At Home on the Range? Lay Interpretations of Numerical Uncertainty Ranges

Deliberative Disjunction: Expert and Public Understanding of Outcome Uncertainty

(2012) Robin Gregory et al.   RISK ANALYSIS

An experimental study of the effect of uncertainty representation on decision making

(2011) Ian N. Durbach et al.   EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH

Visualizing Uncertainty About the Future

(2011) D. Spiegelhalter et al.   SCIENCE

The Effects of Presenting Imprecise Probabilities in Intelligence Forecasts

(2010) Nathan F. Dieckmann et al.   RISK ANALYSIS

How numeracy influences risk comprehension and medical decision making.

(2009) Valerie F. Reyna et al.   PSYCHOLOGICAL BULLETIN

The Use of Narrative Evidence and Explicit Likelihood by Decisionmakers Varying in Numeracy

(2009) Nathan F. Dieckmann et al.   RISK ANALYSIS

Reducing Overconfidence in the Interval Judgments of Experts

(2009) Andrew Speirs-Bridge et al.   RISK ANALYSIS