Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Sramana Neogi, Martin S. Singh
Summary: A cloud-resolving model is used to study the changes in a tropical circulation driven by sea surface temperature (SST) contrast in a warmer climate. The investigation reveals that the circulation responds to SST increase by having a stronger maximum vertical velocity but a weaker lower to midtropospheric vertical velocity. This leads to a dynamic weakening of precipitation under warming. A simplified model further explains these results and highlights the importance of entrainment in understanding the response of precipitation to warming.
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
(2022)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Lin Lin, Xiaohong Liu, Yunpeng Shan, Qiang Fu
Summary: We improved the treatments of convective cloud microphysics in the NCAR Community Atmosphere Model version 5.3 (CAM5.3) by implementing new parameterizations for convective ice and snow particles' terminal velocities, adding graupel microphysics, considering convective snow detrainment, and enhancing rain initiation and generation rate in warm clouds. The impacts of the improved microphysics on simulated global climate were evaluated, with a focus on cloud radiative forcing, graupel microphysics, convective cloud ice amount, and tropical precipitation. The results showed that the enhancements in rain initiation and generation rate alleviated the excessive cloud shortwave radiative forcing over the tropics and midlatitudes, bringing the simulations in better agreement with the observations. The addition of graupel microphysics and the accompanying increase in hydrometeor fall speed played a crucial role in alleviating the overestimation of convective ice mass.
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Adam B. Sokol, Dennis L. Hartmann
Summary: This study examines how the congestus mode of tropical convection is expressed in numerical simulations and finds that it is related to large-scale convective aggregation. The strengthening of congestus circulation is associated with enhanced stability and is driven by radiative cooling. The presence of congestus circulations has a significant impact on the mean atmospheric state of radiative-convective equilibrium and warrants further investigation.
JOURNAL OF ADVANCES IN MODELING EARTH SYSTEMS
(2022)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Hsiang-He Lee, Peter Bogenschutz, Takanobu Yamaguchi
Summary: Increasing horizontal and vertical resolution in global atmospheric models can reduce biases associated with subtropical marine stratocumulus. Vertical resolution is more important than horizontal resolution in simulating realistic marine stratocumulus, and concurrent increases in both resolutions are needed to significantly reduce biases in coastal regions.
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2022)
Article
Engineering, Marine
Zhanjie Zhang, Guang J. Zhang
Summary: This study examines the assumption in scale-aware convection schemes that the differences between convective cloud properties and their environment are independent of cloud fraction. Results show that the differences increase with cloud fraction, contrary to the assumption used in current parameterization schemes.
JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING
(2022)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Shibo Gao, Danlian Huang, Ningzhu Du, Chuanyou Ren, Haiqiu Yu
Summary: Ensemble dynamical downscaling of precipitation over China based on two different cumulus convective parameterization schemes showed superior performance in capturing the characteristics of precipitation patterns and improving the representation of both annual mean and interannual variations. The ensemble also demonstrated the highest skill in representing precipitation anomalies at regional scales for all subregions, as well as capturing the spatial patterns and temporal variations of dominant precipitation variability modes.
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH
(2022)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Alessandro C. M. Savazzi, Christian Jakob, A. Pier Siebesma
Summary: This study investigates convective mass-flux variations at different heights using C-band polarimetric radar data, with findings showing a positively skewed mass-flux profile peaking at 4 km. Below 4 km, area fractions remain constant while vertical velocities increase, while above 4 km, in-cloud vertical velocity plays a minor role in controlling mass-flux profiles compared to convective area fractions.
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES
(2021)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Lisa Bengtsson, Luc Gerard, Jongil Han, Maria Gehne, Wei Li, Juliana Dias
Summary: The new prognostic closure introduced in NOAA's Unified Forecast System improves the representation of convective processes by considering evolution of convective updraft area fraction and buoyancy-driven vertical velocity. This closure shows potential for improved prediction of the Madden-Julian oscillation, with enhanced organization feedback representation and stochastic effects. Additionally, the scale-adaptive behavior of the closure leads to reduced subgrid convective precipitation in higher-resolution simulations.
MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW
(2022)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Lucas Harris, Linjiong Zhou, Alex Kaltenbaugh, Spencer Clark, Kai-Yuan Cheng, Chris Bretherton
Summary: In this study, the global characteristics of rotating convective updrafts are analyzed using a high-resolution global storm resolving model. Cyclonic rotation dominates in most regions, with larger values of updraft helicity preferring cyclonic rotation. The ratio of cyclonic to anticyclonic updrafts is influenced by environmental conditions.
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES
(2023)
Article
Ecology
Damien Couespel, Marina Levy, Laurent Bopp
Summary: Research indicates that global warming will result in a significant decline in ocean primary production. While the simulations show that the impact of eddy parameters is minimal, at the highest resolution, the decline in primary production in subpolar gyres is reduced by half.
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Youtong Zheng, Daniel Rosenfeld, Zhanqing Li
Summary: By analyzing 128 shallow cumulus ensembles over the Southern Great Plains, the study demonstrates that the ensemble properties of sub-cloud turbulence explain nearly half of the variability in ensemble-mean cloud-base updraft velocity (w(b)). This shows the ability of sub-cloud turbulence to dictate w(b) changes.
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2021)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Guy Dagan, Philip Stier, George Spill, Ross Herbert, Max Heikenfeld, Susan C. van den Heever, Peter J. Marinescu
Summary: The impact of aerosols on clouds remains uncertain in climate predictions. The evolution of cloud properties is influenced by both the clouds themselves and the environmental conditions, and aerosol-driven changes in cloud properties can feedback to the evolution of the environment. The representation of boundary conditions in models strongly affects the simulated response of the environment to aerosol perturbations.
COMMUNICATIONS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Rachel E. Hawker, Annette K. Miltenberger, Jill S. Johnson, Jonathan M. Wilkinson, Adrian A. Hill, Ben J. Shipway, Paul R. Field, Benjamin J. Murray, Ken S. Carslaw
Summary: This study quantifies the effects of INP number concentration, temperature dependence of ice-nucleating activity, and Hallett-Mossop process on anvil clouds in deep convective clouds. Results show that INP number concentration primarily determines anvil ice crystal number concentration, while the temperature dependence of ice-nucleating aerosol activity mainly affects anvil ice crystal size.
ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS
(2021)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Chun-Yian Su, Chien-Ming Wu, Wei-Ting Chen, Jen-Her Chen
Summary: This study implements the unified parameterization in the global forecast system and investigates its impacts on simulated precipitation variability and organized convective systems through short-term hindcasts. The results show that the unified parameterization can adapt better to convective development, reduce parameterized convection, and increase spatial variation of moisture, leading to improved precipitation spectrum and the relationship between precipitation and convective system scale.
MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW
(2021)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Samson Hagos, Jingyi Chen, Katelyn Barber, Koichi Sakaguchi, Robert S. Plant, Zhe Feng, Heng Xiao
Summary: A machine-learning-assisted stochastic cloud population model is developed and coupled with the WRF model to simulate fluctuations in cloud-base mass flux caused by the life cycles and interactions of cumulus convection cells. The model uses a neural network trained on convective cell size distributions to predict the cell size and cloud-base mass flux distributions. This approach shows promise in simulating realistic precipitation statistics and propagation associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation, while maintaining realistic depictions of the diurnal cycle over land and ocean.
JOURNAL OF ADVANCES IN MODELING EARTH SYSTEMS
(2022)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Y. Yamada, C. Kodama, M. Satoh, M. Nakano, T. Nasuno, M. Sugi
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2019)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Ying Na, Qiang Fu, Chihiro Kodama
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES
(2020)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Malcolm John Roberts, Joanne Camp, Jon Seddon, Pier Luigi Vidale, Kevin Hodges, Benoit Vanniere, Jenny Mecking, Rein Haarsma, Alessio Bellucci, Enrico Scoccimarro, Louis-Philippe Caron, Fabrice Chauvin, Laurent Terray, Sophie Valcke, Marie-Pierre Moine, Dian Putrasahan, Christopher D. Roberts, Retish Senan, Colin Zarzycki, Paul Ullrich, Yohei Yamada, Ryo Mizuta, Chihiro Kodama, Dan Fu, Qiuying Zhang, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Nan Rosenbloom, Hong Wang, Lixin Wu
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2020)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Hiroshi G. Takahashi, Nozomi Kamizawa, Tomoe Nasuno, Youhei Yamada, Chihiro Kodama, Shiori Sugimoto, Masaki Satoh
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
(2020)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Ying Na, Riyu Lu, Qiang Fu, Chihiro Kodama
Summary: This study uses the NICAM model to investigate precipitation characteristics and future changes over the Tibetan Plateau, finding that heavy precipitation probability decreases with elevation while light precipitation shows the opposite trend. Predictions indicate that mean precipitation will decrease at low elevations but increase at high elevations in the future, with extreme precipitation probability and intensity expected to increase significantly.
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES
(2021)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Yohei Yamada, Chihiro Kodama, Masaki Satoh, Masato Sugi, Malcolm J. Roberts, Ryo Mizuta, Akira T. Noda, Tomoe Nasuno, Masuo Nakano, Pier Luigi Vidale
Summary: This study systematically examines projected changes in tropical cyclones using six global atmospheric models, and finds that the frequency of tropical cyclone genesis significantly decreases during the period 1990-2049, primarily due to changes in tropical cyclone seeds.
PROGRESS IN EARTH AND PLANETARY SCIENCE
(2021)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Ying Na, Qiang Fu, L. Ruby Leung, Chihiro Kodama, Riyu Lu
Summary: This study uses the Nonhydrostatic ICosahedral Atmospheric Model (NICAM) to simulate the characteristics of Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCSs) in central United States and eastern China. The results show that the simulated MCSs have stronger precipitation, smaller precipitation area, and larger cold cloud system compared to the observations. The simulated MCS number is underestimated in both regions during summer.
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES
(2022)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Tamaki Suematsu, Hiroaki Miura, Chihiro Kodama, Daisuke Takasuka
Summary: This study analyzed the eastward movement speed of Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) events simulated in a 30-year simulation and found that it is influenced by the background sea surface temperature states and the strength of the Walker circulation. The simulation also exhibited biases in the occurrence and speed of MJO events, which were associated with an overestimation of the western Walker circulation cell strength. The results emphasize the importance of accurately reproducing the mean atmospheric circulation for realistic long-term simulations of MJO.
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2022)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Yohei Yamada, Tomoki Miyakawa, Masuo Nakano, Chihiro Kodama, Akiyoshi Wada, Tomoe Nasuno, Ying-Wen Chen, Akira Yamazaki, Hisashi Yashiro, Masaki Satoh
Summary: Typhoon Faxai caused severe damage to Tokyo in 2019. A study was conducted to investigate the predictability of precursor vortex formation and movement using ensemble simulations. Results showed a 70% probability of a Faxai-like vortex approaching Japan two weeks before landfall. The upper-tropospheric vortex played a crucial role in Faxai's track simulation.
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2023)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Daisuke Matsuoka, Chihiro Kodama, Yohei Yamada, Masuo Nakano
Summary: This dataset is a time series of tropical cyclones simulated using the high-resolution Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral Atmospheric Model (NICAM). It contains 2,463 tracks of tropical cyclones, including their life stages, extracted from 30 years of simulation data. Each track includes various parameters such as time, location, wind speed, pressure, and life-stage label. The dataset also provides atmospheric field data for multiple physical quantities over a 10,000 km2 area.
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Xueke Wu, Qiang Fu, Chihiro Kodama
Summary: Tropical overshooting deep convection (ODC) plays a crucial role in transporting boundary layer pollutants to the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere, with important implications for stratospheric ozone and climate. Using simulations from the Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral Atmosphere Model (NICAM), the study finds that future ODC occurrences will increase over the warmer and wetter oceanic regions, while decreasing over the hotter but drier terrestrial regions. The changes in ODC occurrences are larger for higher cloud tops and vary depending on the global temperature increase.
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Falko Judt, Daniel Klocke, Rosimar Rios-Berrios, Benoit Vanniere, Florian Ziemen, Ludovic Auger, Joachim Biercamp, Christopher Bretherton, Xi Chen, Peter Dueben, Cathy Hohenegger, Marat Khairoutdinov, Chihiro Kodama, Luis Kornblueh, Shian-Jiann Lin, Masuo Nakano, Philipp Neumann, William Putman, Niklas Roeber, Malcolm Roberts, Masaki Satoh, Ryosuke Shibuya, Bjorn Stevens, Pier Luigi Vidale, Nils Wedi, Linjiong Zhou
Summary: Recent advancements in computing and model development have ushered in the era of global storm-resolving modeling, showing great potential to revolutionize weather and climate prediction. This study evaluates the performance of nine global-storm resolving models in simulating tropical cyclones, with results showing that while they produce realistic TCs overall, each model has unique biases in terms of TC number, intensity, size, and structure. Some models perform better than others in simulating TCs, indicating the need for improvement to unleash the full potential of global storm-resolving models in TC prediction.
JOURNAL OF THE METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY OF JAPAN
(2021)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Chihiro Kodama, Tomoki Ohno, Tatsuya Seiki, Hisashi Yashiro, Akira T. Noda, Masuo Nakano, Yohei Yamada, Woosub Roh, Masaki Satoh, Tomoko Nitta, Daisuke Goto, Hiroaki Miura, Tomoe Nasuno, Tomoki Miyakawa, Ying-Wen Chen, Masato Sugi
Summary: NICAM16-S simulations showed improvements in various aspects such as ice water content, high cloud amount, surface air temperature over the Arctic region, and the location and strength of zonal mean subtropical jet. However, some long-standing biases still exist or have worsened in some cases, indicating the need for further understanding and upgrades in model schemes and parameter settings, as well as enhancement in horizontal and vertical resolutions.
GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT
(2021)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Masato Sugi, Yohei Yamada, Kohei Yoshida, Ryo Mizuta, Masuo Nakano, Chihiro Kodama, Masaki Satoh
Article
Environmental Sciences
Daniel T. McCoy, Paul R. Field, Gregory S. Elsaesser, Alejandro Bodas-Salcedo, Brian H. Kahn, Mark D. Zelinka, Chihiro Kodama, Thorsten Mauritsen, Benoit Vanniere, Malcolm Roberts, Pier L. Vidale, David Saint-Martin, Aurore Voldoire, Rein Haarsma, Adrian Hill, Ben Shipway, Jonathan Wilkinson
ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS
(2019)