Communicating uncertainty about facts, numbers and science

Communicating uncertainty in policy analysis

(2018) Charles F. Manski   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Predicting Early Data Revisions to U.S. GDP and the Effects of Releases on Equity Markets

(2017) Michael P. Clements et al.   JOURNAL OF BUSINESS & ECONOMIC STATISTICS

Development and validation of QRISK3 risk prediction algorithms to estimate future risk of cardiovascular disease: prospective cohort study

(2017) Julia Hippisley-Cox et al.   BMJ-British Medical Journal

Development and validation of QRISK3 risk prediction algorithms to estimate future risk of cardiovascular disease: prospective cohort study

(2017) Julia Hippisley-Cox et al.   BMJ-British Medical Journal

Neutralizing misinformation through inoculation: Exposing misleading argumentation techniques reduces their influence

(2017) John Cook et al.   PLoS One

Credible interval estimates for official statistics with survey nonresponse

(2016) Charles F. Manski   JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS

Post-truth: a guide for the perplexed

(2016) Kathleen Higgins   NATURE

Communicating Uncertain Science to the Public: How Amount and Source of Uncertainty Impact Fatalism, Backlash, and Overload

(2016) Jakob D. Jensen et al.   RISK ANALYSIS

Seeing What You Want to See: How Imprecise Uncertainty Ranges Enhance Motivated Reasoning

(2016) Nathan F. Dieckmann et al.   RISK ANALYSIS

Use and communication of probabilistic forecasts

(2016) Adrian E. Raftery   Statistical Analysis and Data Mining

Standards and guidelines for the interpretation of sequence variants: a joint consensus recommendation of the American College of Medical Genetics and Genomics and the Association for Molecular Pathology

(2015) Sue Richards et al.   GENETICS IN MEDICINE

At Home on the Range? Lay Interpretations of Numerical Uncertainty Ranges

(2015) Nathan F. Dieckmann et al.   RISK ANALYSIS

Simple Messages Help Set the Record Straight about Scientific Agreement on Human-Caused Climate Change: The Results of Two Experiments

(2015) Teresa A. Myers et al.   PLoS One

How to communicate the scientific consensus on climate change: plain facts, pie charts or metaphors?

(2014) Sander L. van der Linden et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Error Bars Considered Harmful: Exploring Alternate Encodings for Mean and Error

(2014) Michael Correll et al.   IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON VISUALIZATION AND COMPUTER GRAPHICS

After adjusting for bias in meta-analysis seasonal influenza vaccine remains effective in community-dwelling elderly

(2014) Maryam Darvishian et al.   JOURNAL OF CLINICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY

Gaining trust as well as respect in communicating to motivated audiences about science topics

(2014) S. T. Fiske et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Identification of the remains of King Richard III

(2014) Turi E. King et al.   Nature Communications

The interpretation of IPCC probabilistic statements around the world

(2014) David V. Budescu et al.   Nature Climate Change

Conceptual, Methodological, and Ethical Problems in Communicating Uncertainty in Clinical Evidence

(2012) Paul K. J. Han   MEDICAL CARE RESEARCH AND REVIEW

Routine Antenatal Anti-D Prophylaxis in Women Who Are Rh(D) Negative: Meta-Analyses Adjusted for Differences in Study Design and Quality

(2012) Rebecca M. Turner et al.   PLoS One

MrBayes 3.2: Efficient Bayesian Phylogenetic Inference and Model Choice Across a Large Model Space

(2012) Fredrik Ronquist et al.   SYSTEMATIC BIOLOGY

Effective communication of uncertainty in the IPCC reports

(2011) David V. Budescu et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Hepatitis C prevalence in England remains low and varies by ethnicity: an updated evidence synthesis

(2011) Ross J. Harris et al.   EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF PUBLIC HEALTH

GRADE guidelines: 3. Rating the quality of evidence

(2011) Howard Balshem et al.   JOURNAL OF CLINICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY

Visualizing Uncertainty About the Future

(2011) D. Spiegelhalter et al.   SCIENCE

The future that may (or may not) come: How framing changes responses to uncertainty in climate change communications

(2010) Thomas A. Morton et al.   GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS

Communication of Uncertainty Regarding Individualized Cancer Risk Estimates

(2010) Paul K. J. Han et al.   MEDICAL DECISION MAKING

Defeating the merchants of doubt

(2010) Naomi Oreskes et al.   NATURE

Laypersons' Responses to the Communication of Uncertainty Regarding Cancer Risk Estimates

(2009) Paul K. J. Han et al.   MEDICAL DECISION MAKING

Agreeing to disagree: uncertainty management in assessing climate change, impacts and responses by the IPCC

(2008) Rob Swart et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Bias modelling in evidence synthesis

(2008) Rebecca M. Turner et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES A-STATISTICS IN SOCIETY

Violence-Related Mortality in Iraq from 2002 to 2006

(2008)   NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL OF MEDICINE

Dual-Processing Accounts of Reasoning, Judgment, and Social Cognition

(2007) Jonathan St. B. T. Evans   Annual Review of Psychology