Early warning signals of recovery in complex systems

Indicators of transitions in biological systems

(2018) Christopher F. Clements et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Changes in the size structure of marine fish communities

(2017) Richard J Bell et al.   ICES JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE

Length-weight relationships of four small indigenous fish species from an inland artisanal fishery, Bangladesh

(2017) M. A. Islam et al.   JOURNAL OF APPLIED ICHTHYOLOGY

Signatures of the collapse and incipient recovery of an overexploited marine ecosystem

(2017) Eric J. Pedersen et al.   Royal Society Open Science

Body size shifts and early warning signals precede the historic collapse of whale stocks

(2017) Christopher F. Clements et al.   Nature Ecology & Evolution

Body size distributions signal a regime shift in a lake ecosystem

(2016) Trisha L. Spanbauer et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Including trait-based early warning signals helps predict population collapse

(2016) Christopher F. Clements et al.   Nature Communications

Rate of forcing and the forecastability of critical transitions

(2016) Christopher F. Clements et al.   Ecology and Evolution

Factors Influencing the Detectability of Early Warning Signals of Population Collapse

(2015) Christopher F. Clements et al.   AMERICAN NATURALIST

Do early warning indicators consistently predict nonlinear change in long-term ecological data?

(2015) Sarah J. Burthe et al.   JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY

Linking body mass and group dynamics in an obligate cooperative breeder

(2014) Arpat Ozgul et al.   JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY

Evaluating targets and trade-offs among fisheries and conservation objectives using a multispecies size spectrum model

(2014) Julia L. Blanchard et al.   JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY

On signals of phase transitions in salmon population dynamics

(2014) M. Krko ek et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

mizer: an R package for multispecies, trait-based and community size spectrum ecological modelling

(2014) Finlay Scott et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Catastrophic Collapse Can Occur without Early Warning: Examples of Silent Catastrophes in Structured Ecological Models

(2013) Maarten C. Boerlijst et al.   PLoS One

Early warning signals also precede non-catastrophic transitions

(2012) Sonia Kéfi et al.   OIKOS

Methods for Detecting Early Warnings of Critical Transitions in Time Series Illustrated Using Simulated Ecological Data

(2012) Vasilis Dakos et al.   PLoS One

Early warning signals and the prosecutor's fallacy

(2012) C. Boettiger et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Generic Indicators for Loss of Resilience Before a Tipping Point Leading to Population Collapse

(2012) L. Dai et al.   SCIENCE

Anticipating Critical Transitions

(2012) M. Scheffer et al.   SCIENCE

Modeling Effects of Environmental Change on Wolf Population Dynamics, Trait Evolution, and Life History

(2011) T. Coulson et al.   SCIENCE

Regime shifts in ecological systems can occur with no warning

(2010) Alan Hastings et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Early warning signals of extinction in deteriorating environments

(2010) John M. Drake et al.   NATURE

Early-warning signals for critical transitions

(2009) Marten Scheffer et al.   NATURE

Why fishing magnifies fluctuations in fish abundance

(2008) Christian N. K. Anderson et al.   NATURE

Slowing down as an early warning signal for abrupt climate change

(2008) V. Dakos et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA