdown

(2017) Megan E. Frederickson   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Community structure follows simple assembly rules in microbial microcosms

(2017) Jonathan Friedman et al.   Nature Ecology & Evolution

Persist or Produce: A Community Trade-Off Tuned by Species Evenness

(2016) Rudolf P. Rohr et al.   AMERICAN NATURALIST

Inferring human microbial dynamics from temporal metagenomics data: Pitfalls and lessons

(2016) Hong-Tai Cao et al.   BIOESSAYS

On the integration of biotic interaction and environmental constraints at the biogeographical scale

(2016) Kévin Cazelles et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Drought rewires the cores of food webs

(2016) Xueke Lu et al.   Nature Climate Change

Resource Availability Modulates the Cooperative and Competitive Nature of a Microbial Cross-Feeding Mutualism

(2016) Tim A. Hoek et al.   PLOS BIOLOGY

Historical Contingency in Community Assembly: Integrating Niches, Species Pools, and Priority Effects

(2015) Tadashi Fukami   Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics

The ecological forecast horizon, and examples of its uses and determinants

(2015) Owen L. Petchey et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

How structurally stable are global socioeconomic systems?

(2014) S. Saavedra et al.   Journal of the Royal Society Interface

Policy: How to regulate faecal transplants

(2014) Mark B. Smith et al.   NATURE

On the structural stability of mutualistic systems

(2014) R. P. Rohr et al.   SCIENCE

Defaunation in the Anthropocene

(2014) R. Dirzo et al.   SCIENCE

Emergent Global Patterns of Ecosystem Structure and Function from a Mechanistic General Ecosystem Model

(2014) Michael B. J. Harfoot et al.   PLOS BIOLOGY

Stochastic Pattern Formation and Spontaneous Polarisation: The Linear Noise Approximation and Beyond

(2013) Alan J. McKane et al.   BULLETIN OF MATHEMATICAL BIOLOGY

Detecting Causality in Complex Ecosystems

(2012) G. Sugihara et al.   SCIENCE

To Explain or to Predict?

(2011) Galit Shmueli   STATISTICAL SCIENCE

Modeling Food Webs: Exploring Unexplained Structure Using Latent Traits

(2010) Rudolf Philippe Rohr et al.   AMERICAN NATURALIST

Community and ecosystem responses to recent climate change

(2010) G. R. Walther   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES