Accurate quantification of uncertainty in epidemic parameter estimates and predictions using stochastic compartmental models

Evaluating Google Flu Trends in Latin America: Important Lessons for the Next Phase of Digital Disease Detection

(2016) Simon Pollett et al.   CLINICAL INFECTIOUS DISEASES

Google Flu Trends in Canada: a comparison of digital disease surveillance data with physician consultations and respiratory virus surveillance data, 2010–2014

(2015) L. J. MARTIN et al.   EPIDEMIOLOGY AND INFECTION

Deterministic inference for stochastic systems using multiple shooting and a linear noise approximation for the transition probabilities

(2015) Christoph Zimmer et al.   IET Systems Biology

Reconstructing the hidden states in time course data of stochastic models

(2015) Christoph Zimmer   MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES

Inference of seasonal and pandemic influenza transmission dynamics

(2015) Wan Yang et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Inference for reaction networks using the linear noise approximation

(2014) Paul Fearnhead et al.   BIOMETRICS

Stochastic differential equations as a tool to regularize the parameter estimation problem for continuous time dynamical systems given discrete time measurements

(2014) Jacob Leander et al.   MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES

Comparison of Filtering Methods for the Modeling and Retrospective Forecasting of Influenza Epidemics

(2014) Wan Yang et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

Quantifying intrinsic and extrinsic noise in gene transcription using the linear noise approximation: An application to single cell data

(2013) Bärbel Finkenstädt et al.   Annals of Applied Statistics

Real-time influenza forecasts during the 2012–2013 season

(2013) Jeffrey Shaman et al.   Nature Communications

Intrinsic Noise Analyzer: A Software Package for the Exploration of Stochastic Biochemical Kinetics Using the System Size Expansion

(2012) Philipp Thomas et al.   PLoS One

Transmission parameters of the A/H1N1 (2009) influenza virus pandemic: a review

(2011) Pierre-Yves Boëlle et al.   Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses

Bayesian modeling to unmask and predict influenza A/H1N1pdm dynamics in London

(2011) P. J. Birrell et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Estimating and Projecting Trends in HIV/AIDS Generalized Epidemics Using Incremental Mixture Importance Sampling

(2010) Adrian E. Raftery et al.   BIOMETRICS

An effective rate equation approach to reaction kinetics in small volumes: Theory and application to biochemical reactions in nonequilibrium steady-state conditions

(2010) R. Grima   JOURNAL OF CHEMICAL PHYSICS

Google Trends: A Web‐Based Tool for Real‐Time Surveillance of Disease Outbreaks

(2009) Herman Anthony Carneiro et al.   CLINICAL INFECTIOUS DISEASES

Pandemic Potential of a Strain of Influenza A (H1N1): Early Findings

(2009) C. Fraser et al.   SCIENCE

The Transmissibility and Control of Pandemic Influenza A (H1N1) Virus

(2009) Y. Yang et al.   SCIENCE

Detecting influenza epidemics using search engine query data

(2008) Jeremy Ginsberg et al.   NATURE