Article
Engineering, Environmental
Fan Zhang, Xiangzheng Deng, Li Xie, Ning Xu
Summary: This study explores the dynamics of China's carbon emissions, predicts the peak and cumulative emissions under different SSP scenarios, and investigates the relationship between carbon emissions and population, education level, and per capita GDP. The results show the contributions of different provinces to total carbon emissions under different scenarios, providing important insights for carbon reduction and climate change mitigation.
RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING
(2021)
Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Soheil Shayegh, Johannes Emmerling, Massimo Tavoni
Summary: International migration is influenced by demographic, socioeconomic, and environmental factors as well as migration policies. The study shows that international migration increases welfare in developing countries and reduces inequality between low-skilled and high-skilled labor in these countries. However, in most developed countries, international migration leads to increased inequality and slightly reduced output.
Article
Environmental Sciences
Simona Pedde, Paula A. Harrison, Ian P. Holman, Gary D. Powney, Stephen Lofts, Reto Schmucki, Marc Gramberger, James M. Bullock
Summary: As the pressure to address global warming intensifies, scenarios that incorporate various social, economic, and environmental factors are crucial to support climate change mitigation or adaptation actions by governments and stakeholders. While climate models have widely applied RCPs for producing climate scenarios, the scaling of SSPs for geographic and sectoral applications is still relatively new, with the UK lacking its own version of SSPs. Therefore, developing UK-specific SSPs has become a pressing need to balance consistency and legitimacy in addressing climate change impacts.
SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
(2021)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Helene Benveniste, Jesus Crespo Cuaresma, Matthew Gidden, Raya Muttarak
Summary: The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) are five narratives of future development used for climate change research, projecting quantified socioeconomic variables like population, income levels, inequalities, and emissions over the 21st century. This study explicitly quantifies the effects of international migration on income levels and income inequality, showing that migration tends to make the world richer and decrease income inequality across countries and within most destination countries.
Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Hugo Le Boulzec, Sandrine Mathy, Francois Verzier, Baptiste Andrieu, Daniel Monfort-Climent, Olivier Vidal
Summary: The study reveals that the increasing stocks in less developed countries lead to a rise in material inflows; despite optimistic material intensity projections, strong inequalities exist in per capita in-use stocks of materials in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs); growing materials demand results in higher final energy demand for material production, which may challenge the feasibility of low-energy demand scenarios.
JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
(2023)
Article
Environmental Studies
Lei Gan, Yuan Liu, Weiguang Cai
Summary: This study analyzes the drivers of carbon emissions (CE) in the operational stage of public buildings (PB) in China and predicts the future carbon-neutral trajectory of PB CE under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP). The results show that the added value of the tertiary industry (AVTI) is the strongest driver of CE, and regulating CE per unit of AVTI is the key indicator in reducing PB CE. The scenarios under the SSP framework differ significantly, with SSP1 peaking first in 2026 and SSP5 peaking latest in 2049.
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT REVIEW
(2023)
Review
Environmental Sciences
Julia Tandetzki, Franziska Schier, Margret Koethke, Holger Weimar
Summary: Understanding the relationship between forest area development and socio-economic dynamics is crucial for forest conservation. Statistical models can provide valuable insights in analyzing this relationship. This study provides a systematic overview of two prominent concepts, the forest transition hypothesis (FTH) and the environmental Kuznets curve for deforestation (EKCd), and finds that the evidence base for EKCd is more comprehensive. Most studies focus on analyzing data from developing countries. The statistical analysis of these concepts does not provide a unified picture, highlighting the need for further research on different interpretations and approaches.
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Ouwen Zhang, Lijie Gao, Weiyue Li, Lishan Xiao
Summary: Sludge management is a significant challenge for urban sustainability, accounting for a large share of economic costs and energy consumption in wastewater treatment. Accurately predicting regional sludge generation and finding carbon reduction potential can help improve the sustainability of wastewater treatment. China, with the world's largest wastewater treatment capacity, faces rapid growth in sludge generation, insufficient disposal capacity, and low recycling rates.
JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT
(2022)
Article
Environmental Studies
Adam Daigneault, Alice Favero
Summary: The future of the global timber market, forest area and climate change mitigation potential will be strongly shaped by socio-economic and technological drivers. Results show wide variations in estimates for key forest sector outputs across different Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), with higher timber prices incentivizing land to remain in forests and increasing roundwood harvests. Despite large variations, global forests are likely to remain a net carbon sink, with annual forest carbon sequestration ranging from 1.8 GtCO2e/yr to 6.9 GtCO2e/yr.
Article
Environmental Sciences
Poornima Nagesh, Oreane Y. Edelenbosch, Stefan C. Dekker, Hugo J. de Boer, Hermine Mitter, Detlef P. van Vuuren
Summary: While pesticides are necessary for sustaining agriculture and food production, they also have significant environmental impacts. To understand future pesticide use and make informed policy decisions, Pest-AgriSSPs were developed based on an extensive literature review and expert feedback. These scenarios consider various drivers and actors impacting pesticide use from farm to continental scale.
JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT
(2023)
Article
Engineering, Environmental
Chenyi Zhang, Huijuan Dong, Yong Geng, Xiaoqian Song, Tianyu Zhang, Mufan Zhuang
Summary: This study predicts greenhouse gas emissions from municipal solid waste treatment in China and analyzes the potential for carbon neutrality. The results show that economic development is the main driver of emissions, and achieving carbon neutrality requires the implementation of appropriate policies and mitigation measures.
RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING
(2022)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Shiyin Chen, Qingxu Huang, Raya Muttarak, Jiayi Fang, Tao Liu, Chunyang He, Ziwen Liu, Lei Zhu
Summary: This paper updates the projections of global urbanization using a logistic fitting model and iteratively identifying reference countries. The projections provide urbanization levels and uncertainties for 204 countries and areas every five years, as well as year-by-year projections for 188 countries and areas based on historical data. The updated dataset is relevant for understanding future socioeconomic development and policy planning, as well as its implications for climate change.
Article
Forestry
Fei Liu, Mingxing Hu, Wenbo Huang, Cindy X. X. Chen, Jinhui Li
Summary: Socioeconomic status, technologies, and policies are important factors influencing forest management and ecosystem functions. This study used shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) to analyze the potential timber yields and carbon sinks in Chinese commercial forests (CFs). The results showed that newly planted and regenerated forests can offset a significant portion of carbon emissions, but the current timber supply is insufficient to meet China's demand. Socioeconomic factors have a strong impact on carbon sinks but a minor impact on timber yields, emphasizing the need for effective forest management systems and a focus on afforestation and regeneration at the national level.
Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Mingyuan Guo, Shaoli Chen, Jing Zhang, Juan Meng
Summary: This paper examines the impact of GDP on carbon emissions in the transport sector in 30 provinces of China, focusing on the non-linear relationship between GDP and transport sector's carbon emission. The study finds an inverted U-shaped curve relationship between GDP and transport sector's carbon emission, with different economic factors affecting carbon emissions in different regions.
JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Lena Reimann, Bryan Jones, Theodore Nikoletopoulos, Athanasios T. Vafeidis
Summary: Grided population projections using a gravity-based modeling approach were developed for the Mediterranean region, showing significant differences in future urban population densities and coastal populations between northern and southern/eastern Mediterranean countries. The study found that under all Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), the urban density and coastal population are projected to be much higher in southern and eastern Mediterranean countries compared to northern Mediterranean countries by 2100.
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2021)
Article
Forestry
Jaana Korhonen, Prakash Nepal, Jeffrey P. Prestemon, Frederick W. Cubbage
Summary: Global interest in planting more trees is increasing to meet the growing population, climate change, and wood energy needs. Predictions show that there will be an increase in global planted forest area in the next few decades, followed by a decline, requiring exceptional forest land and investment supply shifts to achieve more ambitious global planted forest targets.
Review
Forestry
Stephanie J. Chizmar, Rajan Parajuli, Robert Bardon, Frederick Cubbage
Summary: The state-level forest cost-share programs in the southern states of the United States have served as models for the rest of the country since their inception in the 1970s. These programs aim to compensate landowners through direct reimbursements and address barriers such as limited capital and cash flow in the initial years of investment. Recent programs have expanded their objectives to include protection of forest health and soil and water quality along with sustainable timber supply.
JOURNAL OF FORESTRY
(2021)
Article
Economics
Jari Kuuluvainen, Jaana Korhonen, Lanhui Wang, Anne Toppinen
Summary: This article examines the impact of a wood market cartel in Finland from 1997 to 2004, finding that the price of pine pulpwood was significantly affected, with an average reduction of about 10% during the infringement period.
FOREST POLICY AND ECONOMICS
(2021)
Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
J. Korhonen, J. Miettinen, E. Kylkilahti, A. Tuppura, M. Autio, K. Lahtinen, S. Patari, T. -L. Pekkanen, J. Luhas, M. Mikkila, L. Linnanen, M. Ollikainen, A. Toppinen
Summary: The study focuses on the development of forest-based bioeconomy in Finland, breaking the trend of siloed discussions and highlighting the need for transformational regulation, proper incentives, and increased business-consumer interaction to support industry renewal.
JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
(2021)
Article
Economics
Jukka Luhas, Mirja Mikkila, Eliisa Kylkilahti, Jenni Miettinen, Arttu Malkamaki, Satu Patari, Jaana Korhonen, Tiia-Lotta Pekkanen, Anni Tuppura, Katja Lahtinen, Minna Autio, Lassi Linnanen, Markku Ollikainen, Anne Toppinen
Summary: Climate change and biodiversity loss have heightened systemic risks for humanity, leading policymakers in over 40 countries to propose transitioning towards a bio-based economy from fossil fuels as a solution. In Finland, participatory backcasting was used to negotiate forest-based bioeconomy pathways with stakeholders, such as forest biorefineries and wooden construction, towards sustainability by 2060. The pathways range from incremental to radical changes, and an orchestration of actions from legislators, producers, consumers, and researchers is required to achieve ambitious climate and biodiversity goals.
FOREST POLICY AND ECONOMICS
(2021)
Article
Forestry
Aleksi Aaltonen, Elias Hurmekoski, Jaana Korhonen
Summary: Despite the expected boost in multistory wood-frame construction adoption due to changing environmental values and regulations, nonwood actors see competitive barriers to major market growth of WMC, such as lack of standardization and significant productivity benefits prompting adoption of a potentially risky construction practice.
FOREST PRODUCTS JOURNAL
(2021)
Article
Economics
Bruno Kanieski da Silva, Shaun Tanger, Mohammad Marufuzzaman, Frederick Cubbage
Summary: The initial forest structure plays a critical role in determining the outcomes of forest composition among suppliers, and the differences under different competition models are significant. The leaders in the Stackelberg model can gain greater financial benefits, but there is also a problem of the accumulation of older age class stands.
FOREST POLICY AND ECONOMICS
(2022)
Article
Economics
Arttu Malkamaki, Jaana E. Korhonen, Sami Berghall, Carolina Berg Rustas, Hanna Berno, Ariane Carreira, Dalia D'Amato, Alexander Dobrovolsky, Blanka Giertliova, Sara Holmgren, Cecilia Mark-Herbert, Mauro Masiero, Emil Nagy, Lenka Navratilova, Helga Puelzl, Lea Ranather, Laura Secco, Tuuli Suomala, Anne Toppinen, Lauri Valsta, Jozef Vybostok, Jonas Zellweger
Summary: The political project on bioeconomy aims to combine economic growth with environmental sustainability, but the contradictions between plans and goals raise sustainability concerns in Europe. This study explores how citizens perceive this discourse in urban areas, identifying different communities and their traits. City of residence and familiarity with bioeconomy interact with perception, suggesting deeper social tension beyond public discourse.
FOREST POLICY AND ECONOMICS
(2022)
Article
Forestry
Meredith Hovis, Gregory Frey, Kathleen McGinley, Frederick Cubbage, Xue Han, Megan Lupek
Summary: Community forests (CFs) have been established across the globe to meet various needs. This study explores CFs in the U.S. and their benefits, such as cultural and regulating services. The research sheds lights on CF characteristics and identifies potential opportunities for the future.
Article
Forestry
Emily Garcia-Montiel, Frederick Cubbage, Alberto Rojo-Alboreca, Miriam Mirelle Morones-Esquivel, Concepcion Lujan-Alvarez, Eusebio Montiel-Antuna, Pablito Marcelo Lopez-Serrano, Fernando Perez-Rodriguez, Jose Javier Corral-Rivas
Summary: This paper focuses on the forest certification schemes used in Mexico and uses the AHP method to study the main impacts of forest certification in Mexico. The environmental principle is identified as the most important factor, followed by the social and economic principles. Forest management and production, biodiversity, and forest protection are considered to be the most relevant criteria. Forest certification in Mexico has positive impacts on educational institutions, community services, and forest management.
Editorial Material
Materials Science, Paper & Wood
Rafal Chudy, Frederick Cubbage, Bin Mei, Jacek Shy
Summary: The forest sector is crucial for sustainable development, providing both commercial products and nature-based solutions. To meet climate and energy policies, over $70 billion of annual investments will be needed by 2050. These investments must be supported by scientific research, reliable data, and credible business applications.
Article
Environmental Studies
Madalyn Baldwin, Andrew Fox, Travis Klondike, Meredith Hovis, Theodore Shear, Lauren Joca, Megan Hester, Frederick Cubbage
Summary: As the global climate changes, extreme weather events are increasing and causing flooding. Nature-based solutions (NBS) are an innovative and sustainable approach to flood mitigation. This study conducted a geospatial analysis to identify NBS locations in the North Carolina Coastal Plain, providing valuable information for future flood resilience planning.
Article
Economics
Eduardo Hildt, Adriana Bussoni, Virginia Morales Olmos, Patricio M. Mac Donagh, Frederick W. Cubbage
Summary: This study analyzed the price cointegration among pine log markets in northeast Argentina, Parana State of Brazil, and Uruguay from 2008 to 2020. The cointegration of price series of the same product across different regions and the cointegration of price series of different products within the same region were evaluated. The results revealed the existence of market cointegration between Parana and Uruguay, Misiones and Uruguay, as well as among sawmill and pulp mill-markets.
JOURNAL OF FOREST ECONOMICS
(2022)
Review
Sociology
Jaana E. Korhonen, Atte Koskivaara, Teemu Makkonen, Natalya Yakusheva, Arttu Malkamaki
Summary: This paper explores the implications of global and regional changes on cross-border regions, proposing the concept of resilient cross-border regional innovation systems (R-CBRIS) and identifying factors affecting their sustainability and resilience through a systematic literature review.
INNOVATION-THE EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF SOCIAL SCIENCE RESEARCH
(2021)